Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2001 iii Paper 22 3 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Here is the Brownian change-of-drift form of the Girsanov theorem. Let be a standard Brownian motion on and predictable with almost surely. Suppose the stochastic exponentialis a true martingale with . Define . Then is equivalent to andThe same statement holds in dimensions with scalar products, squared norms and a vector drift. Novikov's condition is a standard sufficient condition for the true-martingale hypothesis. Bounded is enough for all applications below.
For the proof, Itô formula gives . The Itô product rule gives the cancellationThe two drift terms cancel because . Stop when its absolute value reaches , at a time capped by . The same product calculation makes a local martingale under . Its absolute value is at most ; the density martingale is uniformly integrable over this finite horizon, so the stopped product is a true martingale. Bayes' conditional identity then givesAs increases, these stopping times exhaust the horizon by continuity. Thus is a continuous local martingale under . Adding a finite-variation drift does not change quadratic variation, so .
To prove the Brownian conclusion rather than just assert it, for every real apply Itô formula to . Its differential is , and its modulus is bounded on the fixed horizon, so it is a true martingale. ConsequentlyThe conditional characteristic function identifies a centered normal increment with variance , independent of the past. Together with continuity and , this proves the Brownian assertion. For vector , the same argument uses and gives the multivariate version. If , stopping and applying Itô formula to gives a uniform second-moment bound by Gronwall inequality; this proves uniform integrability of the stopped densities and the needed true-martingale property in the bounded case.
In the Black-Scholes model with its usual augmented Brownian filtration, write , , with . Take , the market price of risk. Under , the preceding change of drift givesso is a martingale. The Martingale representation theorem then makes integrable Brownian-market claims attainable and gives their risk-neutral pricing as discounted conditional expectations. The physical drift has disappeared from the price dynamics.
For the joint terminal-value and maximum law, first use the Brownian reflection principle at level . Reflecting a path after its first hit of preserves its law as a Brownian motion and sends a terminal value to ; the symmetry and strong Markov property of the post-hit increments justify this map. Thus, with ,Take the constant-drift exponential density . By Girsanov theorem, the coordinate process under this tilted measure has the law of under . Consequently, for and ,Completing the squares givesIntegrating provesHere is the standard normal distribution function. The first variable is the terminal Brownian value, distinct from its running maximum.
Set , and . Under the risk-neutral measure, . Taking in the joint law gives the probability of not hitting the upper level. Complementing it and discounting the unit payment at maturity gives the one-touch option priceThe exponential weight is also . The payment occurs at , even if the barrier was hit earlier, so its discount factor is , not a hitting-time discount factor.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2001 iii Paper 22 5 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Expected utility of terminal wealth. Let initial wealth be , maturity , and stock-dollar investment . A self-financing strategy in the Black-Scholes model has wealthChoose admissible strategies with nonnegative wealth, and an increasing strictly concave differentiable utility function satisfying the Inada conditions. Assume the required expectations are finite and the optimization is well posed; the resulting budget equation below must have a solution. Write andThis state-price density is the discounted density of the unique equivalent martingale measure. Nonnegative discounted wealth is a supermartingale under that measure, so every admissible terminal wealth obeys the state-price budget constraint .
Conversely a nonnegative terminal claim with finite such cost is financed by its conditional martingale price, which remains nonnegative; Brownian Martingale representation theorem constructs its holdings. Thus market completeness turns dynamic optimization into a terminal-payoff problem. Let be the inverse marginal utility, and choose from . Then the complete-market terminal utility optimizer isFor any feasible , concavity gives the pointwise tangent inequalityTaking expectations and using the budget proves optimality; strict concavity gives uniqueness up to null events. The optimal wealth process isIf its discounted martingale has representation , hold stock units and invest the remainder in the bank account. This derives the strategy, not only the terminal first-order condition.
The equivalent dynamic approach is the Bellman equation for terminal-wealth utility. For a smooth concave value , dynamic programming and Itô formula giveFor , maximizing the concave quadratic gives . For an arbitrary admissible control the Itô drift of is nonpositive; localization and integrability therefore bound its expected terminal utility by . The maximizing control makes the drift zero, giving equality when the verification expectations are valid.
For CRRA utility , , , substitution givesThe optimal stock fraction is constant. Its geometric wealth dynamics stay positive, so it is feasible. For logarithmic utility the fraction is and . Risk aversion controls the risky exposure, while the market price of risk controls its reward.
Pricing claims depending on the path. For a path-dependent contingent claim , the risk-neutral pricing process isFor square-integrable discounted , the Brownian Martingale representation theorem gives . Since , the replicating holding is , with bank units . Thus path dependence does not destroy market completeness; it changes the information needed to determine the price and hedge.
For an arithmetic Asian option, introduce and seek . Because , Itô formula givesThe stock holding is . The state records the already observed average; current stock price alone cannot recover it.
A Geometric Asian option admits an explicit conditional calculation. Let and . Conditional on time , the normal law of has mean and varianceIndeed its random part is , by stochastic Fubini; the Itô isometry gives . Completing the square in a normal exponential integral proves the conditional geometric-average Asian option formulafor . This explicitly includes the known past log-average. Holding that past integral fixed when differentiating the price gives the stock holdingThe normal-density derivative terms cancel because .
For a lookback option use . A floating-strike put pays . Its price obeys the ordinary Black-Scholes equation in , with terminal value . The extra Itô term is ; since is carried by , self-financing requires the running-maximum boundary for a lookback option before maturity. Equivalently its price follows from the upper-hitting probabilities in Question 3:This uses and . For a barrier option, the state must additionally record whether the barrier has already been hit; a no-rebate knockout price has an absorbing zero boundary. These augmentations give tractable PDEs or conditional-expectation computations while retaining the same martingale pricing and claim replication principle.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2002 iii Paper 29 3 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let be the normal distribution density. The Brownian reflection principle gives the killed endpoint densityIndeed, reflection after the first hit of maps paths ending below that have hit the barrier to paths ending at ; symmetry gives .
By the Girsanov theorem, weighting the path law by makes the coordinate process a Brownian motion with drift . Completing the two squares yieldsIntegration up to proves the joint endpoint and maximum law for drifted Brownian motion:Here is the standard normal distribution function. Setting also gives a continuous barrier distribution, so equality at the barrier has zero probability.
For the up-and-in option, use the risk-neutral measure of the Black-Scholes model with interest rate and spot volatility . ThenAbove , the barrier has certainly been reached. Below , subtracting the killed density from the unrestricted endpoint density leaves . Thus the discounted expected value of its payoff isIn the second integral put , and defineThen , means , and . Both integrals now use the unrestricted terminal stock distribution. This proves that the reflected European payoff for an up-and-in option isTheir initial risk-neutral pricing values agree for payoffs with finite absolute expectations in these integrals. The identity concerns prices; the two terminal payoffs need not agree along individual paths.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2002 iii Paper 29 5 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let , , and let have the standard normal distribution. For a twice differentiable payoff with enough growth control for the following expectations and derivatives, risk-neutral pricing in the dividend-free Black-Scholes model givesThe conditional discounted payoff is a martingale under the risk-neutral measure. Applying the Itô formula to and setting its drift to zero therefore gives the Black-Scholes equationThe delta hedge holds shares; the remaining bond value is , or units of the zero-coupon bond. Substitution in the Itô formula and the displayed equation gives , proving replication and self-financing.
Differentiating the pricing expectation in the current stock price gives its option delta and option gamma:Thus a nondecreasing payoff has a nondecreasing price; a nonincreasing payoff has a nonincreasing price. A convex payoff has , and a concave payoff has . This is convexity preservation in Black-Scholes pricing.
The Black-Scholes parameter sensitivities follow directly from the same expectation. Differentiation in the interest rate gives the option rhoFor spot volatility, differentiation first givesThe Gaussian integration by parts identity , applied to , cancels the term containing and gives the option vegaConsequently increasing spot volatility increases a convex payoff's value and decreases a concave payoff's value, with weak inequalities in affine or degenerate cases. A short bond position gives positive option rho, while a long bond position gives negative option rho. The physical stock drift does not enter these prices: the risk-neutral measure replaces it by .
The option theta is the calendar-time derivative at fixed current stock price. The Black-Scholes equation givesFor , a convex payoff with therefore has , while a concave payoff with has . The signs are strict when . At , an affine payoff can give equality. Remaining-maturity sensitivity is when the payoff is independent of . All these time comparisons hold at fixed current stock price.
The stated time-monotonicity conclusion needs the nonnegative-rate condition. For example, the convex affine payoff hasThus with negative interest rates it provides an explicit counterexample even though the replica is short in bonds.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2003 iii Paper 32 3 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
For the Brownian first-passage time to a line, set and choose , so . The Exponential martingale for Brownian motion , stopped at , obeysThe optional stopping theorem at the bounded time gives expectation one. The contribution from is at most , and tends to zero. Taking therefore yieldsLetting shows that the hitting probability is one for and for ; in the latter case the hitting-time law has mass at infinity.
To derive the finite-time linear-boundary Brownian first-passage distribution, put . This is Brownian motion with drift , and the event is . For driftless Brownian motion, the Brownian reflection principle says that the joint endpoint density on this event equals the normal density when and the reflected density when , where . The constant-drift change of measure weights these densities by . Thus the crossing probability isCompleting the square gives respectively and . Substituting provesThe density weighting follows directly from the Exponential martingale for Brownian motion, or the Girsanov theorem, on the fixed finite horizon; it does not require eventual hitting.
For the barrier digital call, under the risk-neutral measure in the Black-Scholes model,Assume , put and . The upper stock barrier is reached exactly when reaches . The payment is at the fixed maturity , not at the random hitting time. Hence its price isIf , use the deterministic path instead: the value is if that path reaches by , and zero otherwise. The nondegenerate formula concerns the usual positive-volatility model.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2003 iii Paper 32 5 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Use the physical dynamics of the Black-Scholes model, , with bank rate and . Write for the market price of risk. If is portfolio wealth, the dollar amount in stock, and the consumption rate, the budget dynamics areAdmissible controls are progressively measurable, locally integrable in the required drift and diffusion norms, and keep . Such a solvency restriction excludes doubling-type strategies. In a complete Brownian market, the investment-consumption problem is to maximizewhere the utility functions are increasing and concave. A terminal-only problem omits the integral. Strict concavity gives uniqueness of optimal consumption and terminal wealth when an optimum exists.
The state-price density isThe Itô formula givesThus is a nonnegative local martingale, hence a supermartingale, yielding the state-price budget constraintConversely, a nonnegative consumption plan and terminal payoff satisfying budget equality and the necessary integrability can be financed in the Brownian complete market. DefineThe Brownian martingale representation theorem for the total future budget supplies a stochastic-integral coefficient; comparing it with defines . This reconstructs the wealth equation with . Localization gives the representation for integrable positive budgets when an assumption is not available.
For smooth strictly concave utilities with the usual marginal-utility range, let and be the inverse marginal utility functions. The Lagrange-multiplier solution iswhere makes the budget an equality. This is a global argument, not merely formal differentiation: the concave supporting-tangent inequality giveswith the analogous terminal inequality. Taking expectations, integrating, and applying the budget bound makes the difference in objectives nonpositive. Replication of the candidate budget proves attainability and optimality whenever these expectations are well-defined and finite. If the marginal-utility ranges or integrability conditions fail, existence must be established separately rather than inferred from the first-order equations.
A detailed example is constant relative risk aversion utility and , with , , , and . PutThe optimal plans from the marginal-utility equations are and . The normal distribution of gives, for ,The budget therefore becomes , determining the multiplier explicitly. Independent Brownian increments in the conditional budget formula give . The diffusion coefficient of is , so matching the wealth diffusion determines the dollar stock holding. Consequently the finite-horizon power-utility investment and consumption optimum isAll candidate moments are finite on a finite horizon, since powers of a lognormal state-price density have finite moments. The budget and tangent argument above therefore verify optimality in this example, including admissibility and positive wealth.
For another verification of the formulas, the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation for a value function with discount measured from the current time isSubstitute . The two concave maximizations give the displayed controls, and the remaining equation is with , exactly solved by the formula above. ThusFor , interpret the integral as , so . Unlike the infinite-horizon Merton consumption-investment problem, finite horizons do not require . Consumption vanishes in the terminal-only formulation; then the integral term in is absent and the optimal stock fraction remains . Logarithmic utility is handled directly with inverse marginal utility and the same wealth-to-consumption formula at , with .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2004 iii Paper 34 3 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
A useful finite-horizon form of the Girsanov theorem is as follows. Let be a Brownian motion and an adapted, progressively measurable process with almost surely. Suppose its stochastic exponentialis a true martingale with mean one. The Novikov condition is a sufficient condition. Under the equivalent probability measure , the process is a Brownian motion.
For the proof sketch, the Itô formula gives . Integration by parts cancels the drift in , since from cancels . After localization, the Bayes formula for conditional expectation makes a continuous local martingale under . Its quadratic variation is still , because adding a finite-variation process does not change quadratic variation. One can see the Brownian conclusion directly: for real , the Itô formula makes a local martingale. Its modulus is bounded on the fixed horizon, so it is a true martingale. ThusThis is the conditional characteristic function of a centered normal distribution with variance , independent of the past. Continuity and these independent normal increments give the defining properties of Brownian motion.
Now put and , the standard normal distribution function. At zero drift the endpoint density of paths staying below isIndeed, reflect the portion of a path after its first hitting time of . By continuity and the independent symmetric Brownian motion increments after this stopping time, reflection preserves its probability law and maps a crossing path ending at to a path ending at . This subtracts exactly from the unrestricted endpoint density; it is the Brownian reflection principle.
Taking the constant drift tilt in the Girsanov theorem makes under have the same law as under . Therefore the desired finite-horizon maximum of Brownian motion with drift has probabilityCompleting squares gives and . HenceThe maximum has no atom at a positive level, so strict and weak barrier inequalities agree. This also follows from continuity of the displayed distribution function. At the formula reduces to .
For the up-and-out power claim, write and use the risk-neutral measure for the Black-Scholes model, under whichwith . The barrier survives exactly when . Its risk-neutral pricing value isThe factor inside the expectation is a mean-one Exponential martingale for Brownian motion. Under the probability tilted by it, is a Brownian motion, so the barrier process has drift . Applying the preceding survival formula yieldsAs , the bracket tends to one and the price becomes the discounted second moment . As , it tends to zero. If , use the deterministic path instead: the price is when , and zero otherwise. At , with , the price is simply .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2004 iii Paper 34 5 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Write , and specify the physical Black-Scholes model as , with constant and bank rate . The physical drift is needed for an expected utility calculation; a pricing model specified only under a risk-neutral measure does not determine the investor's preferences over risky positions. PutHere is the market price of risk, is the density of the risk-neutral measure , and is the state-price density. The Girsanov theorem makes a Brownian motion under .
For a dollar holding in the stock and consumption rate , the portfolio wealth equation isSince , integration by parts gives the useful deflated wealth equation with consumptionFor strategies with a true deflated gain martingale, terminal wealth and consumption obey the state-price budget constraintFor nonnegative wealth and consumption, the admissibility condition can instead give a budget inequality; increasing utilities use the full budget at an optimum. Conversely, suitable integrable payoff and consumption plans with this budget are financeable in the Brownian complete market. To construct the strategy, setBy the Brownian martingale representation theorem, write . The required dollar stock holding is ; substitution in the deflated gain equation verifies financing. Remaining wealth goes into the bank account. For square-integrable data the representation holds directly, and localization handles the customary integrable admissible data.
First take no consumption. For an increasing strictly concave differentiable utility function whose marginal derivative can be inverted, let . Choose so thatThis candidate is not merely a first-order guess. The concave supporting-tangent inequality gives, pointwise,Taking expectations and using the budget proves for every feasible competitor. Finance the optimizer by its risk-neutral pricing value , using the preceding representation to find the holdings.
For a merely concave differentiable utility function, the general formulation is to select from the maximizers of over its wealth domain, and choose the multiplier to satisfy the budget. If increasing utility is not assumed, the equality-budget multiplier may have either sign; the positive-multiplier inverse formula above is for increasing utility. Flat portions allow multiple maximizers; boundaries require one-sided inequalities rather than equality of marginal derivatives. Existence of a multiplier, integrability and an admissible maximizer must be checked. Concavity alone does not guarantee a well-posed problem: with unrestricted dollar positions, linear utility and permits unbounded expected terminal wealth. The explicit utilities below satisfy the needed conditions in their stated domains.
For exponential utility on , and . ThereforeThe budget is equivalently , since . Under , , giving . HenceMatching the Brownian coefficient of with gives the finite-horizon exponential-utility portfolioHold shares and invest in the bank account. This is a dollar amount, not a fixed wealth fraction. The Gaussian exponential formula also gives the optimal expected utilityThis calculation uses unrestricted wealth and an admissibility class permitting the displayed Gaussian terminal wealth, with integrable deflated gains and the relevant exponential moment. A nonnegative-wealth constraint would change the optimizer; no such constraint is imposed on this exponential-utility example.
For both terminal and running utility function, choose and a nonnegative adapted consumption rate to maximize subject to the combined budget. Pointwise maximization of and gives, for interior strictly concave cases,Apply the concave supporting-tangent inequality to and to at every time, then integrate and take expectations. The difference in objectives is at most times the difference in budget expenditures, which is nonpositive. This proves optimality, not just the marginal conditions. The financing value isThe question's consumption rate is denoted here to keep it distinct from interest-rate notation.
For logarithmic utility with , , assume and positive wealth and consumption. The marginal conditions and budget giveEach state-price-weighted payment is deterministic, so conditional valuation immediately gives . Put . Since the Itô formula gives , this value satisfiesComparison with the wealth equation verifies the complete finite-horizon logarithmic investment and consumption strategy:Thus the optimal share holding is , and the remaining value is in the bank account; borrowing or shorting is allowed if that value or the stock holding is negative. Terminal wealth is positive and consumption is positive throughout. Finally , so the optimal objective, if desired explicitly, isFinite-horizon lognormal moments ensure the budget and expected utilities are finite, completing the feasibility and optimality checks.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2004 iii Paper 35 4 c Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let denote the strike, , and suppose , , and . Under the Black-Scholes model and the risk-neutral measure, is normal withApplying risk-neutral valuation to the European call option payoff givesUse , whose differential is precisely the normal density times . The threshold is , soEquivalently, rescale the tail interval to obtain on .
For independent uniform inputs, the Monte Carlo estimator is . It is unbiased, converges by the strong law of large numbers, and has variance . The payoff has finite second moment because the lognormal stock has finite moments. Its estimated standard error is the sample standard deviation divided by .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 35 3 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
On a finite horizon , let be a standard -dimensional Brownian motion and let be a predictable process with almost surely. Suppose the stochastic exponentialis a true martingale with . The Novikov condition is a sufficient condition. The Girsanov theorem says that under ,Because , the two measures are equivalent on the terminal sigma-algebra.
For the proof sketch, Itô formula gives . Apply the product rule to . Its finite-variation term is cancelled by . After localization the product is a martingale under , and the conditional change-of-measure formula makes a local martingale under . Adding finite variation leaves its covariations unchanged: . The Lévy characterization of multidimensional Brownian motion completes the proof. Localization is essential if the integrands are not bounded; the true-martingale hypothesis on permits the final measure change.
For the deal, write and use constant interest rate , volatility and no stock dividends. Under the risk-neutral measure, the Black-Scholes model isFor example this follows from the preceding theorem with when the physical stock drift is . The delivered shares have terminal cash value , so its initial value isThe factor must be included: the deal is a stock delivery, not a cash payment of the random number of shares.
Use the stock-numeraire measure in the Black-Scholes model, whose density isThe Girsanov theorem gives as Brownian motion under . ThereforeThe discrete geometric average under the stock-numeraire measure has normally distributed logarithm withThe last identity uses the printed descending order of sampling times. Each is the minimum in exactly ordered pairs. In particular .
Assume the ordinary positive deal parameters and put , . The change of numeraire gives , where . Split the integral at . Completing the square in times the normal probability density givesThus the stock-delivery option with a geometric average has valueHere is the standard normal distribution function. Delivery time does not enter separately once the sampling dates are fixed: the stock numeraire cancels the final stock factor and discounting. As a check, for one sample at , the payment is and the formula becomes the value of shares plus a put on their terminal value. If the value is ; if the value is .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 35 5 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let be the centered normal probability density with variance , and take . For a zero-drift Brownian motion , reflect the path after its first hit of . The Brownian reflection principle identifies endpoints on paths that have hit with endpoints . Thus the endpoint density on paths staying below is for .
To introduce drift , use the Girsanov theorem with likelihood . The coordinate path then has the law of . Since the likelihood depends only on the endpoint, the joint event in question has probabilityCompleting the two squares givesConsequently the joint endpoint and maximum law for drifted Brownian motion isThe endpoint and the maximum have no relevant atom at the boundary, so the same integral includes .
For the down-and-in claim, use non-dividend-paying Black-Scholes model dynamics under the risk-neutral measure. Put andLet be the first time the stock reaches . If , continuity ensures , so these terminal values contribute the payoff . For , lower-barrier reflection followed by the same exponential tilt gives the endpoint density on paths that have hit the barrier:Indeed at zero drift the reflected density is , and multiplying by gives the displayed expression.
Thus the remaining, undiscounted payoff expectation isSet andThen , , and is equivalent to . The integration variable has the ordinary terminal log-price density. Adding the first contribution therefore proves the static terminal-payoff representation of a down-and-in claim:This holds for nonnegative measurable payoffs, and for signed payoffs whenever the expectations are absolutely integrable. It is an equality of prices, not equality of pathwise terminal payments.
For the call, write for the ordinary European call option value, with remaining lifetime and strike . Before activation take current spot . The first term in is zero because the call pays nothing below . The second term reduces to , since . The homogeneity therefore gives the inactive down-and-in claim valueAt its value is , as required by activation. Its pre-activation option delta, however, has boundary limitwhereas the active contract's delta hedge holds shares. The stock holding consequently jumps byThis jump is strictly positive, even for negative interest rates. To verify that there is no exceptional cancellation, put and . The density for log-price paths killed at the lower barrier isThe down-and-out claim is the ordinary call minus . Differentiate its value at : the bracket vanishes there and its derivative is . Consequently its derivative with respect to the spot at isThis derivative is exactly the displayed delta jump. Thus on reaching the barrier before maturity the number of shares changes discontinuously. The portfolio value remains continuous; the bank position changes to finance the share adjustment. Hitting precisely at maturity has probability zero and does not alter this conclusion. This is the delta jump at activation of a down-and-in call.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 ii Paper 4 28J c Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14
Assume a positive barrier . Under the zero-rate risk-neutral Black-Scholes model, starts at and is Brownian motion with variance rate and drift . The drifted transition density killed at zero isTo see the factor, multiply the zero-drift reflected Gaussian difference by ; its second term is the ordinary drifted Gaussian from starting point times .
Integrate the payoff against this density. The first term is . Since , the payoff is zero for , so the second integral may be extended to all real and equals the ordinary call price from reflected spot . The reflection weight is . Thus the down-and-out European call value isThis assumes continuous monitoring and knock-out on first hitting, with no rebate.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 39 3 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Subtract the boundary slope from the Brownian motion: . Then is the first-passage time of to the fixed level . The zero-drift Brownian reflection principle givesHere is the standard normal distribution function. To change the drift to , use the Girsanov theorem on each finite horizon, with density . On , conditional expectation at the stopped time gives , because the density is a true martingale. Since , the drifted Brownian first-passage density is consequentlyThere may be additional mass at infinite hitting time; the displayed density only describes finite passage. With , apply the given zero-drift Brownian first-passage Laplace transform:The zero-discount limit is for and for , so the hitting probability is less than one precisely when the line moves away with positive slope.
For a direct verification of the linear-boundary Brownian first-passage distribution, defineBoth terms tend to zero as . Let be the standard normal density. The identityfollows by expanding the two squares. Differentiating the two normal probabilities then givesSince this is the previously derived hitting density and both distribution functions start at zero,This proof applies to every real , including the defective distribution when .
For the barrier digital put, use the dividend-free Black-Scholes model with constant interest rate and spot volatility . Under the risk-neutral measure,Set andReaching the barrier is equivalent to reaching . The contingent claim pays one only on the survival event . Risk-neutral pricing therefore givesThis is a path-survival price, not the price of a terminal digital put option. Continuity of the stock paths and the absence of an atom in the finite-horizon maximum imply that alternative touching conventions change no price. As , the value tends to ; as , it tends to zero. Both checks agree with the survival interpretation.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 39 5 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let , , , and . Use a dividend-free Black-Scholes model with constant interest rate . The terminal payoff is assumed independent of the parameters being varied. In addition to twice differentiability, impose enough integrability to differentiate the pricing formula; for example, of polynomial growth suffice. Twice differentiability alone is not enough: the smooth payoff has infinite expectation under every nondegenerate lognormal distribution.
Under the risk-neutral measure , future stock values conditional on have the formClaim replication, or equivalently the martingale property of discounted value in the complete market, givesThe replicating strategy holds the option delta shares and bank-account value . No physical drift parameter appears: the Girsanov theorem replaces the physical drift by under the pricing measure, and the replication argument cancels it directly. The risk-neutral pricing operator is linear in the payoff and preserves pointwise payoff inequalities.
Here is a verification of the Black-Scholes equation using the integral itself. Differentiation in spot givesDifferentiating with respect to givesFor , the Gaussian integration by parts identity yieldsSubstitution cancels the term and provesSince , this is precisely the Black-Scholes equation. As , and growth control permits passage to the limit, giving . The delta hedge then supplies the admissible replicating gains under the same regularity assumptions.
The Black-Scholes parameter sensitivities describe the dependence on the model parameters without assuming a particular payoff. If is increasing, then . If is convex, then , so its price is convex in spot. The option gamma measures the response of the option delta to spot changes.
For the interest rate, the distribution of the future stock also changes with , so looking only at discounting gives the wrong general answer. Differentiation gives the option rhoThus a short bank-account position gives positive rate sensitivity, while a positive bank-account position gives negative rate sensitivity. For a cash payoff the result is negative; for the payoff it is zero.
For spot volatility, differentiate the lognormal multiplier and then use Gaussian integration by parts:Consequently a convex payoff has nonnegative option vega. This monotonicity can also be understood by a mean-preserving increase of dispersion in the discounted stock. Strict positivity requires nonzero curvature seen with positive probability; an affine payoff has zero option vega.
Time enters through the remaining maturity . Holding spot fixed, the Black-Scholes equation givesUnder the conventional assumption , a convex payoff and a short bond position imply . The inequality is strict if , or if with positive volatility. Thus the price at fixed stock value is nonincreasing in calendar time, and nondecreasing in maturity, under these hypotheses. It is not a claim that the realized stochastic price path decreases: that path still has Brownian exposure .
The printed conclusion needs the nonnegative-rate qualification; it is false for arbitrary negative rates. For , the twice-differentiable convex payoff hasThis is an exact counterexample, not a failure of the pricing formula. Also, with and an affine payoff, “decreasing” can only mean nonincreasing. Without payoff monotonicity or the specified bond-position sign, neither the spot nor rate nor time sensitivity has a universal sign. Any additional payoff parameter, such as a strike, is differentiated through ; pointwise payoff ordering, rather than a generic parameter rule, determines its price effect.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2007 iii Paper 41 2 iv Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
For the Cox-Ross-Rubinstein diffusion approximation, fix calendar maturity , take , and choose , , and the one-step bank factor . For sufficiently fine mesh, . The risk-neutral probability expands asEach stock log-increment is . Its mean under is and its variance is . Independent increments, their vanishing maximum size, and the Donsker invariance principle for this triangular array give the path limitExponentiation gives the geometric Brownian motion of the Black-Scholes model, and the bank account tends to .
The physical model is matched by taking . Its corresponding limit has log drift , so . The likelihood ratios from part (ii) have the matching continuous-time limit. With , a Taylor expansion of their two possible log-multipliers giveswhere is or . Thus the limiting Radon-Nikodym derivative is the Girsanov theorem density , turning the physical stock drift into .
The binomial risk-neutral pricing formula converges to for bounded continuous terminal payoffs by convergence in distribution. For ordinary call and put payoffs, uniform stock second-moment bounds give the required uniform integrability and hence convergence despite unboundedness. Bounded payoffs with discontinuities only at events of zero limiting probability are handled by the same weak-convergence criterion. Corresponding continuous path functionals can be treated at the process level. Arbitrary discontinuous path claims do not follow from weak convergence without further conditions. In the smooth limiting model, the discrete hedging difference quotient becomes the delta hedge , and its value satisfies the Black-Scholes equation.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2007 iii Paper 41 3 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let and write for the Brownian terminal density. By the Brownian reflection principle, for the reflected paths that hit and end at have terminal density . HenceThe Girsanov theorem changes zero drift into drift using the finite-horizon density . The finite-horizon maximum of Brownian motion with drift therefore has distribution functionIn the first integral term, complete the square to get a normal density with mean . In the second, substitute and complete the square with mean ; the prefactor is . Here is the standard normal distribution function, and .
Let , with real. Survival means that stays below . Tilt by ; under the tilted probability, has drift . Applying the maximum formula with drift gives the exponential terminal moment below a linear Brownian boundaryThis holds for every real . The maximum distribution has no atom at the positive barrier, so strict or weak survival inequalities give the same probability here.
For the hitting-time moment, first use drift in the maximum formula and take the complementary probability:If and , their standard normal densities satisfy . Differentiating the two terms, with and , yields the drifted Brownian first-passage densityIts total mass need not be one, because the upward-sloping boundary may never be reached.
For , put . Multiplication by gives . Integrating to produces truncated discounted Brownian first passage, with negative discount rate allowed when the square root remains real:This includes the equality case , where it becomes . The expression integrates only finite hitting times up to ; no value is assigned to an exponential at an infinite hitting time.
For the cash-at-hit digital call, use the risk-neutral measure in the Black-Scholes model and denote expiry by . ThenHitting corresponds to , where and . The unit-cash payment is made at the hitting time, so risk-neutral valuation discounts at that time, not at expiry. Set andThe identity on the right verifies the square-root condition even for negative interest rates. The time-zero price isThis is in pounds for the unit-pound contract. It differs from a maturity-paid digital call option, whose discounting and exercise event are different.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2007 iii Paper 41 5 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let , and assume the payoff has sufficient integrability for risk-neutral valuation. Under the risk-neutral measure , the Black-Scholes model has , so conditionally on ,Absence of arbitrage gives the time- priceFor a regular payoff this is the solution of the Black-Scholes equation with terminal value , and the delta hedge replicates it. Suitable limits or conditional-expectation representations extend the price formula beyond smooth terminal payoffs.
For the logarithmic stock payoff, put . Its Gaussian moment-generating function is , while differentiating that moment gives . ThereforeThe option delta is , and the second stock derivative is . The Black-Scholes equation can also be checked directly from .
For general convex , let . For , convexity givesTaking the positive discounted expectation proves that is convex. Its derivative, where defined, is therefore nondecreasing, proving that the stock holding in the delta hedge rises weakly with the stock price. For twice differentiable , differentiation gives . For a merely convex payoff, Gaussian smoothing at and the usual growth assumptions give the same conclusion; one-sided derivatives are monotone even without smoothing. Strict increase is not implied by convexity alone: an affine payoff has constant option delta.
For the random constant Gaussian interest-rate mixture, represent the rate as , with independent standard normal variables. This independence simply represents averaging the constant-rate price function over its Gaussian parameter. Completing the square in yields the identityApply it inside the time-zero price formula:The combined normal term has variance . Define and . Then the discount factor is , and the log-price mean is . Thus the expectation is exactly the constant-parameter Black-Scholes model price with those parameters:The argument applies to nonnegative payoffs by Tonelli theorem, and to signed payoffs whenever absolute integrability justifies the expectations. It averages constant-rate prices; it does not assume a stochastic short-rate process.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2007 ii Paper 4 28J Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14
In the Black-Scholes model, the stock follows geometric Brownian motion , with constant volatility, and a risk-free account earns constant rate . Frictionless continuous self-financing trading and no arbitrage lead to risk-neutral drift . With , risk-neutral lognormality givesThis is the Black-Scholes digital option formula, obtained by discounting , not the stock-weighted probability of an ordinary call. Differentiation gives the Delta hedgewhere are the standard normal distribution and density. At fixed , the density term decays faster than grows, so delta tends to zero. At , and diverges. Thus a narrowing, increasingly large delta spike forms around the strike. The terminal payoff is discontinuous: frequent large hedge adjustments near the strike, transaction costs, jumps, discrete trading, and small model or price errors make practical replication difficult. A fixed path avoiding the strike and the at-the-strike limit need not behave alike.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2008 iii Paper 39 4 i Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Use the usual Black-Scholes model with and the filtration generated by . SetFor , independence and the Gaussian distribution exponential moment formula give . Thus is a strictly positive martingale of mean one, defining an equivalent measure on every finite horizon by .
To verify the measure change directly, put . For any real and ,The conditional characteristic function is that of and does not depend on past information. Therefore has independent increments with Gaussian distribution and continuous paths, and is a Brownian motion under . Substituting gives . Hence is a geometric Brownian motion that is a martingale and is an equivalent martingale measure.
The form is also forced. By the Brownian martingale representation theorem, any density process that is a martingale has . The change of measure identity makes a local martingale under . Its drift, calculated by Itô formula, is , which must vanish. Thus . Solving with gives exactly the displayed stochastic exponential. Equivalence here is on each finite horizon, as usual for Black-Scholes pricing.