Parameter space 2026-10-31
The parameter space of a statistical model is the set of allowed statistical parameter values indexing its probability distributions. For an exponential distribution parametrized by its mean, ; for a Bernoulli distribution, . Intersecting a confidence interval with the known parameter space cannot remove the true statistical parameter and therefore preserves its coverage probability.
Here the exponential distribution is parametrized by its mean, so for and . Its log-likelihood and maximum-likelihood estimate areFor one observation, . Since , its Fisher information is . Consequently the estimated standard error is , givingThis is a large-sample confidence interval, not an exact one. If its lower endpoint is negative, intersecting with the parameter space removes impossible values without excluding any possible true statistical parameter.