Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2004 iii Paper 35 3 c iii Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Assume the bank account stays positive and write and . Dividing the time- rebalancing equality by givesThe discounted bank account has constant price one. This is exactly the self-financing equality in the discounted market. Equivalently, subtract the corresponding valuation at to obtain the discounted wealth equation in discrete timeThis algebra uses only positivity of , and does not require it to be deterministic.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2004 iii Paper 35 3 d Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
The usual replication argument needs two hypotheses implicit in the pricing conclusion: the strategy must replicate the payoff, , and its discounted gains must be integrable. Bounded predictable risky holdings suffice for the latter. Under these conditions, the equivalent martingale measure and part (c) giveThus discounted wealth is a martingale, and repeated conditioning givesFor a normalized initial bank account, , deterministic terminal bank value, and trivial initial information, this reduces to the intended risk-neutral pricing formulaIf is random it must remain inside the expectation. If a claim is not replicable, the existence of an equivalent martingale measure alone does not make its arbitrage-free price unique.
The discounted wealth martingale integrability condition cannot simply be dropped. For a concrete counterexample, set , , , and , where is uniform on and an independent fair sign. These positive bounded prices form a martingale in the natural filtration. Start with zero holdings; at time one buy shares financed by borrowing . This is previsible and self-financing, but its terminal wealth is , whose absolute expectation is infinite. It is therefore not a martingale. The stated pricing proof applies to the standard integrable replication class, rather than all unconstrained previsible strategies.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2004 iii Paper 35 5 b Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
The common short-rate market price of risk follows from absence of arbitrage, with the securities driven by the same Brownian motion. Take two traded derivatives with drifts and diffusion coefficients . At a given state hold units of the first and of the second, and place in the bank account. The portfolio has zero current value and zero diffusion exposure. Its instantaneous excess drift isIf this were nonzero, selecting its positive orientation and maintaining the local risk-cancelling self-financing hedge would generate a gain without risk from zero wealth. Under the usual trading and regularity assumptions this violates absence of arbitrage. Thus the expression vanishes, and at nonzero exposuresAt zero exposure the correct relation is , without dividing by zero. This is a condition on traded securities: the physical drift of the nontraded short rate alone does not determine .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 35 1 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Normalize by a riskless bank account with , . For risky assets let be the vector of discounted gains, and let denote a discounted square-integrable contingent claim. An initial total capital and stock holding have discounted terminal portfolio wealth : the bank holding finances the initial purchase of the stocks. Thus the space of attainable claims isIt is finite-dimensional and hence closed. The market is complete market when every square-integrable claim is in this span; with finitely many assets this is also equivalent to replication of every bounded claim.
A dominated martingale measure is a probability measure with and , with the gains integrable under . Its Radon-Nikodym derivative satisfies , and . An equivalent martingale measure has almost surely. A signed martingale measure obeys the same normalization and pricing equations without requiring nonnegativity. The distinction matters for quadratic hedging. For the completeness assertion use the usual no-arbitrage hypothesis, expressed here by existence of an equivalent martingale measure .
The unrestricted one-period quadratic hedge minimizesPut , and . Remove redundant gains so that is invertible. Differentiating in gives . The remaining squared error isThereforeThe residual is orthogonal in to and every gain, making the fitted claim the orthogonal projection onto a finite-dimensional subspace onto . Its minimum mean-square error is , and it vanishes exactly when is attainable. If initial capital is fixed instead, the normal equation isThis separates hedging with prescribed capital from simultaneous optimization of capital and risky holdings.
The minimal martingale measure in a one-period market is characterized by leaving unchanged the expectation of every centered square-integrable orthogonal to the martingale part . For square-integrable pricing densities this forces into the span of : the orthogonal complement consists exactly of those . The pricing equation then determinesIndeed and . For every such orthogonal , . Conversely a normalized density preserving all these must have the displayed form, since its coefficients must satisfy . The least-squares initial capital is consequently .
For any other square-integrable signed pricing density , put . Both densities price and all gains, so is orthogonal to their span, including . HenceEquality holds only when . Densities with infinite second moment cannot improve this finite minimum. This proves the requested minimum over dominated martingale measures whenever , and over all square-integrable signed martingale measures without that extra condition. If , it is also an equivalent martingale measure.
Absence of arbitrage alone does not guarantee that the minimal density is a probability density. For a concrete example, let a single discounted gain take values with probabilities . Then , and . Nevertheless pricing probabilities are strictly positive and give mean gain zero, so an equivalent martingale measure exists. This is negative minimal density in an arbitrage-free one-period market. If the term martingale measure is reserved for probabilities, the printed minimum assertion needs the extra nonnegativity hypothesis; otherwise it is the signed minimum-norm assertion just proved. Minimizing over the nonnegative pricing densities instead is a different constrained projection problem.
Finally, prove completeness and uniqueness of dominated martingale measures. If the market is complete market, every event indicator can be replicated. Under any dominated martingale measure, its expectation equals its initial discounted cost. Consequently any two such measures agree on every event and are equal; existence is supplied by .
Conversely suppose has dimension and is a proper subspace of the whole payoff space. Choose disjoint events of positive probability. Such events exist whenever has dimension greater than : otherwise the space has at most atoms and dimension at most . Let be a basis of . The vectorsare linearly dependent. Choose coefficients , not all zero, whose linear combination is zero, and set . It is bounded, not almost surely zero under , and satisfies for every , in particular for . For defineThese densities are strictly positive, normalized, have zero gain means, and are different. Thus incompleteness contradicts uniqueness, provingThe existence hypothesis cannot be discarded: with three positive-probability states and gain , the sole dominated martingale probability concentrates on , yet the two-dimensional attainable space does not span all three states. That market permits arbitrage.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 35 2 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Take a riskless gross return per period and a stock whose independent multiplicative moves are and , with physical up probability . Assume . With up moves by date ,A self-financing portfolio chooses each stock holding from information available before the next move, and invests the remainder in the bank account. At any node the two possible next payoffs can be matched by two holdings because . Backward induction therefore makes the binomial market complete.
The unique risk-neutral probability of an up move is determined by the discounted-stock martingale equation:The risk-neutral measure assigns product probabilities to the successive moves. A path with up moves has physical probability and pricing probability . Its Radon-Nikodym derivative is thereforeSince , eliminate to obtain the requested terminal-price expression:The pricing density depends only on the terminal stock price even though different paths to that price have different intermediate histories.
For , a nonnegative terminal wealth with initial cost satisfiesThe utility function has derivative . Put . Its first-order condition makes proportional to , so . Choosing to satisfy the pricing budget constraint gives the binomial power-utility terminal wealthAll states have positive probability and the state space is finite, so this payoff is positive, integrable and attainable. The normalizing constant is explicit: independence givesCombining these two formulas with the terminal-price expression for gives entirely as a function of .
To prove global optimality, strict concavity gives . Because , the expectation of the right side is zero for any other payoff satisfying the same pricing budget constraint. Equality requires almost surely. Backward replication supplies its self-financing strategy, so this static optimum is attainable by trading. If and terminal wealth must be nonnegative, the only feasible terminal wealth is zero. For , the density is one and the optimizer is the riskless wealth .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 35 4 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
A self-financing portfolio changes its holdings using only its existing wealth. If it holds shares and units of a traded bond or bank account , its value obeys the gain identityThe changes in holdings do not add or withdraw capital. Set , , so , and let , with . Write and suppress the arguments of the smooth holdings .
Differentiate :The Itô formula minus the proposed portfolio gains givesUniqueness of the local-martingale and finite-variation decomposition shows that self-financing requires . Since has full support on for each , smoothness gives the corresponding functional identity for every positive , and continuity extends it to the interval endpoints. ThusDifferentiating this identity once more in gives , so . Substitute both identities into the drift condition to obtainConversely these equations give , and zero drift and diffusion in the displayed gain difference. They therefore prove the claimed self-financing conditions for smooth stock and bond holdings in both directions.
Using in the gain identity and setting , self-financing impliesThis is the Black-Scholes equation, independent of the physical drift . Conversely, if a smooth satisfies it, define its delta hedge byThe preceding Itô formula verifies that these holdings are self-financing.
For prescribed arbitrary holdings, the value equation alone is insufficient. The corrected equivalence is the Black-Scholes value equation needs delta-compatible holdings: a specified portfolio is self-financing if and only if its value solves the equation and . Indeed , , satisfies the value equation but its proposed gains are , which have nonzero Brownian part while . Thus the printed final equivalence is valid as an existence assertion for the delta hedge, not for every decomposition of the same value. No change to the valid two holdings equations is needed.
With continuous underlying stock dividends, the stock's gain is , so self-financing becomes . Under the risk-neutral measure the ex-dividend stock drift is . Matching its diffusion still gives , and matching its gain drift gives the Black-Scholes equation with continuous stock dividendsOnly the coefficient of changes. The discount term remains, because the claim is financed at the bank rate; there is no separate source term for a dividend paid by the claim itself. The dividends here are paid by the underlying stock.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 35 6 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
A one-factor short-rate model uses a single scalar state, normally the short rate itself. Under the physical probability measure writeThe second process is the continuous-time bank account. Specifying the physical diffusion alone does not determine bond prices: it must be accompanied by the market price of risk , or equivalently by pricing-measure dynamics. If the Girsanov theorem applies to the likelihood , then under the risk-neutral measureChanging measure alters drift, not quadratic variation. The coefficients need conditions for a nonexplosive solution and for the relevant discounted prices and measure-change density to be true martingales.
A unit zero-coupon bond maturing at has priceThe Markov property makes current time and rate sufficient state variables. Apply Itô formula to . Its drift must vanish, giving the short-rate bond pricing equationConversely, under the appropriate boundary and integrability conditions the Feynman-Kac formula identifies its solution with the displayed discounted expectation. For a terminal rate-dependent payoff , the same equation has terminal condition instead of one. A coupon bond is a sum of such unit-bond prices weighted by the coupon payments.
The common market price of risk can also be derived from trading, instead of being introduced arbitrarily for each maturity. Under the physical measure a bond's diffusion exposure is and its excess drift above bank financing is . For two nondegenerate traded bonds, combine their holdings to cancel their Brownian exposure. Absence of arbitrage requires that combination to earn the bank rate; hence their excess-drift-to-exposure ratios must coincide. Calling that common ratio yields the pricing equation with for every maturity. A derivative is then hedged locally by holding units of a nondegenerate bond and financing the remaining value through the bank account. Their Brownian exposures agree, and substituting both pricing equations proves the drift gain identity. This is short-rate diffusion hedging; it requires , rather than a bare assertion that one factor automatically gives completeness everywhere.
The entire yield curve is generated consistently from these bond prices. The continuously compounded yield and the instantaneous forward rate areThese encode different summaries: the yield averages the forward rate over the remaining lifetime. Bond prices must satisfy and be positive; they need not be below one in models permitting negative rates.
The Vasicek model has constant pricing dynamicsSolving the linear equation gives . Consequently, with and ,This conditional normal random variable has variance . Its normal exponential moment yieldsEvaluating the elementary integral givesThis explicit form makes estimation and valuation convenient. The rate is Gaussian, its conditional mean reverts to , and its long-run variance is . Its disadvantage, when nonnegative rates are desired, is a positive probability of negative rates.
The CIR model replaces constant volatility by square-root volatility:The standard solution stays nonnegative. The Feller positivity condition for the CIR model is in this parameterization; with a positive initial rate it makes zero inaccessible. Below this threshold zero can be reached, although the process does not cross into negative rates. For an affine diffusion bond pricing ansatz , substitution into the bond equation and matching its constant and rate coefficients givesWriting , factor the quadratic in the first equation and integrate from ; integrating the second equation then gives the CIR bond pricing formulasThe square-root form produces an affine term structure while respecting nonnegative rates. These parameters are pricing-measure parameters; historical mean-reversion estimates alone do not determine them without a risk-premium specification.
Both preceding constant-parameter models constrain the family of initial curves. The Hull-White model allows a deterministic time-dependent drift:For a smooth desired initial forward curve , its exact forward-curve fit in the Hull-White model is obtained by takingTo derive this rather than merely assert calibration, write , where , . The conditional Gaussian-integral calculation at time zero givesso its forward curve is . Choose . Differentiating this shift and adding gives exactly the displayed . Thus for every maturity, while and govern the stochastic fluctuations. This Gaussian model still allows negative rates.
Finally, one-factor models are economical and often give explicit bond prices, but their single Brownian driver is restrictive. Bond diffusion exposures give the instantaneous covariance matrix , of rank at most one. Nondegenerate maturity changes are instantaneously perfectly correlated, with correlation or , though their finite-horizon correlations need not equal one. A single factor therefore cannot independently describe level, slope and curvature shocks to the whole yield curve. Multiple factors or a full forward-rate model offer greater flexibility. A valid one-factor model must specify the pricing drift, fit the initial curve to the required accuracy, and handle boundary and martingale conditions; naming a rate diffusion alone is not a complete pricing model.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 48 4 b Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Since , multiplying the given bond dynamics by cancels the drift and gives . For an integrable discounted terminal payoff, the risk-neutral value process is the discounted-payoff martingaleFor an attainable claim this also follows directly from its self-financing discounted wealth being a true martingale, with terminal value . In a Brownian market, the Brownian martingale representation theorem provides ; a traded bond with nonzero diffusion exposure can hedge it by holding bond units, with the remainder in the bank account. Thus, under the usual attainability and integrability assumptions, this construction gives the replicated price as well as the risk-neutral pricing formula.
Because is -measurable,In a general Heath-Jarrow-Morton model, writing this value as requires an additional state-reduction assumption. The conditional expectation is valid without asserting that the short rate alone is the full state.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 39 1 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Use a strictly positive bank account as numéraire, and write all prices and payoffs in discounted units. There are risky assets with deterministic initial price vector , terminal price vector , and gains . A self-financing portfolio with initial capital and constant risky holdings has discounted terminal wealth . The initial amount in the bank account is , so denotes total initial capital, not just the cash holding. Assume the usual absence of arbitrage, and hence existence of an equivalent martingale measure; wherever a general probability space is used below, explicitly assume that such a measure exists and makes the asset payoffs integrable.
The attainable claims are precisely the linear subspaceThe finite-dimensional subspace is closed, so every square-integrable contingent claim has a unique orthogonal projection onto . This is its optimal one-period least-squares hedging payoff. Holdings are unique after redundant assets have been removed. Putand suppose the remaining covariance matrix is invertible. Expanding the squared error givesFirst minimize over , then complete the square in . ThusThe residual satisfiesIndeed, every other squared error equals this minimum plusThis proves optimality, and also shows that zero error is equivalent to attainability of a European contingent claim. If initial capital is prescribed instead, the normal equations for linear least squares give ; one must not use the free-capital formula without this adjustment.
A dominated martingale measure is a probability measure such that . Its Radon-Nikodym derivative satisfies , , and . An equivalent martingale measure additionally requires almost surely. Every integrable attainable claim then has price , independent of which such measure is chosen. For an unattainable contingent claim, different dominated martingale measures can give different prices; least-squares approximation chooses a projection criterion rather than exact replication.
Write , where is the centered martingale part of the one-period gains. The minimal martingale measure in a one-period market changes the means of the traded gains to zero while preserving all square-integrable mean-zero directions orthogonal to . Its candidate density isDirect computation gives and . If and , then , as required. Conversely, an density with this preservation property is orthogonal to the orthogonal complement of , so it lies in that span. Its normalization and martingale constraints force exactly . Moreover,Every other square-integrable signed pricing density has the form , with orthogonal to and , hence to . Thereforeso the minimal density is also the minimum-norm one-period pricing weight. This coincidence concerns one period; it is not an unrestricted assertion about dynamic hedging models.
Positivity needs checking. If it defines an equivalent martingale measure; if merely , it defines a dominated martingale measure. Otherwise it defines only a signed martingale measure. For example, take and with physical probabilities . Then , , and in the third state. There is nonetheless an equivalent martingale measure assigning probabilities , whose mean gain is zero. Thus absence of arbitrage does not guarantee positivity of the least-squares density, and a least-squares initial cost need not be an arbitrage-free price for an unattainable payoff.
Finally prove completeness and uniqueness of dominated martingale measures. Suppose first that every bounded contingent claim is attainable. For any event , replicate . Under any dominated martingale measure, . Thus all such measures agree on every event. Existence follows from our no-arbitrage assumption, giving uniqueness.
Conversely, fix an equivalent martingale measure , and let . If the probability space admits disjoint events of positive probability, choose a basis of , including . The matrix with entries has a nonzero null vector . Consequently the bounded, nonzero random variablesatisfies and . For , defineThese are distinct equivalent martingale measures, because their densities are positive and their gain moments remain zero. Thus uniqueness rules out such a partition. A probability space with no disjoint positive-probability events consists, modulo null sets, of at most atoms: repeatedly split any non-atomic positive event to obtain a larger finite partition. On atoms the payoff space has dimension , while has dimension . Hence and is the whole payoff space. Every contingent claim is attainable. This provesHere completeness means all bounded claims, or all square-integrable claims in the formulation. The existence/no-arbitrage hypothesis matters: on a one-state space, cash and a stock with a sure positive discounted gain span every payoff, but no dominated martingale measure can make that gain have zero mean.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 39 4 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Take a non-dividend-paying stock with physical dynamics and continuous-time bank account . Write and assume the candidate claim price is before maturity, with enough growth control for the hedge to be admissible. The terminal condition is .
The Itô formula gives the claim's price changeA self-financing portfolio worth with shares has bank-account value . Its gain isTo replicate the claim, the Brownian coefficients must agree, forcing the delta hedge . Equating the remaining drift coefficients cancels the physical drift and yieldsThe cancellation explains why the Black-Scholes equation contains the interest rate, not the physical stock drift. Conversely, if an admissible solution of this equation is given, holdings in the stock and in the bank account have value and gains exactly . They are therefore a self-financing portfolio replicating the terminal payoff. Absence of arbitrage forces the claim to have this price. Merely decomposing the current value into arbitrary holdings would not justify self-financing; the gain identity and delta hedge are essential.
Now suppose the claim holder receives the cash rate before . The price is the ex-dividend value, so its total gain is . The replicating portfolio pays the same amounts out of its wealth, with no external injections. Thus its gain identity isAgain the Brownian coefficients force . Comparing drifts now gives the Black-Scholes equation with claim dividends:In particular the cash-flow source has a positive sign in the left-hand side. It is not an underlying-stock dividend yield and does not replace the drift by a dividend-adjusted drift.
For another justification, under the risk-neutral measure , discount the claim's cum-dividend gain. The Itô formula shows thatexactly when the displayed equation holds. Subject to the usual integrability making this a true martingale, conditional expectation at maturity givesPositive interim payments therefore add positive value, which also checks the source sign. For instance, a constant payment rate and zero terminal payoff have price , interpreted as at ; substitution satisfies .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 40 2 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Use for the dollar amount invested in the stock; the number of shares is . The bank account contains dollars. With no intermediate consumption, the self-financing portfolio equation isIf instead denotes share holdings, replace each dollar here by . The equation says that trading only reallocates existing portfolio wealth; gains come from cash interest and stock returns.
For the standard unconstrained complete-diffusion formulation, assume the completed natural Brownian filtration, initial wealth , and nonnegative admissible wealth. Define the market price of risk . The boundedness assumptions make bounded. The state-price density normalized at zero isIts money-market-adjusted process is a true martingale by the Novikov condition. Under , the Girsanov theorem gives as a Brownian motion, and the discounted stock has zero drift.
The Itô product rule applied to the wealth equation givesFor nonnegative admissible wealth this is a nonnegative local martingale, hence a supermartingale. Therefore every affordable terminal payoff satisfies the state-price budget constraint . Nonzero volatility and the Brownian martingale representation theorem allow replication of nonnegative claims with finite state-price cost.
For a differentiable strictly concave utility function with the usual conditions ensuring an interior integrable optimizer, put , the inverse marginal utility. Pointwise maximization of givesThe second equation determines the positive constant . To prove optimality, use the concave supporting-tangent inequality:Taking expectations and using the budget bound proves that the candidate dominates every admissible affordable payoff, whenever the utility expectations are well defined. This is the complete-market terminal utility optimizer.
The actual wealth and dollar portfolio are as explicit as general adapted coefficients permit. LetThe Brownian martingale representation theorem, with localization if only integrability is initially known, gives . The dollar portfolio from a deflated wealth martingale isThe bank holds dollars. Equivalently, with , . These formulas need no unjustified differentiability of a value function with random coefficients.
The printed assumption that is only increasing and concave does not guarantee that the interior formula exists, or even that the optimal value is finite. In general replace the inverse formula by an affordable selectionwhere is the wealth domain; boundary choices or supporting slopes handle nondifferentiability. Existence, finite cost and replication still have to hold. A concrete obstruction is the unbounded linear terminal-wealth utility: take , , , and the Brownian filtration. Then . For , the bounded nonnegative claimis replicable, costs , and has . Thus there is no finite optimal expected utility under the literal utility hypotheses alone. Also, bounded coefficients do not ensure market completeness in an arbitrarily enlarged filtration containing untraded randomness; the full replication formula uses the Brownian market information assumption stated above.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 40 3 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Assume, as in the Bayesian model, that the unknown drift is independent of the driving Brownian motion, with known positive prior precision . Recover the observed signal from the positive stock price:For a fixed time , the centered observed path is a Brownian bridge independent of : it is independent of the prior and has zero covariance with in their joint Gaussian law. Thus the whole observed history has the same posterior information about as its endpoint. This proves Brownian endpoint sufficiency for a constant drift rather than assuming it.
The likelihood of that endpoint, as a function of , is proportional to . Multiplying by the normal distribution prior and completing the square gives the Gaussian Brownian drift filterDefine the observed innovation process . It is a continuous observed-filtration martingale: for , independence of future noise and the tower property of conditional expectation give , so the conditional mean of its increment vanishes. Its quadratic variation is , since subtracting the finite-variation drift from does not change quadratic variation. The Lévy characterization of Brownian motion makes an observed-filtration Brownian motion. Differentiating the posterior mean givesConversely, the last equation determines from with deterministic coefficients and known initial value, and . Thus the observed and innovation filtrations coincide, supplying the natural Brownian information needed for replication. Consequently the observed stock dynamics are . Its observed market price of risk is , and its normalized state-price density solvesThe posterior mean is unbounded, so bounded-coefficient Novikov condition reasoning from Question 2 is not available automatically. A direct finite-horizon argument supplies true pricing. Relative to driftless Wiener measure for , the Bayesian mixture has observation densityA law with observation drift instead has density . ThereforeThis is the finite-horizon pricing density for Gaussian drift learning. The ratio changes the physical observed law into a genuine probability law, hence has mean one. Indeed, differentiation of the explicit likelihood, using , givesThe Itô formula therefore gives , agreeing with the stochastic exponential above. Under this pricing law the stock drift is .
For logarithmic utility, terminal marginal utility is . The state-price budget constraint and the marginal condition imply and . Since is constant, its conditional-expectation pricing process is constant as well. Thus the entire optimal wealth process isIndeed, for any other nonnegative admissible terminal wealth , the elementary inequality givesThis directly verifies optimality. Expected candidate log wealth is finite because and its time integral is finite on every fixed horizon. Applying the Itô formula to givesThe observed self-financing portfolio with risky dollar fraction has diffusion coefficient . Matching the coefficients proves the log-optimal investment with Gaussian drift learning ruleThe remaining dollars are held in the bank account; the fraction may be negative or exceed one because the question imposes neither short-sale nor borrowing restrictions.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 40 4 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Use column vectors for dollar holdings and put , and . The normalized state-price density isThe vector is the market price of risk. The density defines an equivalent risk-neutral measure, under which is Brownian motion and every stock has drift . A terminal claim with finite state-price cost is priced at . Nonsingularity of and the natural Brownian market information make this a complete market; in particular the optimal nonnegative payoff below can be replicated.
Let and . Apply the Itô formula to each log price, whose return variance is :Summing and dividing by proves the geometric stock index formulaThus , where . The factor applies to the whole bracket. The geometric average need not itself be a self-financing portfolio; its instantaneous drift is .
If is the dollar amount invested in stock , the bank account holds . The self-financing portfolio equation isEquivalently, gives . For share-holding notation replace by times the number of shares.
Static expected utility maximization uses the terminal budget . Since is an exogenous positive benchmark, differentiating in gives . An interior Lagrange multiplier for the budget therefore givesFor CRRA utility, write . Since , solving this marginal equation givesEvery positive lognormal moment is finite here, so the budget determines the constant uniquely. PutThenThis is also a sufficiency condition: concavity gives , and taking expectations and using the budget inequality proves global optimality.
To find the whole optimal process, set andSince , the moment-generating function of a normal distribution givesPricing the terminal payoff yields the explicit benchmark-relative power-utility portfolio wealthIts proportional diffusion coefficient is . Since the wealth diffusion coefficient for dollar fractions is , replication requiresUsing gives the requested fixed proportions:The drift matches the self-financing portfolio equation as well. Indeed, , so the drift of from the explicit formula isConsequently an equivalent form of the solution isThe bank account fraction is , with negative values representing borrowing. The first stock term is ordinary power-utility risk exposure, while the second hedges the random benchmark. At the logarithmic limit the benchmark term disappears, consistently with .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2008 iii Paper 39 1 ii Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
An equivalent martingale measure is a probability measure equivalent to the objective measure , meaning the two have exactly the same null events, under which the discounted stock is a martingale. In this one-period model the condition isThe discounted bank account is identically one. Integrability of the discounted stock is part of the martingale condition. In an augmented market the discounted price of every additional asset must satisfy the same condition.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2008 iii Paper 39 1 i Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
A one-period arbitrage is a portfolio of initial-information-measurable holdings with value such thatThe holdings are fixed during the period, so this is a self-financing strategy. A portfolio costing a negative amount with nonnegative terminal value also gives an arbitrage: invest its initial surplus in the strictly positive bank account to obtain a zero-cost portfolio with a strict gain. The same definition applies when further traded assets are added.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2008 iii Paper 39 2 iii Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let be the unique equivalent martingale measure. The risk-neutral pricing formula isFor the usual nonnegative strike and maturities , the monotonic bank account gives . ThereforeThe second inequality follows directly since the conditional expectation of a positive part is at least both zero and the conditional expectation of its argument; it is also conditional Jensen's inequality. Taking expectations proves , the maturity monotonicity of calls with nonnegative strikes.
If , then pointwise; positive discounting and expectation prove monotonicity of a European call price in strike. For , the pointwise inequalitygives convexity of a European call price in strike after the same operations. HenceThe maturity assertion uses ; it need not hold for a negative strike. For example, in the deterministic complete market with , a negative-strike call has price , which decreases with . The monotonicity assertions are non-strict, as equality can occur.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2008 iii Paper 40 1 a Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Put , assuming , and letThis state-price density prices the bank account and the risky asset. The Itô formula givesNonnegative wealth and consumption make the deflated cumulative gains a nonnegative local martingale, hence a supermartingale. Every admissible consumption stream therefore satisfies the state-price budget constraint .
Write for the inverse marginal utility. The Inada conditions make decreasing from infinity to zero. A positive Lagrange multiplier for the budget gives the pointwise condition . Thus, whenever a finite optimum exists and a multiplier exhausts the budget,The concave supporting-tangent inequality, integrated against the budget, proves optimality. These curvature and endpoint assumptions alone do not ensure that the infinite-horizon value is finite; part (b) gives the exact additional condition for power utility.
The optimal wealth is the conditional price of remaining consumption:It is nonnegative. Apply the Martingale representation theorem to the integrable total discounted consumption claim:Comparing with the deflated wealth equation yieldsThis constructs the portfolio without assuming extra smoothness of the value function. If the stationary value is twice differentiable with , optimization of its Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation instead gives and .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2009 iii Paper 32 2 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Use the natural filtration and the usual integrable definition of the Snell envelope. Since the factors are positive, its terminal value is . If , independence of random variables givesThe backward recursion therefore becomesThis proves the assertion by backward induction. All constants are finite and at least one. More explicitly,where the empty product is one. This is the Snell envelope of a multiplicative process. The standard Snell envelope hypothesis includes integrable rewards; independence of random variables and positivity then give finite first moments of the factors. If that hypothesis is dropped, an infinite-mean factor gives an infinite continuation value, so finite constants need not exist.
For the discrete-time binomial market, write . The assumptions give , positive bank account and stock prices, andThusThe finite discrete-time fundamental theorem of asset pricing states that a market with a strictly positive numéraire has no arbitrage if there is an equivalent probability measure under which all numéraire-denominated asset prices are martingales. The original probability measure is already such an equivalent martingale measure, proving no arbitrage.
The complete-market American-option pricing theorem identifies the discounted replication or superhedging value with the Snell envelope of the discounted exercise rewards. HereThe independent factors have common meanThe Snell envelope recursion consequently gives . At every time before , the continuation value strictly exceeds immediate exercise, so optimal exercise is at maturity. The undiscounted value process is , and the time-zero replication cost isIn fact is a martingale, not just a supermartingale, because the Snell envelope has no exercise compensator before maturity.
To hedge the optimally exercised payoff, subtract the two next-state portfolio equations. The first-period delta hedge isThe corresponding bank account holding, since , is . Substitution into either next-state equation verifies both terminal values at time one. Repeating this two-state calculation at every node gives a self-financing strategy replicating the maturity payoff. It also covers earlier exercise: at all dates, so the seller can meet any earlier payment with the available wealth.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2009 iii Paper 32 3 Solution 2026-10-14
On a fixed finite horizon, a self-financing strategy consists of predictable stock holdings , integrable against the price processes, and a bank account holding . Its wealth and gains satisfyAn admissible trading strategy has discounted wealth bounded below by a deterministic constant throughout the horizon. With the bounded short rate in this part, an undiscounted deterministic lower bound is equivalent after adjusting the constant. An arbitrage is an admissible zero-initial-cost strategy with almost surely and .
Put and define the market price of riskThe bounded coefficients and bounded inverse make bounded. Define the stochastic exponentialThe Novikov condition states that makes this exponential a true martingale with expectation one. Boundedness verifies the condition. Therefore defines an equivalent probability measure. The Girsanov theorem states thatis a -dimensional Brownian motion under . Substituting into the asset equations givesThus is an equivalent local martingale measure. The sufficient direction of the fundamental theorem of asset pricing says that such a measure excludes arbitrage among admissible self-financing strategies. Here the reason can be seen directly: is a local martingale under , and its lower bound makes it a supermartingale. Consequently implies , incompatible with the nonnegative terminal payoff of an arbitrage. Therefore the bounded-inverse market has no arbitrage.
For the requested law of one price counterexample, take a broader continuous-time local-martingale model on . Let be a Brownian motion, let , and set for . DefineThe given hitting-time fact gives almost surely. The corresponding physical hitting time is , so reaches one and then stays one. In particular it is continuous at maturity and .
For a rigorous closed-horizon localization, stop additionally when hits , or at if it never does. The stopped process is Brownian motion stopped on first exiting and subjected to the deterministic clock; it is a bounded martingale, including at . The stopping times increase to , since every Brownian path on the finite random interval has a finite maximum. Thus is a positive local martingale on the whole horizon. With the time-changed Brownian filtration, the original probability measure is an equivalent local martingale measure. The admissible-wealth supermartingale argument above proves no admissible arbitrage.
Nevertheless while , so the law of one price fails. Shorting one share and buying two units of cash has zero initial cost and terminal gain one, but its wealth is . It has no deterministic lower bound: for every , the probability of Brownian motion hitting before is , obtained by optional stopping of the bounded stopped Brownian motion. That apparently profitable strategy is therefore inadmissible. The counterexample deliberately uses a strict local martingale; the bounded-coefficient class in the first part has true discounted asset martingales and does satisfy the law of one price.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2009 iii Paper 32 5 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
For and , let and be the standard normal distribution function and density, and putThe exercise event is . Complete the square in the first truncated expectation:The probability of exercise is . Hence the normalized Black-Scholes call function isAt it is . If , the positive underlying always exceeds , so ; the reciprocal identity below is understood on its natural domain .
For the reciprocal strike, and . ThusThereforeThe case follows either by continuity or by checking the two positive parts directly.
For the stock model, the original probability measure is already risk-neutral: is a true martingale. Write . Conditional on , the stock at maturity iswith independent of current information and standard normal distribution. ThereforeEquivalently,which is a true martingale, since the payoff is integrable. The sufficient direction of the fundamental theorem of asset pricing says that an equivalent measure making all discounted traded prices local martingales excludes arbitrage by admissible trading strategies. The original measure works simultaneously for the bank account, stock and call. Thus the call-augmented market has no arbitrage.
For the put, hold one call, short one share, and hold units of the bank account. This self-financing portfolio has current value and terminal payoffIts discounted value is also the conditional expectation of that payoff. Thus the put-call parity priceadds another discounted martingale to the same market, proving no arbitrage with both call and put included.
Now put . The reciprocal identity givesThe resulting Put-call symmetry in the Black-Scholes model isThe final formula printed in the PDF has two errors: its discount-rate symbol is undefined, and the reciprocal argument has the wrong sign in the interest-rate exponential. Both are resolved by the displayed calculation. Even replacing the undefined symbol by leaves an incorrect expression with inside . For , and , is strictly decreasing in , because . The printed argument is smaller than the reciprocal argument and hence gives a strictly larger put price. Thus the literal printed symmetry cannot be established; the boxed expression is the corrected identity.