Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 35 3 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
On a finite horizon , let be a standard -dimensional Brownian motion and let be a predictable process with almost surely. Suppose the stochastic exponentialis a true martingale with . The Novikov condition is a sufficient condition. The Girsanov theorem says that under ,Because , the two measures are equivalent on the terminal sigma-algebra.
For the proof sketch, Itô formula gives . Apply the product rule to . Its finite-variation term is cancelled by . After localization the product is a martingale under , and the conditional change-of-measure formula makes a local martingale under . Adding finite variation leaves its covariations unchanged: . The Lévy characterization of multidimensional Brownian motion completes the proof. Localization is essential if the integrands are not bounded; the true-martingale hypothesis on permits the final measure change.
For the deal, write and use constant interest rate , volatility and no stock dividends. Under the risk-neutral measure, the Black-Scholes model isFor example this follows from the preceding theorem with when the physical stock drift is . The delivered shares have terminal cash value , so its initial value isThe factor must be included: the deal is a stock delivery, not a cash payment of the random number of shares.
Use the stock-numeraire measure in the Black-Scholes model, whose density isThe Girsanov theorem gives as Brownian motion under . ThereforeThe discrete geometric average under the stock-numeraire measure has normally distributed logarithm withThe last identity uses the printed descending order of sampling times. Each is the minimum in exactly ordered pairs. In particular .
Assume the ordinary positive deal parameters and put , . The change of numeraire gives , where . Split the integral at . Completing the square in times the normal probability density givesThus the stock-delivery option with a geometric average has valueHere is the standard normal distribution function. Delivery time does not enter separately once the sampling dates are fixed: the stock numeraire cancels the final stock factor and discounting. As a check, for one sample at , the payment is and the formula becomes the value of shares plus a put on their terminal value. If the value is ; if the value is .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 35 5 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let be the centered normal probability density with variance , and take . For a zero-drift Brownian motion , reflect the path after its first hit of . The Brownian reflection principle identifies endpoints on paths that have hit with endpoints . Thus the endpoint density on paths staying below is for .
To introduce drift , use the Girsanov theorem with likelihood . The coordinate path then has the law of . Since the likelihood depends only on the endpoint, the joint event in question has probabilityCompleting the two squares givesConsequently the joint endpoint and maximum law for drifted Brownian motion isThe endpoint and the maximum have no relevant atom at the boundary, so the same integral includes .
For the down-and-in claim, use non-dividend-paying Black-Scholes model dynamics under the risk-neutral measure. Put andLet be the first time the stock reaches . If , continuity ensures , so these terminal values contribute the payoff . For , lower-barrier reflection followed by the same exponential tilt gives the endpoint density on paths that have hit the barrier:Indeed at zero drift the reflected density is , and multiplying by gives the displayed expression.
Thus the remaining, undiscounted payoff expectation isSet andThen , , and is equivalent to . The integration variable has the ordinary terminal log-price density. Adding the first contribution therefore proves the static terminal-payoff representation of a down-and-in claim:This holds for nonnegative measurable payoffs, and for signed payoffs whenever the expectations are absolutely integrable. It is an equality of prices, not equality of pathwise terminal payments.
For the call, write for the ordinary European call option value, with remaining lifetime and strike . Before activation take current spot . The first term in is zero because the call pays nothing below . The second term reduces to , since . The homogeneity therefore gives the inactive down-and-in claim valueAt its value is , as required by activation. Its pre-activation option delta, however, has boundary limitwhereas the active contract's delta hedge holds shares. The stock holding consequently jumps byThis jump is strictly positive, even for negative interest rates. To verify that there is no exceptional cancellation, put and . The density for log-price paths killed at the lower barrier isThe down-and-out claim is the ordinary call minus . Differentiate its value at : the bracket vanishes there and its derivative is . Consequently its derivative with respect to the spot at isThis derivative is exactly the displayed delta jump. Thus on reaching the barrier before maturity the number of shares changes discontinuously. The portfolio value remains continuous; the bank position changes to finance the share adjustment. Hitting precisely at maturity has probability zero and does not alter this conclusion. This is the delta jump at activation of a down-and-in call.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 35 6 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
A one-factor short-rate model uses a single scalar state, normally the short rate itself. Under the physical probability measure writeThe second process is the continuous-time bank account. Specifying the physical diffusion alone does not determine bond prices: it must be accompanied by the market price of risk , or equivalently by pricing-measure dynamics. If the Girsanov theorem applies to the likelihood , then under the risk-neutral measureChanging measure alters drift, not quadratic variation. The coefficients need conditions for a nonexplosive solution and for the relevant discounted prices and measure-change density to be true martingales.
A unit zero-coupon bond maturing at has priceThe Markov property makes current time and rate sufficient state variables. Apply Itô formula to . Its drift must vanish, giving the short-rate bond pricing equationConversely, under the appropriate boundary and integrability conditions the Feynman-Kac formula identifies its solution with the displayed discounted expectation. For a terminal rate-dependent payoff , the same equation has terminal condition instead of one. A coupon bond is a sum of such unit-bond prices weighted by the coupon payments.
The common market price of risk can also be derived from trading, instead of being introduced arbitrarily for each maturity. Under the physical measure a bond's diffusion exposure is and its excess drift above bank financing is . For two nondegenerate traded bonds, combine their holdings to cancel their Brownian exposure. Absence of arbitrage requires that combination to earn the bank rate; hence their excess-drift-to-exposure ratios must coincide. Calling that common ratio yields the pricing equation with for every maturity. A derivative is then hedged locally by holding units of a nondegenerate bond and financing the remaining value through the bank account. Their Brownian exposures agree, and substituting both pricing equations proves the drift gain identity. This is short-rate diffusion hedging; it requires , rather than a bare assertion that one factor automatically gives completeness everywhere.
The entire yield curve is generated consistently from these bond prices. The continuously compounded yield and the instantaneous forward rate areThese encode different summaries: the yield averages the forward rate over the remaining lifetime. Bond prices must satisfy and be positive; they need not be below one in models permitting negative rates.
The Vasicek model has constant pricing dynamicsSolving the linear equation gives . Consequently, with and ,This conditional normal random variable has variance . Its normal exponential moment yieldsEvaluating the elementary integral givesThis explicit form makes estimation and valuation convenient. The rate is Gaussian, its conditional mean reverts to , and its long-run variance is . Its disadvantage, when nonnegative rates are desired, is a positive probability of negative rates.
The CIR model replaces constant volatility by square-root volatility:The standard solution stays nonnegative. The Feller positivity condition for the CIR model is in this parameterization; with a positive initial rate it makes zero inaccessible. Below this threshold zero can be reached, although the process does not cross into negative rates. For an affine diffusion bond pricing ansatz , substitution into the bond equation and matching its constant and rate coefficients givesWriting , factor the quadratic in the first equation and integrate from ; integrating the second equation then gives the CIR bond pricing formulasThe square-root form produces an affine term structure while respecting nonnegative rates. These parameters are pricing-measure parameters; historical mean-reversion estimates alone do not determine them without a risk-premium specification.
Both preceding constant-parameter models constrain the family of initial curves. The Hull-White model allows a deterministic time-dependent drift:For a smooth desired initial forward curve , its exact forward-curve fit in the Hull-White model is obtained by takingTo derive this rather than merely assert calibration, write , where , . The conditional Gaussian-integral calculation at time zero givesso its forward curve is . Choose . Differentiating this shift and adding gives exactly the displayed . Thus for every maturity, while and govern the stochastic fluctuations. This Gaussian model still allows negative rates.
Finally, one-factor models are economical and often give explicit bond prices, but their single Brownian driver is restrictive. Bond diffusion exposures give the instantaneous covariance matrix , of rank at most one. Nondegenerate maturity changes are instantaneously perfectly correlated, with correlation or , though their finite-horizon correlations need not equal one. A single factor therefore cannot independently describe level, slope and curvature shocks to the whole yield curve. Multiple factors or a full forward-rate model offer greater flexibility. A valid one-factor model must specify the pricing drift, fit the initial curve to the required accuracy, and handle boundary and martingale conditions; naming a rate diffusion alone is not a complete pricing model.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 35 4 c Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Use for the reference measure under which is a Brownian motion. Pathwise, . Put and defineThe stopped integrand has absolute value at most one. The Novikov condition holds on every finite horizon, so is a density martingale. The Itô formula also gives the more useful identityThus is uniformly integrable over the entire time axis, not just a true martingale on each finite horizon. Under the reference measure, , so almost surely. Hence and .
Define the probability measure on the original sigma-algebra byIts restriction to has density . The Girsanov theorem states that subtracting the integrated density integrand from the reference Brownian motion gives a Brownian motion under the new measure. Thereforeis a Brownian motion under , and . This is exactly the requested Brownian property until . The bounded Girsanov density for exit of an unstable linear diffusion also proves global absolute continuity, so a mere collection of unspecified finite-horizon measures is unnecessary.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 39 3 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Subtract the boundary slope from the Brownian motion: . Then is the first-passage time of to the fixed level . The zero-drift Brownian reflection principle givesHere is the standard normal distribution function. To change the drift to , use the Girsanov theorem on each finite horizon, with density . On , conditional expectation at the stopped time gives , because the density is a true martingale. Since , the drifted Brownian first-passage density is consequentlyThere may be additional mass at infinite hitting time; the displayed density only describes finite passage. With , apply the given zero-drift Brownian first-passage Laplace transform:The zero-discount limit is for and for , so the hitting probability is less than one precisely when the line moves away with positive slope.
For a direct verification of the linear-boundary Brownian first-passage distribution, defineBoth terms tend to zero as . Let be the standard normal density. The identityfollows by expanding the two squares. Differentiating the two normal probabilities then givesSince this is the previously derived hitting density and both distribution functions start at zero,This proof applies to every real , including the defective distribution when .
For the barrier digital put, use the dividend-free Black-Scholes model with constant interest rate and spot volatility . Under the risk-neutral measure,Set andReaching the barrier is equivalent to reaching . The contingent claim pays one only on the survival event . Risk-neutral pricing therefore givesThis is a path-survival price, not the price of a terminal digital put option. Continuity of the stock paths and the absence of an atom in the finite-horizon maximum imply that alternative touching conventions change no price. As , the value tends to ; as , it tends to zero. Both checks agree with the survival interpretation.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 39 5 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let , , , and . Use a dividend-free Black-Scholes model with constant interest rate . The terminal payoff is assumed independent of the parameters being varied. In addition to twice differentiability, impose enough integrability to differentiate the pricing formula; for example, of polynomial growth suffice. Twice differentiability alone is not enough: the smooth payoff has infinite expectation under every nondegenerate lognormal distribution.
Under the risk-neutral measure , future stock values conditional on have the formClaim replication, or equivalently the martingale property of discounted value in the complete market, givesThe replicating strategy holds the option delta shares and bank-account value . No physical drift parameter appears: the Girsanov theorem replaces the physical drift by under the pricing measure, and the replication argument cancels it directly. The risk-neutral pricing operator is linear in the payoff and preserves pointwise payoff inequalities.
Here is a verification of the Black-Scholes equation using the integral itself. Differentiation in spot givesDifferentiating with respect to givesFor , the Gaussian integration by parts identity yieldsSubstitution cancels the term and provesSince , this is precisely the Black-Scholes equation. As , and growth control permits passage to the limit, giving . The delta hedge then supplies the admissible replicating gains under the same regularity assumptions.
The Black-Scholes parameter sensitivities describe the dependence on the model parameters without assuming a particular payoff. If is increasing, then . If is convex, then , so its price is convex in spot. The option gamma measures the response of the option delta to spot changes.
For the interest rate, the distribution of the future stock also changes with , so looking only at discounting gives the wrong general answer. Differentiation gives the option rhoThus a short bank-account position gives positive rate sensitivity, while a positive bank-account position gives negative rate sensitivity. For a cash payoff the result is negative; for the payoff it is zero.
For spot volatility, differentiate the lognormal multiplier and then use Gaussian integration by parts:Consequently a convex payoff has nonnegative option vega. This monotonicity can also be understood by a mean-preserving increase of dispersion in the discounted stock. Strict positivity requires nonzero curvature seen with positive probability; an affine payoff has zero option vega.
Time enters through the remaining maturity . Holding spot fixed, the Black-Scholes equation givesUnder the conventional assumption , a convex payoff and a short bond position imply . The inequality is strict if , or if with positive volatility. Thus the price at fixed stock value is nonincreasing in calendar time, and nondecreasing in maturity, under these hypotheses. It is not a claim that the realized stochastic price path decreases: that path still has Brownian exposure .
The printed conclusion needs the nonnegative-rate qualification; it is false for arbitrary negative rates. For , the twice-differentiable convex payoff hasThis is an exact counterexample, not a failure of the pricing formula. Also, with and an affine payoff, “decreasing” can only mean nonincreasing. Without payoff monotonicity or the specified bond-position sign, neither the spot nor rate nor time sensitivity has a universal sign. Any additional payoff parameter, such as a strike, is differentiated through ; pointwise payoff ordering, rather than a generic parameter rule, determines its price effect.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 40 2 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Use for the dollar amount invested in the stock; the number of shares is . The bank account contains dollars. With no intermediate consumption, the self-financing portfolio equation isIf instead denotes share holdings, replace each dollar here by . The equation says that trading only reallocates existing portfolio wealth; gains come from cash interest and stock returns.
For the standard unconstrained complete-diffusion formulation, assume the completed natural Brownian filtration, initial wealth , and nonnegative admissible wealth. Define the market price of risk . The boundedness assumptions make bounded. The state-price density normalized at zero isIts money-market-adjusted process is a true martingale by the Novikov condition. Under , the Girsanov theorem gives as a Brownian motion, and the discounted stock has zero drift.
The Itô product rule applied to the wealth equation givesFor nonnegative admissible wealth this is a nonnegative local martingale, hence a supermartingale. Therefore every affordable terminal payoff satisfies the state-price budget constraint . Nonzero volatility and the Brownian martingale representation theorem allow replication of nonnegative claims with finite state-price cost.
For a differentiable strictly concave utility function with the usual conditions ensuring an interior integrable optimizer, put , the inverse marginal utility. Pointwise maximization of givesThe second equation determines the positive constant . To prove optimality, use the concave supporting-tangent inequality:Taking expectations and using the budget bound proves that the candidate dominates every admissible affordable payoff, whenever the utility expectations are well defined. This is the complete-market terminal utility optimizer.
The actual wealth and dollar portfolio are as explicit as general adapted coefficients permit. LetThe Brownian martingale representation theorem, with localization if only integrability is initially known, gives . The dollar portfolio from a deflated wealth martingale isThe bank holds dollars. Equivalently, with , . These formulas need no unjustified differentiability of a value function with random coefficients.
The printed assumption that is only increasing and concave does not guarantee that the interior formula exists, or even that the optimal value is finite. In general replace the inverse formula by an affordable selectionwhere is the wealth domain; boundary choices or supporting slopes handle nondifferentiability. Existence, finite cost and replication still have to hold. A concrete obstruction is the unbounded linear terminal-wealth utility: take , , , and the Brownian filtration. Then . For , the bounded nonnegative claimis replicable, costs , and has . Thus there is no finite optimal expected utility under the literal utility hypotheses alone. Also, bounded coefficients do not ensure market completeness in an arbitrarily enlarged filtration containing untraded randomness; the full replication formula uses the Brownian market information assumption stated above.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2007 iii Paper 41 2 iv Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
For the Cox-Ross-Rubinstein diffusion approximation, fix calendar maturity , take , and choose , , and the one-step bank factor . For sufficiently fine mesh, . The risk-neutral probability expands asEach stock log-increment is . Its mean under is and its variance is . Independent increments, their vanishing maximum size, and the Donsker invariance principle for this triangular array give the path limitExponentiation gives the geometric Brownian motion of the Black-Scholes model, and the bank account tends to .
The physical model is matched by taking . Its corresponding limit has log drift , so . The likelihood ratios from part (ii) have the matching continuous-time limit. With , a Taylor expansion of their two possible log-multipliers giveswhere is or . Thus the limiting Radon-Nikodym derivative is the Girsanov theorem density , turning the physical stock drift into .
The binomial risk-neutral pricing formula converges to for bounded continuous terminal payoffs by convergence in distribution. For ordinary call and put payoffs, uniform stock second-moment bounds give the required uniform integrability and hence convergence despite unboundedness. Bounded payoffs with discontinuities only at events of zero limiting probability are handled by the same weak-convergence criterion. Corresponding continuous path functionals can be treated at the process level. Arbitrary discontinuous path claims do not follow from weak convergence without further conditions. In the smooth limiting model, the discrete hedging difference quotient becomes the delta hedge , and its value satisfies the Black-Scholes equation.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2007 iii Paper 41 3 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let and write for the Brownian terminal density. By the Brownian reflection principle, for the reflected paths that hit and end at have terminal density . HenceThe Girsanov theorem changes zero drift into drift using the finite-horizon density . The finite-horizon maximum of Brownian motion with drift therefore has distribution functionIn the first integral term, complete the square to get a normal density with mean . In the second, substitute and complete the square with mean ; the prefactor is . Here is the standard normal distribution function, and .
Let , with real. Survival means that stays below . Tilt by ; under the tilted probability, has drift . Applying the maximum formula with drift gives the exponential terminal moment below a linear Brownian boundaryThis holds for every real . The maximum distribution has no atom at the positive barrier, so strict or weak survival inequalities give the same probability here.
For the hitting-time moment, first use drift in the maximum formula and take the complementary probability:If and , their standard normal densities satisfy . Differentiating the two terms, with and , yields the drifted Brownian first-passage densityIts total mass need not be one, because the upward-sloping boundary may never be reached.
For , put . Multiplication by gives . Integrating to produces truncated discounted Brownian first passage, with negative discount rate allowed when the square root remains real:This includes the equality case , where it becomes . The expression integrates only finite hitting times up to ; no value is assigned to an exponential at an infinite hitting time.
For the cash-at-hit digital call, use the risk-neutral measure in the Black-Scholes model and denote expiry by . ThenHitting corresponds to , where and . The unit-cash payment is made at the hitting time, so risk-neutral valuation discounts at that time, not at expiry. Set andThe identity on the right verifies the square-root condition even for negative interest rates. The time-zero price isThis is in pounds for the unit-pound contract. It differs from a maturity-paid digital call option, whose discounting and exercise event are different.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2007 iii Paper 42 4 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Use the usual stochastic-integrability assumptions implicit in the price stochastic differential equation: the coefficients have progressively measurable versions, the volatility is locally square integrable, and initial prices are finite deterministic positive numbers. A no-consumption admissible trading strategy consists of predictable risky share holdings for which the price stochastic integral exists and the portfolio wealth of the self-financing portfolio isThe remainder is held in the unit cash asset. Admissibility requires throughout the horizon for some deterministic finite ; the more restrictive nonnegative-wealth convention also works. A finite-horizon arbitrage is such a strategy with , almost surely and . The lower bound is essential to exclude doubling strategies.
Interpret the stated uniform ellipticity as for a deterministic . If , the market price of risk is bounded:The authoritative PDF puts both integrals inside the exponent. With that interpretation,On every finite horizon , boundedness of gives the Novikov condition:Hence the positive stochastic exponential is a true martingale with . Define the equivalent probability measure by . The Girsanov theorem says that is a Brownian motion under , up to time . Consequentlyso the prices are local martingales under .
Every admissible zero-initial-capital self-financing portfolio has portfolio wealth which is therefore a -local martingale bounded below by . The shifted process is a nonnegative local martingale, hence a supermartingale by localization and the Conditional Fatou lemma. In particular . If the strategy were an arbitrage, nonnegativity of would force -almost surely. Equivalence of and would then force , a contradiction. The market has no admissible arbitrage on any finite horizon. This proves the exclusion argument itself, rather than just asserting the fundamental theorem of asset pricing.
For the deflated price calculation, let denote the column vector whose transpose is the th row of . The Itô product rule includes the quadratic covariation termSince , the full product equation isLocalization makes the last stochastic integral a true martingale on each stopped interval, proving each component of the deflated price vector is a local martingale under the original measure. This is the bounded-coefficient asset deflator identity; bounded volatility has not yet been used.
If is bounded, then is bounded as well. Solving the last linear stochastic differential equation givesThe Novikov condition now holds for this stochastic exponential on every finite horizon, because its bracket is bounded by a deterministic constant times the horizon. ThereforeThe entire deflated price vector is a true martingale when volatility is bounded. This finite-horizon argument does not assert uniform integrability as time tends to infinity, which is not required. Integrable random initial prices can also be handled by the conditional martingale argument; without any integrability assumption on initial prices, a true-martingale assertion would not be meaningful.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2008 iii Paper 37 3 c Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
On the finite horizon , strict positivity gives equivalence of the restricted probability measures: for , vanishes if and only if vanishes. The standard change-of-measure theorem gives semimartingale invariance under equivalent measures: a process is a semimartingale under on this horizon if and only if it is one under . The sample-path quadratic variation is unchanged, but the local-martingale and finite-variation parts generally change.
More explicitly, set , the zero-start stochastic logarithm of the density. For every continuous -local martingale , the Girsanov theorem states thatis a continuous -local martingale. Consequently, if the continuous semimartingale decomposition under is , its decomposition under isThe covariation correction is a continuous finite-variation process, locally well-defined because stays strictly positive. In the Brownian case, if , thenis a Brownian motion under . The inverse finite-horizon density is , giving the reverse change of measure. These assertions apply on each horizon on which the density is strictly positive; they do not assert equivalence on a larger terminal sigma-algebra where the full density may vanish.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2009 iii Paper 29 4 c Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Define . Positivity and smoothness of make continuous and bounded on compact space-time sets. Brownian paths remain in compact spatial sets on each finite horizon, so almost surely for every . Thusis a well-defined continuous local martingale with . The backward heat equation from part (b) removes the drift in Itô's formula and yieldsBy the allowed fact and the uniqueness in part (a),
The finite-horizon form of the Girsanov theorem used here says: if is a continuous local martingale and its stochastic exponential is a strictly positive true martingale of mean one on , then under every continuous -local martingale becomes the -local martingale . Quadratic variation is unchanged by this locally equivalent change of measure.
All the assumptions hold. The integrand defining is locally square integrable as checked above; is strictly positive; and it is already a true martingale because it is the density process. On each finite horizon , so it is uniformly integrable on that horizon. There is no need to establish a separate Novikov condition, nor to assume equivalence on the infinite-time sigma-algebra.
Take . Its covariation with is . Hence is a continuous -local martingale starting at zero with . The Lévy characterization of Brownian motion makes it Brownian under . Since this argument holds on every finite horizon for the same process ,This is the Brownian change of measure by a positive space-time harmonic function, a Doob h-transform with drift .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2009 iii Paper 32 3 Solution 2026-10-14
On a fixed finite horizon, a self-financing strategy consists of predictable stock holdings , integrable against the price processes, and a bank account holding . Its wealth and gains satisfyAn admissible trading strategy has discounted wealth bounded below by a deterministic constant throughout the horizon. With the bounded short rate in this part, an undiscounted deterministic lower bound is equivalent after adjusting the constant. An arbitrage is an admissible zero-initial-cost strategy with almost surely and .
Put and define the market price of riskThe bounded coefficients and bounded inverse make bounded. Define the stochastic exponentialThe Novikov condition states that makes this exponential a true martingale with expectation one. Boundedness verifies the condition. Therefore defines an equivalent probability measure. The Girsanov theorem states thatis a -dimensional Brownian motion under . Substituting into the asset equations givesThus is an equivalent local martingale measure. The sufficient direction of the fundamental theorem of asset pricing says that such a measure excludes arbitrage among admissible self-financing strategies. Here the reason can be seen directly: is a local martingale under , and its lower bound makes it a supermartingale. Consequently implies , incompatible with the nonnegative terminal payoff of an arbitrage. Therefore the bounded-inverse market has no arbitrage.
For the requested law of one price counterexample, take a broader continuous-time local-martingale model on . Let be a Brownian motion, let , and set for . DefineThe given hitting-time fact gives almost surely. The corresponding physical hitting time is , so reaches one and then stays one. In particular it is continuous at maturity and .
For a rigorous closed-horizon localization, stop additionally when hits , or at if it never does. The stopped process is Brownian motion stopped on first exiting and subjected to the deterministic clock; it is a bounded martingale, including at . The stopping times increase to , since every Brownian path on the finite random interval has a finite maximum. Thus is a positive local martingale on the whole horizon. With the time-changed Brownian filtration, the original probability measure is an equivalent local martingale measure. The admissible-wealth supermartingale argument above proves no admissible arbitrage.
Nevertheless while , so the law of one price fails. Shorting one share and buying two units of cash has zero initial cost and terminal gain one, but its wealth is . It has no deterministic lower bound: for every , the probability of Brownian motion hitting before is , obtained by optional stopping of the bounded stopped Brownian motion. That apparently profitable strategy is therefore inadmissible. The counterexample deliberately uses a strict local martingale; the bounded-coefficient class in the first part has true discounted asset martingales and does satisfy the law of one price.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2009 iii Paper 39 1 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Put , , and . First assume the covariance matrix is invertible and initial portfolio wealth is positive. Introduce the accumulated fee processThe Itô formula and the self-financing portfolio equation giveThis converts the path-dependent payment into a terminal-utility problem with state . The volatility-penalized terminal fee changes its drift as well as its spot volatility.
Let be the manager's value function. Its Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation, with terminal condition , isThe homogeneity of CRRA utility suggests . Since and , the portfolio-dependent expression isIts coefficient is positive even when . Completing the square givesThus the stock fractions are constant. Substitution into the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation yieldsIn particular, multiplying the fee by does not affect the optimal investment portfolio.
To prove global optimality rather than merely solve a formal Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation, write , and let be the fee under the proposed constant policy. Then . Define a probability byThis density is a true martingale because is constant. By the Girsanov theorem, is a Brownian motion under . The geometric Brownian motion formula for the fee ratio givesFor admissible, locally square-integrable exposures with finite accumulated quadratic variation, setThis stochastic exponential is a positive local martingale, so . Moreover,For , the exponent lies between zero and one. The Jensen inequality for this concave function gives . For , the power is convex and decreasing, so the Jensen inequality gives ; an infinite moment only makes this inequality stronger. Dividing by , with its corresponding sign, proves in both cases. Equality is achieved by the constant policy.
For an ordinary terminal-wealth agent with relative risk aversion , the same Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation calculation, with no fee penalty, maximizes . It therefore gives exactly the same optimal investment portfolio. For , the preceding stochastic exponential and Jensen inequality verification applies with penalty zero and exponent , proving global optimality for this agent too. The spot volatility penalty adds to effective relative risk aversion. If , the printed expression for has a zero denominator; its appropriate limit, after subtracting an irrelevant constant, is , which still gives . In this logarithmic case, the terminal log-wealth difference from the candidate equals for a positive stochastic exponential , so proves its optimality.
If is singular, the same conclusion holds in the absence of arbitrage, provided lies in the image of a linear map : replace by the Moore-Penrose inverse, and add any vector in the kernel of to . These additions change neither returns nor Brownian portfolio exposures. If has a nonzero component in that kernel, a zero-volatility position has a nonzero excess return. Scaling its profitable sign gives arbitrage, so a finite attained optimum as claimed requires this degeneracy to be excluded.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2010 iii Paper 29 3 a Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Use the following form of the Girsanov theorem. If is Brownian motion, is predictable, andis a uniformly integrable martingale with , then the probability measure with terminal density makes a Brownian motion. The analogous finite-horizon statement uses the terminal density at that horizon.
Here take and . Before , , so the stochastic integral is well-defined. The assumed uniform integrability of the stopped stochastic exponential givesThus the proposed weighting really defines a probability measure, and the Girsanov theorem gives the Brownian motionunder that measure. In particularAll calculations are first made on this compact stopped interval. The integral involving is naturally defined on ; at its quadratic variation may diverge. The density will have a zero limiting extension there, as established below, rather than a finite stochastic logarithm at the hitting time.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2010 iii Paper 39 2 d Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Fix the horizon and define the half-volatility measure for a square-root stock claim byThe Novikov condition makes a true martingale with , and makes equivalent to . The Girsanov theorem identifies as a Brownian motion under .
The exact factorization from the previous part isUsing the Bayes formula for conditional expectation therefore givesThe random integrated variance need not have any independence property under . Its pathwise bounds still imply . Inverting the same price function proves even for volatility adapted to the Brownian motion, on the positive-price event. The zero-price convention is as above. The auxiliary measure here is not asserted to be an equivalent martingale measure for the stock.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2010 iii Paper 39 5 b Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Set . The positive densityhas mean one, and the Girsanov theorem makes a Brownian motion under the equivalent measure . HenceThe Black-Scholes equation makes a local martingale. Bounded on the finite horizon makes it a true martingale, so its terminal condition gives the risk-neutral valuationThe geometric Brownian motion solution under isThe Brownian increment is independent of and equals in distribution, where has the standard normal distribution. ThereforeThe expectation on the right is only an integral against the standard normal law; the physical drift has disappeared.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2011 ii Paper 3 29J i Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14
A standard Brownian motion starts at zero, has continuous sample paths and independent increments, with for .
Assume and ; changing the sign of just changes the sign of Brownian motion. Itô formula gives . In the complete Black-Scholes model, the risk-neutral pricing theorem prices an integrable payoff by , where the discounted asset is a martingale. Girsanov theorem therefore replaces the logarithmic drift by :Let and . The exercise event is . Completing the square in the Gaussian integral yieldsConsequently and . Thus the European call option price isThe physical drift disappears because the price is obtained under the martingale measure. If in an arbitrage-free deterministic model, and the formula is interpreted by its zero-volatility limit.