Complement of an event 2026-10-06
The event that does not occur has probability . Conditioning on an event positively associated with negatively associates its complement with .
Continuous modification Created 2026-10-05 Updated 2026-10-06
A continuous modification of a stochastic process is a modification of a stochastic process whose paths are continuous outside a single null event. For a process originally given only on a countable dense set, the analogous construction gives a continuous extension agreeing simultaneously at all original indices. The Kolmogorov continuity theorem and dyadic increment chaining are standard ways to obtain it.
Disjoint events 2026-10-06
Two events are disjoint when they cannot both occur. For a finite family of pairwise disjoint events, the probability of their union is the sum of their probabilities, so that sum is at most one. This condition differs from the condition defining independent events.
Fixed-level versus simultaneous Brownian passage-time equality Created 2026-10-05 Updated 2026-10-07
For standard Brownian motion, set and . The Strong Markov property and immediate positive excursions give almost surely for each fixed . However, these level-indexed processes are not indistinguishable stochastic processes. Almost surely the random level is positive and exceeds . It is first attained before time one but is not exceeded until after time one, so . The simultaneous-equality event therefore has probability zero. The strict passage process is the right-continuous choice needed for a subordinator.
Suppose a nonnegative stopping time and constants , satisfy on . Take to be a positive integer in discrete time. ThenOn the surviving event, conditional survival is at most . The tower property of conditional expectation therefore givesInduction proves the geometric bound. Partitioning the tail integral into intervals of length then gives ; in discrete time, group the tail sum into successive integer indices instead. This proves finite expected hitting times when every surviving state has a uniform positive chance of escaping within a fixed time. It works in discrete or continuous time without assuming independence of successive survival events.
Kolmogorov axioms Created 2026-09-29 Updated 2026-10-03
The Kolmogorov axioms require a probability measure to be nonnegative, normalized by , and countably additive on pairwise disjoint events.
Modification of a stochastic process Created 2026-10-05 Updated 2026-10-07
Processes on the same probability space and index set are modifications of each other if for each fixed index . This differs from indistinguishability of stochastic processes, which requires equality at all indices on a single event of probability one. Equality at a countable dense set upgrades to indistinguishability when both processes have continuous paths.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2001 ia Paper 4 6E Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-24
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2002 ia Paper 2 12F d Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-24
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2002 ia Paper 2 3F Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-24
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2002 ia Paper 2 9F a Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-24
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2002 ia Paper 2 9F d Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-24
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2004 ia Paper 2 10F Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-24