Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2001 ib Paper 1 3D Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-24
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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2016 ib Paper 1 19H a Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-06
A statistic is a sufficient statistic for if the conditional distribution of the data given does not depend on . For a dominated family with density or mass function , the Fisher-Neyman factorization theorem states that this is equivalent towhere is nonnegative and independent of , and is nonnegative and depends on the data only through .
For a discrete sample space, suppose first that the factorization holds. If , summing over the fibre gives , soThis conditional distribution is independent of , proving that is a sufficient statistic. Conversely, let be the common conditional mass function guaranteed by the sufficient statistic property, for every fibre attainable under at least one parameter. Set and . Then . Fibres never attained under any parameter can be assigned any conditional distribution, since their multiplying probability is always zero. This proves both directions of the discrete criterion, including possible parameter-dependent supports.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2016 ib Paper 1 19H c Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-06
Write , and . The joint probability density factors asBy the Fisher-Neyman factorization theorem, is a sufficient statistic. The same factorization shows that the smaller statistic is also a sufficient statistic. This gives the sufficient statistic for a symmetric uniform sample.
In fact, the likelihood-ratio criterion for minimal sufficiency identifies as a minimal sufficient statistic: two sample points with the same have identical likelihoods for all ; with different , their likelihoods have different parameter supports, and so are not proportional as functions of . Equivalently, the condition that for every and some positive constant holds exactly when their absolute maxima agree.
To see rigorously that cannot be recovered from almost surely, fix any . The sample has a distribution invariant under simultaneous sign reversal. If almost surely, the same identity would hold for the sign-reversed sample on another probability-one set. Since is unchanged by sign reversal, it would follow thatand hence almost surely. But this event has probability zero for a finite sample from a continuous uniform distribution: it entails for some pair of indices, including the possible case . Therefore is not a function of the sufficient statistic . The pair of extrema is not minimally sufficient, for every , even though it is sufficient.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2017 ib Paper 1 19H a Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-05
A sufficient statistic has a conditional distribution of the full data given its value that is independent of the unknown parameter. A minimal sufficient statistic is sufficient and is a function of every other sufficient statistic, up to null sets. For a dominated family with common positive support, the likelihood-ratio criterion for minimal sufficiency states that is minimal sufficient if holds exactly when is independent of .
For , the joint probability mass function isThe Fisher-Neyman factorization theorem proves sufficiency of . For two samples, the likelihood ratio is , independent of exactly when their sums agree. Thus is minimal sufficient. Any one-to-one transformation of it is also minimal sufficient, so chooseThis chosen estimator is an unbiased estimator, since each observation has mean . If instead the statistic is reported as , its expectation is , and as an estimator of it has bias (zero only when ). Being a minimal sufficient statistic is unchanged by this rescaling; being an unbiased estimator is not.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2017 ib Paper 1 7H b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-05
Since , the indicator is an unbiased estimator of . The joint probability mass function isThe Fisher-Neyman factorization theorem therefore makes a sufficient statistic. More explicitly, conditioning on gives a multinomial distribution with trials and cell probabilities , so has the binomial distribution . Consequently conditioning by the Rao-Blackwell theorem givesFor , interpret the value at as and at as ; thus the same expression uses in this probability convention. For all observations and are zero almost surely. For and , the reduction in variance is strict: given , the event still has a nondegenerate conditional probability. Directly, using the probability generating function of , the new variance is .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2019 ii Paper 4 13J d Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
For , define the class degree sumand define the number of within-college friendships byEach between-college edge contributes once to the degree sum of each endpoint's college, while each within-college edge contributes twice to its college's degree sum. The model-3 likelihood can therefore be writtenThe Fisher-Neyman factorization theorem shows that is sufficient.
For two networks , the likelihood ratio isBecause the parameters range independently over , this ratio is constant in exactly when every displayed difference vanishes. The likelihood-ratio criterion for minimal sufficiency therefore gives the answerThis is the degree-sum sufficient statistic for an additive logistic network model.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2020 ib Paper 1 19H b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-29
A statistic is sufficient for if the conditional distribution of the full sample given does not depend on . It is minimal sufficient if it is a function of every sufficient statistic.
The likelihood factors asso the Fisher-Neyman factorization theorem shows that , and hence its one-to-one transform , is sufficient. Moreover, for two samples and , the ratio is independent of exactly when their maxima agree. The likelihood-ratio criterion for minimal sufficiency therefore shows that and are minimal sufficient.
For , the sample mean is not sufficient: two samples can have the same mean but different maxima, and their likelihood ratio then depends on through the support indicators. It is consequently not minimal sufficient. For the degenerate special case , the sample mean and maximum coincide and both conclusions reverse.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2020 ii Paper 4 13J b ii Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-29
Writing for block and using , the replicated likelihood factors asThe second factor is independent of , while the first depends on the data only through . The Fisher-Neyman factorization theorem therefore makes a sufficient statistic for in the replicated experiment.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2021 ib Paper 1 6H a Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
A sufficient statistic is one for which the conditional distribution of the full sample given does not depend on . TakeFor a binary sample with , its likelihood function iswhich depends on the data only through . By the Fisher-Neyman factorization theorem, is sufficient. Equivalently, conditionally on , the sample is uniform over the binary vectors containing ones, independently of .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2023 ib Paper 1 18H b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Expanding the exponent givesThe Fisher-Neyman factorization theorem therefore shows that is sufficient.
It is also minimal sufficient. For two sample points ,where is independent of . This ratio is independent of exactly when . The likelihood-ratio criterion for minimal sufficiency applies, proving the claim and the general normal sample sum with known variance result in this case.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2023 ii Paper 1 5J Solution Created 2026-09-23 Updated 2026-09-25
For , the last flip must be the th head. Among the preceding flips, exactly are tails and are heads. There are choices for their positions, and every resulting sequence has probability . The negative binomial stopping argument therefore givesso has the failures-before-the-th-success negative binomial distribution.
To put the mass function into exponential family form, setSince ,whereThus the natural parameter of an exponential family is , and the Fisher-Neyman factorization theorem shows that is a sufficient statistic. This is the negative binomial exponential family.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2024 ib Paper 1 6H a Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
A statistic is sufficient for a parameter when the conditional distribution of the full sample given does not depend on . For a dominated model, the Fisher-Neyman factorization theorem says this is equivalent to a factorizationwhere is independent of .