Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2004 iii Paper 34 2 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let the bank account be , where is the one-period riskless gross return. In the binomial market, is either or , with and both successors having positive physical probability. The information at time consists of the first moves. A trading strategy chooses its holdings using only this information. A self-financing portfolio funds rebalancing from its current value; there is no external contribution.
Absence of arbitrage requires . If , borrowing to buy the stock yields a nonnegative gain, strictly positive on the up branch; if , shorting the stock and investing its price yields the reverse arbitrage. When , define the risk-neutral probability in a binomial marketGiving each successive up move conditional probability defines an equivalent martingale measure , since every finite path has positive probability and .
For a contingent claim with successor values at a node of current stock value , solve the two replication equations. The number of shares and current cash value areThen and , so the replicating strategy costsHold bank-account units over that period. Starting with the terminal payoff and applying these equations backwards supplies an adapted self-financing strategy replicating every path-dependent contingent claim. This proves market completeness. A different claim price would permit an arbitrage by buying the cheaper claim or replica and selling the dearer one. Iterating the backward pricing relation gives the unique risk-neutral pricing formulaThe physical up probability affects real-world frequencies but does not enter this replication price.
For a terminal payoff , write . Its current price is the restriction to the available nodes of the functionIf is convex, each summand is convex in and each weight is positive; summing their defining convexity inequalities proves that is convex. This provides an explicit convex extension between the actual stock nodes, so “convex on the nodes” is unambiguous. If is strictly convex, each positive scaling preserves strict convexity, so is strictly convex as well.
For the replicating portfolio in a binomial market, the stock holding isFor , let . The next down and up holdings are the secant slopes of on the adjacent intervals with endpoints :For any convex function and , its defining inequality at rearranges to . The inequality is strict for a strictly convex function. Applying this to the three stock values orders the two next holdings. Meanwhile the backward pricing relation gives, by subtracting its values at and ,The coefficients are strictly positive and sum to one. Therefore the current share holding lies between the next two holdings:Both inequalities are strict for a strictly convex payoff. For an affine payoff the share holding is constant, explaining the required weak interpretation. These are numbers of shares, not the fraction of portfolio wealth invested in the stock.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2004 iii Paper 34 4 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Write and for the price of the unit zero-coupon bond maturing at , so . Let the stock satisfy with . Assume the value function is and the holdings have enough smoothness for the calculations below. The self-financing portfolio condition is the gain identityThe Itô formula expresses the left side asMatching the diffusion terms gives , or . Differentiating gives . Also . Matching the remaining drift terms consequently gives the two necessary conditionsThey are sufficient because substituting them into the Itô formula restores exactly the gain identity. Necessity first holds along the stock process; its positive lognormal density for every , together with continuity of the coefficient functions, gives the displayed identities for all and , and continuity extends them to the endpoints.
Equivalently, the smooth value of any self-financing portfolio satisfies the Black-Scholes equationIndeed, the gain identity after imposing has drift , which gives this equation. Conversely, if satisfies this equation, takeThe Itô formula then verifies that these holdings form a self-financing portfolio of value . This converse asserts existence of the correct holdings. It does not certify an arbitrary decomposition of into stock and bond holdings: for example, , , solves the value equation but fails . The Black-Scholes value equation needs delta-compatible holdings precisely for this reason.
For a constant-proportion portfolio, the stock value must satisfy . Since , integration of gives . Substituting into the Black-Scholes equation givesThus, for initial portfolio wealth and stock price , the complete explicit solution isHere counts shares and counts maturity- bonds; the initial cost is . Directly, the self-financing gain equation is , which also verifies the displayed value. Constant proportions concern the values of the holdings, not constant numbers of shares or bonds. The nondegenerate volatility assumption is necessary for the preceding diffusion matching; with , one only obtains a gain condition along the deterministic stock path.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2004 iii Paper 34 5 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Write , and specify the physical Black-Scholes model as , with constant and bank rate . The physical drift is needed for an expected utility calculation; a pricing model specified only under a risk-neutral measure does not determine the investor's preferences over risky positions. PutHere is the market price of risk, is the density of the risk-neutral measure , and is the state-price density. The Girsanov theorem makes a Brownian motion under .
For a dollar holding in the stock and consumption rate , the portfolio wealth equation isSince , integration by parts gives the useful deflated wealth equation with consumptionFor strategies with a true deflated gain martingale, terminal wealth and consumption obey the state-price budget constraintFor nonnegative wealth and consumption, the admissibility condition can instead give a budget inequality; increasing utilities use the full budget at an optimum. Conversely, suitable integrable payoff and consumption plans with this budget are financeable in the Brownian complete market. To construct the strategy, setBy the Brownian martingale representation theorem, write . The required dollar stock holding is ; substitution in the deflated gain equation verifies financing. Remaining wealth goes into the bank account. For square-integrable data the representation holds directly, and localization handles the customary integrable admissible data.
First take no consumption. For an increasing strictly concave differentiable utility function whose marginal derivative can be inverted, let . Choose so thatThis candidate is not merely a first-order guess. The concave supporting-tangent inequality gives, pointwise,Taking expectations and using the budget proves for every feasible competitor. Finance the optimizer by its risk-neutral pricing value , using the preceding representation to find the holdings.
For a merely concave differentiable utility function, the general formulation is to select from the maximizers of over its wealth domain, and choose the multiplier to satisfy the budget. If increasing utility is not assumed, the equality-budget multiplier may have either sign; the positive-multiplier inverse formula above is for increasing utility. Flat portions allow multiple maximizers; boundaries require one-sided inequalities rather than equality of marginal derivatives. Existence of a multiplier, integrability and an admissible maximizer must be checked. Concavity alone does not guarantee a well-posed problem: with unrestricted dollar positions, linear utility and permits unbounded expected terminal wealth. The explicit utilities below satisfy the needed conditions in their stated domains.
For exponential utility on , and . ThereforeThe budget is equivalently , since . Under , , giving . HenceMatching the Brownian coefficient of with gives the finite-horizon exponential-utility portfolioHold shares and invest in the bank account. This is a dollar amount, not a fixed wealth fraction. The Gaussian exponential formula also gives the optimal expected utilityThis calculation uses unrestricted wealth and an admissibility class permitting the displayed Gaussian terminal wealth, with integrable deflated gains and the relevant exponential moment. A nonnegative-wealth constraint would change the optimizer; no such constraint is imposed on this exponential-utility example.
For both terminal and running utility function, choose and a nonnegative adapted consumption rate to maximize subject to the combined budget. Pointwise maximization of and gives, for interior strictly concave cases,Apply the concave supporting-tangent inequality to and to at every time, then integrate and take expectations. The difference in objectives is at most times the difference in budget expenditures, which is nonpositive. This proves optimality, not just the marginal conditions. The financing value isThe question's consumption rate is denoted here to keep it distinct from interest-rate notation.
For logarithmic utility with , , assume and positive wealth and consumption. The marginal conditions and budget giveEach state-price-weighted payment is deterministic, so conditional valuation immediately gives . Put . Since the Itô formula gives , this value satisfiesComparison with the wealth equation verifies the complete finite-horizon logarithmic investment and consumption strategy:Thus the optimal share holding is , and the remaining value is in the bank account; borrowing or shorting is allowed if that value or the stock holding is negative. Terminal wealth is positive and consumption is positive throughout. Finally , so the optimal objective, if desired explicitly, isFinite-horizon lognormal moments ensure the budget and expected utilities are finite, completing the feasibility and optimality checks.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 35 1 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Normalize by a riskless bank account with , . For risky assets let be the vector of discounted gains, and let denote a discounted square-integrable contingent claim. An initial total capital and stock holding have discounted terminal portfolio wealth : the bank holding finances the initial purchase of the stocks. Thus the space of attainable claims isIt is finite-dimensional and hence closed. The market is complete market when every square-integrable claim is in this span; with finitely many assets this is also equivalent to replication of every bounded claim.
A dominated martingale measure is a probability measure with and , with the gains integrable under . Its Radon-Nikodym derivative satisfies , and . An equivalent martingale measure has almost surely. A signed martingale measure obeys the same normalization and pricing equations without requiring nonnegativity. The distinction matters for quadratic hedging. For the completeness assertion use the usual no-arbitrage hypothesis, expressed here by existence of an equivalent martingale measure .
The unrestricted one-period quadratic hedge minimizesPut , and . Remove redundant gains so that is invertible. Differentiating in gives . The remaining squared error isThereforeThe residual is orthogonal in to and every gain, making the fitted claim the orthogonal projection onto a finite-dimensional subspace onto . Its minimum mean-square error is , and it vanishes exactly when is attainable. If initial capital is fixed instead, the normal equation isThis separates hedging with prescribed capital from simultaneous optimization of capital and risky holdings.
The minimal martingale measure in a one-period market is characterized by leaving unchanged the expectation of every centered square-integrable orthogonal to the martingale part . For square-integrable pricing densities this forces into the span of : the orthogonal complement consists exactly of those . The pricing equation then determinesIndeed and . For every such orthogonal , . Conversely a normalized density preserving all these must have the displayed form, since its coefficients must satisfy . The least-squares initial capital is consequently .
For any other square-integrable signed pricing density , put . Both densities price and all gains, so is orthogonal to their span, including . HenceEquality holds only when . Densities with infinite second moment cannot improve this finite minimum. This proves the requested minimum over dominated martingale measures whenever , and over all square-integrable signed martingale measures without that extra condition. If , it is also an equivalent martingale measure.
Absence of arbitrage alone does not guarantee that the minimal density is a probability density. For a concrete example, let a single discounted gain take values with probabilities . Then , and . Nevertheless pricing probabilities are strictly positive and give mean gain zero, so an equivalent martingale measure exists. This is negative minimal density in an arbitrage-free one-period market. If the term martingale measure is reserved for probabilities, the printed minimum assertion needs the extra nonnegativity hypothesis; otherwise it is the signed minimum-norm assertion just proved. Minimizing over the nonnegative pricing densities instead is a different constrained projection problem.
Finally, prove completeness and uniqueness of dominated martingale measures. If the market is complete market, every event indicator can be replicated. Under any dominated martingale measure, its expectation equals its initial discounted cost. Consequently any two such measures agree on every event and are equal; existence is supplied by .
Conversely suppose has dimension and is a proper subspace of the whole payoff space. Choose disjoint events of positive probability. Such events exist whenever has dimension greater than : otherwise the space has at most atoms and dimension at most . Let be a basis of . The vectorsare linearly dependent. Choose coefficients , not all zero, whose linear combination is zero, and set . It is bounded, not almost surely zero under , and satisfies for every , in particular for . For defineThese densities are strictly positive, normalized, have zero gain means, and are different. Thus incompleteness contradicts uniqueness, provingThe existence hypothesis cannot be discarded: with three positive-probability states and gain , the sole dominated martingale probability concentrates on , yet the two-dimensional attainable space does not span all three states. That market permits arbitrage.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 35 2 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Take a riskless gross return per period and a stock whose independent multiplicative moves are and , with physical up probability . Assume . With up moves by date ,A self-financing portfolio chooses each stock holding from information available before the next move, and invests the remainder in the bank account. At any node the two possible next payoffs can be matched by two holdings because . Backward induction therefore makes the binomial market complete.
The unique risk-neutral probability of an up move is determined by the discounted-stock martingale equation:The risk-neutral measure assigns product probabilities to the successive moves. A path with up moves has physical probability and pricing probability . Its Radon-Nikodym derivative is thereforeSince , eliminate to obtain the requested terminal-price expression:The pricing density depends only on the terminal stock price even though different paths to that price have different intermediate histories.
For , a nonnegative terminal wealth with initial cost satisfiesThe utility function has derivative . Put . Its first-order condition makes proportional to , so . Choosing to satisfy the pricing budget constraint gives the binomial power-utility terminal wealthAll states have positive probability and the state space is finite, so this payoff is positive, integrable and attainable. The normalizing constant is explicit: independence givesCombining these two formulas with the terminal-price expression for gives entirely as a function of .
To prove global optimality, strict concavity gives . Because , the expectation of the right side is zero for any other payoff satisfying the same pricing budget constraint. Equality requires almost surely. Backward replication supplies its self-financing strategy, so this static optimum is attainable by trading. If and terminal wealth must be nonnegative, the only feasible terminal wealth is zero. For , the density is one and the optimizer is the riskless wealth .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 35 3 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
On a finite horizon , let be a standard -dimensional Brownian motion and let be a predictable process with almost surely. Suppose the stochastic exponentialis a true martingale with . The Novikov condition is a sufficient condition. The Girsanov theorem says that under ,Because , the two measures are equivalent on the terminal sigma-algebra.
For the proof sketch, Itô formula gives . Apply the product rule to . Its finite-variation term is cancelled by . After localization the product is a martingale under , and the conditional change-of-measure formula makes a local martingale under . Adding finite variation leaves its covariations unchanged: . The Lévy characterization of multidimensional Brownian motion completes the proof. Localization is essential if the integrands are not bounded; the true-martingale hypothesis on permits the final measure change.
For the deal, write and use constant interest rate , volatility and no stock dividends. Under the risk-neutral measure, the Black-Scholes model isFor example this follows from the preceding theorem with when the physical stock drift is . The delivered shares have terminal cash value , so its initial value isThe factor must be included: the deal is a stock delivery, not a cash payment of the random number of shares.
Use the stock-numeraire measure in the Black-Scholes model, whose density isThe Girsanov theorem gives as Brownian motion under . ThereforeThe discrete geometric average under the stock-numeraire measure has normally distributed logarithm withThe last identity uses the printed descending order of sampling times. Each is the minimum in exactly ordered pairs. In particular .
Assume the ordinary positive deal parameters and put , . The change of numeraire gives , where . Split the integral at . Completing the square in times the normal probability density givesThus the stock-delivery option with a geometric average has valueHere is the standard normal distribution function. Delivery time does not enter separately once the sampling dates are fixed: the stock numeraire cancels the final stock factor and discounting. As a check, for one sample at , the payment is and the formula becomes the value of shares plus a put on their terminal value. If the value is ; if the value is .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 35 4 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
A self-financing portfolio changes its holdings using only its existing wealth. If it holds shares and units of a traded bond or bank account , its value obeys the gain identityThe changes in holdings do not add or withdraw capital. Set , , so , and let , with . Write and suppress the arguments of the smooth holdings .
Differentiate :The Itô formula minus the proposed portfolio gains givesUniqueness of the local-martingale and finite-variation decomposition shows that self-financing requires . Since has full support on for each , smoothness gives the corresponding functional identity for every positive , and continuity extends it to the interval endpoints. ThusDifferentiating this identity once more in gives , so . Substitute both identities into the drift condition to obtainConversely these equations give , and zero drift and diffusion in the displayed gain difference. They therefore prove the claimed self-financing conditions for smooth stock and bond holdings in both directions.
Using in the gain identity and setting , self-financing impliesThis is the Black-Scholes equation, independent of the physical drift . Conversely, if a smooth satisfies it, define its delta hedge byThe preceding Itô formula verifies that these holdings are self-financing.
For prescribed arbitrary holdings, the value equation alone is insufficient. The corrected equivalence is the Black-Scholes value equation needs delta-compatible holdings: a specified portfolio is self-financing if and only if its value solves the equation and . Indeed , , satisfies the value equation but its proposed gains are , which have nonzero Brownian part while . Thus the printed final equivalence is valid as an existence assertion for the delta hedge, not for every decomposition of the same value. No change to the valid two holdings equations is needed.
With continuous underlying stock dividends, the stock's gain is , so self-financing becomes . Under the risk-neutral measure the ex-dividend stock drift is . Matching its diffusion still gives , and matching its gain drift gives the Black-Scholes equation with continuous stock dividendsOnly the coefficient of changes. The discount term remains, because the claim is financed at the bank rate; there is no separate source term for a dividend paid by the claim itself. The dividends here are paid by the underlying stock.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 35 5 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let be the centered normal probability density with variance , and take . For a zero-drift Brownian motion , reflect the path after its first hit of . The Brownian reflection principle identifies endpoints on paths that have hit with endpoints . Thus the endpoint density on paths staying below is for .
To introduce drift , use the Girsanov theorem with likelihood . The coordinate path then has the law of . Since the likelihood depends only on the endpoint, the joint event in question has probabilityCompleting the two squares givesConsequently the joint endpoint and maximum law for drifted Brownian motion isThe endpoint and the maximum have no relevant atom at the boundary, so the same integral includes .
For the down-and-in claim, use non-dividend-paying Black-Scholes model dynamics under the risk-neutral measure. Put andLet be the first time the stock reaches . If , continuity ensures , so these terminal values contribute the payoff . For , lower-barrier reflection followed by the same exponential tilt gives the endpoint density on paths that have hit the barrier:Indeed at zero drift the reflected density is , and multiplying by gives the displayed expression.
Thus the remaining, undiscounted payoff expectation isSet andThen , , and is equivalent to . The integration variable has the ordinary terminal log-price density. Adding the first contribution therefore proves the static terminal-payoff representation of a down-and-in claim:This holds for nonnegative measurable payoffs, and for signed payoffs whenever the expectations are absolutely integrable. It is an equality of prices, not equality of pathwise terminal payments.
For the call, write for the ordinary European call option value, with remaining lifetime and strike . Before activation take current spot . The first term in is zero because the call pays nothing below . The second term reduces to , since . The homogeneity therefore gives the inactive down-and-in claim valueAt its value is , as required by activation. Its pre-activation option delta, however, has boundary limitwhereas the active contract's delta hedge holds shares. The stock holding consequently jumps byThis jump is strictly positive, even for negative interest rates. To verify that there is no exceptional cancellation, put and . The density for log-price paths killed at the lower barrier isThe down-and-out claim is the ordinary call minus . Differentiate its value at : the bracket vanishes there and its derivative is . Consequently its derivative with respect to the spot at isThis derivative is exactly the displayed delta jump. Thus on reaching the barrier before maturity the number of shares changes discontinuously. The portfolio value remains continuous; the bank position changes to finance the share adjustment. Hitting precisely at maturity has probability zero and does not alter this conclusion. This is the delta jump at activation of a down-and-in call.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 48 3 a Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let , and . The chain rule gives and . Also , so . The killing term cancels, leavingThis is the explicit log-price scheme for local-volatility pricing equation. Under the risk-neutral measure, the corresponding log-price Itô formula givesThe logarithmic coordinate removes the stock-price factors from the diffusion coefficient, but retains the spatial variation of local volatility.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 39 1 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Use a strictly positive bank account as numéraire, and write all prices and payoffs in discounted units. There are risky assets with deterministic initial price vector , terminal price vector , and gains . A self-financing portfolio with initial capital and constant risky holdings has discounted terminal wealth . The initial amount in the bank account is , so denotes total initial capital, not just the cash holding. Assume the usual absence of arbitrage, and hence existence of an equivalent martingale measure; wherever a general probability space is used below, explicitly assume that such a measure exists and makes the asset payoffs integrable.
The attainable claims are precisely the linear subspaceThe finite-dimensional subspace is closed, so every square-integrable contingent claim has a unique orthogonal projection onto . This is its optimal one-period least-squares hedging payoff. Holdings are unique after redundant assets have been removed. Putand suppose the remaining covariance matrix is invertible. Expanding the squared error givesFirst minimize over , then complete the square in . ThusThe residual satisfiesIndeed, every other squared error equals this minimum plusThis proves optimality, and also shows that zero error is equivalent to attainability of a European contingent claim. If initial capital is prescribed instead, the normal equations for linear least squares give ; one must not use the free-capital formula without this adjustment.
A dominated martingale measure is a probability measure such that . Its Radon-Nikodym derivative satisfies , , and . An equivalent martingale measure additionally requires almost surely. Every integrable attainable claim then has price , independent of which such measure is chosen. For an unattainable contingent claim, different dominated martingale measures can give different prices; least-squares approximation chooses a projection criterion rather than exact replication.
Write , where is the centered martingale part of the one-period gains. The minimal martingale measure in a one-period market changes the means of the traded gains to zero while preserving all square-integrable mean-zero directions orthogonal to . Its candidate density isDirect computation gives and . If and , then , as required. Conversely, an density with this preservation property is orthogonal to the orthogonal complement of , so it lies in that span. Its normalization and martingale constraints force exactly . Moreover,Every other square-integrable signed pricing density has the form , with orthogonal to and , hence to . Thereforeso the minimal density is also the minimum-norm one-period pricing weight. This coincidence concerns one period; it is not an unrestricted assertion about dynamic hedging models.
Positivity needs checking. If it defines an equivalent martingale measure; if merely , it defines a dominated martingale measure. Otherwise it defines only a signed martingale measure. For example, take and with physical probabilities . Then , , and in the third state. There is nonetheless an equivalent martingale measure assigning probabilities , whose mean gain is zero. Thus absence of arbitrage does not guarantee positivity of the least-squares density, and a least-squares initial cost need not be an arbitrage-free price for an unattainable payoff.
Finally prove completeness and uniqueness of dominated martingale measures. Suppose first that every bounded contingent claim is attainable. For any event , replicate . Under any dominated martingale measure, . Thus all such measures agree on every event. Existence follows from our no-arbitrage assumption, giving uniqueness.
Conversely, fix an equivalent martingale measure , and let . If the probability space admits disjoint events of positive probability, choose a basis of , including . The matrix with entries has a nonzero null vector . Consequently the bounded, nonzero random variablesatisfies and . For , defineThese are distinct equivalent martingale measures, because their densities are positive and their gain moments remain zero. Thus uniqueness rules out such a partition. A probability space with no disjoint positive-probability events consists, modulo null sets, of at most atoms: repeatedly split any non-atomic positive event to obtain a larger finite partition. On atoms the payoff space has dimension , while has dimension . Hence and is the whole payoff space. Every contingent claim is attainable. This provesHere completeness means all bounded claims, or all square-integrable claims in the formulation. The existence/no-arbitrage hypothesis matters: on a one-state space, cash and a stock with a sure positive discounted gain span every payoff, but no dominated martingale measure can make that gain have zero mean.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 39 2 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let the one-period riskless gross return be , with , and let the physical up probability be . The binomial market has risk-neutral probabilityUnder its equivalent martingale measure , successive multipliers are independent, taking with probabilities . The risk-neutral pricing function has the extensionFor every fixed positive multiplier , the function is convex when is convex. Taking a positive weighted sum preserves convexity. More explicitly, for ,Thus the pricing extension is convex, and so are its values on the attainable stock-price grid.
The replicating portfolio in a binomial market holdsshares over the next interval. If , put and . These are the secant slopes of on and , respectively. For a convex function, the slope of a secant on a later adjacent interval is no smaller than that on the earlier interval: apply the defining convexity inequality to the middle point , then rearrange. Hence . Using backward option pricing twice givesThe two coefficients are positive and sum to one. Therefore convex-payoff delta monotonicity in a binomial market yieldsIn particular an up move cannot reduce the stock holding. “Increases” here means nondecreases: an affine payoff gives equality, so strict increase cannot be claimed for every convex payoff.
For the expected utility maximization problem, let be the physical measure and on terminal paths. If a path has up moves, its binomial-market probability density isEvery terminal payoff is replicable in this complete market. Buying a positive payoff with initial wealth therefore imposes the state-price budget constraint . Since the utility function is increasing, the full budget is used. Its derivative and second derivative arePut . The first-order condition for a positive multiplier gives . The budget determines uniquely. Independence of the successive moves givesThus the optimal claim, as a function of the number of up moves, isBecause uniquely determines , this is also a terminal-stock-price payoff, attainable by backward option pricing and claim replication. It rewards states relatively more probable under the investor's physical measure than under the pricing measure. If , the optimum is the riskless payoff .
To prove global optimality rather than merely assert a stationary point, use the tangent inequality for the strictly concave function :Taking physical expectations makes the last term zero for any fully financed competing claim, and nonpositive for any claim costing less. Therefore , with equality only when almost surely. Finiteness causes no difficulty on the finite binomial tree, and in every terminal state.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 39 3 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Subtract the boundary slope from the Brownian motion: . Then is the first-passage time of to the fixed level . The zero-drift Brownian reflection principle givesHere is the standard normal distribution function. To change the drift to , use the Girsanov theorem on each finite horizon, with density . On , conditional expectation at the stopped time gives , because the density is a true martingale. Since , the drifted Brownian first-passage density is consequentlyThere may be additional mass at infinite hitting time; the displayed density only describes finite passage. With , apply the given zero-drift Brownian first-passage Laplace transform:The zero-discount limit is for and for , so the hitting probability is less than one precisely when the line moves away with positive slope.
For a direct verification of the linear-boundary Brownian first-passage distribution, defineBoth terms tend to zero as . Let be the standard normal density. The identityfollows by expanding the two squares. Differentiating the two normal probabilities then givesSince this is the previously derived hitting density and both distribution functions start at zero,This proof applies to every real , including the defective distribution when .
For the barrier digital put, use the dividend-free Black-Scholes model with constant interest rate and spot volatility . Under the risk-neutral measure,Set andReaching the barrier is equivalent to reaching . The contingent claim pays one only on the survival event . Risk-neutral pricing therefore givesThis is a path-survival price, not the price of a terminal digital put option. Continuity of the stock paths and the absence of an atom in the finite-horizon maximum imply that alternative touching conventions change no price. As , the value tends to ; as , it tends to zero. Both checks agree with the survival interpretation.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 39 4 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Take a non-dividend-paying stock with physical dynamics and continuous-time bank account . Write and assume the candidate claim price is before maturity, with enough growth control for the hedge to be admissible. The terminal condition is .
The Itô formula gives the claim's price changeA self-financing portfolio worth with shares has bank-account value . Its gain isTo replicate the claim, the Brownian coefficients must agree, forcing the delta hedge . Equating the remaining drift coefficients cancels the physical drift and yieldsThe cancellation explains why the Black-Scholes equation contains the interest rate, not the physical stock drift. Conversely, if an admissible solution of this equation is given, holdings in the stock and in the bank account have value and gains exactly . They are therefore a self-financing portfolio replicating the terminal payoff. Absence of arbitrage forces the claim to have this price. Merely decomposing the current value into arbitrary holdings would not justify self-financing; the gain identity and delta hedge are essential.
Now suppose the claim holder receives the cash rate before . The price is the ex-dividend value, so its total gain is . The replicating portfolio pays the same amounts out of its wealth, with no external injections. Thus its gain identity isAgain the Brownian coefficients force . Comparing drifts now gives the Black-Scholes equation with claim dividends:In particular the cash-flow source has a positive sign in the left-hand side. It is not an underlying-stock dividend yield and does not replace the drift by a dividend-adjusted drift.
For another justification, under the risk-neutral measure , discount the claim's cum-dividend gain. The Itô formula shows thatexactly when the displayed equation holds. Subject to the usual integrability making this a true martingale, conditional expectation at maturity givesPositive interim payments therefore add positive value, which also checks the source sign. For instance, a constant payment rate and zero terminal payoff have price , interpreted as at ; substitution satisfies .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 39 5 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let , , , and . Use a dividend-free Black-Scholes model with constant interest rate . The terminal payoff is assumed independent of the parameters being varied. In addition to twice differentiability, impose enough integrability to differentiate the pricing formula; for example, of polynomial growth suffice. Twice differentiability alone is not enough: the smooth payoff has infinite expectation under every nondegenerate lognormal distribution.
Under the risk-neutral measure , future stock values conditional on have the formClaim replication, or equivalently the martingale property of discounted value in the complete market, givesThe replicating strategy holds the option delta shares and bank-account value . No physical drift parameter appears: the Girsanov theorem replaces the physical drift by under the pricing measure, and the replication argument cancels it directly. The risk-neutral pricing operator is linear in the payoff and preserves pointwise payoff inequalities.
Here is a verification of the Black-Scholes equation using the integral itself. Differentiation in spot givesDifferentiating with respect to givesFor , the Gaussian integration by parts identity yieldsSubstitution cancels the term and provesSince , this is precisely the Black-Scholes equation. As , and growth control permits passage to the limit, giving . The delta hedge then supplies the admissible replicating gains under the same regularity assumptions.
The Black-Scholes parameter sensitivities describe the dependence on the model parameters without assuming a particular payoff. If is increasing, then . If is convex, then , so its price is convex in spot. The option gamma measures the response of the option delta to spot changes.
For the interest rate, the distribution of the future stock also changes with , so looking only at discounting gives the wrong general answer. Differentiation gives the option rhoThus a short bank-account position gives positive rate sensitivity, while a positive bank-account position gives negative rate sensitivity. For a cash payoff the result is negative; for the payoff it is zero.
For spot volatility, differentiate the lognormal multiplier and then use Gaussian integration by parts:Consequently a convex payoff has nonnegative option vega. This monotonicity can also be understood by a mean-preserving increase of dispersion in the discounted stock. Strict positivity requires nonzero curvature seen with positive probability; an affine payoff has zero option vega.
Time enters through the remaining maturity . Holding spot fixed, the Black-Scholes equation givesUnder the conventional assumption , a convex payoff and a short bond position imply . The inequality is strict if , or if with positive volatility. Thus the price at fixed stock value is nonincreasing in calendar time, and nondecreasing in maturity, under these hypotheses. It is not a claim that the realized stochastic price path decreases: that path still has Brownian exposure .
The printed conclusion needs the nonnegative-rate qualification; it is false for arbitrary negative rates. For , the twice-differentiable convex payoff hasThis is an exact counterexample, not a failure of the pricing formula. Also, with and an affine payoff, “decreasing” can only mean nonincreasing. Without payoff monotonicity or the specified bond-position sign, neither the spot nor rate nor time sensitivity has a universal sign. Any additional payoff parameter, such as a strike, is differentiated through ; pointwise payoff ordering, rather than a generic parameter rule, determines its price effect.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 40 1 i Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Take to be the ex-dividend stock price: the date- output has already been paid when trading occurs. Receiving units of fruit and selling shares gives the discrete dividend budget equationThe entering holding is chosen with date- information, while and the next holding may use date- information. The output is the consumption good and price numéraire; its stochastic law is exogenous to the individual's price-taking choice.
For the interior differentiable case, attach an adapted Lagrange multiplier to each budget constraint. On a finite horizon, with the terminal holding fixed or its continuation value included, the optimization Lagrangian isAn adapted variation in gives . An arbitrary date- measurable variation in affects two adjacent terms. Its coefficient must have zero conditional mean, soThese are the Euler equations of marginal utility pricing in a dividend economy. If the utility function is merely concave, a supporting slope replaces ; binding consumption or trading restrictions give the corresponding inequalities rather than unconstrained equalities.
With known initial information and , normalize . This is a state-price density for the traded asset. In particular,The ratio is the stochastic discount factor: payment in a state with greater marginal utility has a higher marginal value. For a priced contingent payoff at , its price is ; pricing arbitrary claims uniquely also requires market completeness. The deflated cumulative gains form a martingale whenever the displayed terms are integrable.
Iterating the Euler equation givesUnder the dividend-price transversality condition and the needed integrability, this becomes the fundamental priceThus an infinite-horizon price is not automatically just a dividend sum: its terminal term must vanish. Telescoping the individual budget constraints similarly givesA no-Ponzi lower restriction on this final term gives the consumption budget inequality; its vanishing gives equality. Together with the supporting-line inequality for a concave utility function, the Euler equations and these terminal conditions supply the usual sufficiency argument for an admissible candidate. In an incomplete market, each optimal agent's marginal utility can supply a different state-price density pricing the same traded tree.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 40 2 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Use for the dollar amount invested in the stock; the number of shares is . The bank account contains dollars. With no intermediate consumption, the self-financing portfolio equation isIf instead denotes share holdings, replace each dollar here by . The equation says that trading only reallocates existing portfolio wealth; gains come from cash interest and stock returns.
For the standard unconstrained complete-diffusion formulation, assume the completed natural Brownian filtration, initial wealth , and nonnegative admissible wealth. Define the market price of risk . The boundedness assumptions make bounded. The state-price density normalized at zero isIts money-market-adjusted process is a true martingale by the Novikov condition. Under , the Girsanov theorem gives as a Brownian motion, and the discounted stock has zero drift.
The Itô product rule applied to the wealth equation givesFor nonnegative admissible wealth this is a nonnegative local martingale, hence a supermartingale. Therefore every affordable terminal payoff satisfies the state-price budget constraint . Nonzero volatility and the Brownian martingale representation theorem allow replication of nonnegative claims with finite state-price cost.
For a differentiable strictly concave utility function with the usual conditions ensuring an interior integrable optimizer, put , the inverse marginal utility. Pointwise maximization of givesThe second equation determines the positive constant . To prove optimality, use the concave supporting-tangent inequality:Taking expectations and using the budget bound proves that the candidate dominates every admissible affordable payoff, whenever the utility expectations are well defined. This is the complete-market terminal utility optimizer.
The actual wealth and dollar portfolio are as explicit as general adapted coefficients permit. LetThe Brownian martingale representation theorem, with localization if only integrability is initially known, gives . The dollar portfolio from a deflated wealth martingale isThe bank holds dollars. Equivalently, with , . These formulas need no unjustified differentiability of a value function with random coefficients.
The printed assumption that is only increasing and concave does not guarantee that the interior formula exists, or even that the optimal value is finite. In general replace the inverse formula by an affordable selectionwhere is the wealth domain; boundary choices or supporting slopes handle nondifferentiability. Existence, finite cost and replication still have to hold. A concrete obstruction is the unbounded linear terminal-wealth utility: take , , , and the Brownian filtration. Then . For , the bounded nonnegative claimis replicable, costs , and has . Thus there is no finite optimal expected utility under the literal utility hypotheses alone. Also, bounded coefficients do not ensure market completeness in an arbitrarily enlarged filtration containing untraded randomness; the full replication formula uses the Brownian market information assumption stated above.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 40 3 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Assume, as in the Bayesian model, that the unknown drift is independent of the driving Brownian motion, with known positive prior precision . Recover the observed signal from the positive stock price:For a fixed time , the centered observed path is a Brownian bridge independent of : it is independent of the prior and has zero covariance with in their joint Gaussian law. Thus the whole observed history has the same posterior information about as its endpoint. This proves Brownian endpoint sufficiency for a constant drift rather than assuming it.
The likelihood of that endpoint, as a function of , is proportional to . Multiplying by the normal distribution prior and completing the square gives the Gaussian Brownian drift filterDefine the observed innovation process . It is a continuous observed-filtration martingale: for , independence of future noise and the tower property of conditional expectation give , so the conditional mean of its increment vanishes. Its quadratic variation is , since subtracting the finite-variation drift from does not change quadratic variation. The Lévy characterization of Brownian motion makes an observed-filtration Brownian motion. Differentiating the posterior mean givesConversely, the last equation determines from with deterministic coefficients and known initial value, and . Thus the observed and innovation filtrations coincide, supplying the natural Brownian information needed for replication. Consequently the observed stock dynamics are . Its observed market price of risk is , and its normalized state-price density solvesThe posterior mean is unbounded, so bounded-coefficient Novikov condition reasoning from Question 2 is not available automatically. A direct finite-horizon argument supplies true pricing. Relative to driftless Wiener measure for , the Bayesian mixture has observation densityA law with observation drift instead has density . ThereforeThis is the finite-horizon pricing density for Gaussian drift learning. The ratio changes the physical observed law into a genuine probability law, hence has mean one. Indeed, differentiation of the explicit likelihood, using , givesThe Itô formula therefore gives , agreeing with the stochastic exponential above. Under this pricing law the stock drift is .
For logarithmic utility, terminal marginal utility is . The state-price budget constraint and the marginal condition imply and . Since is constant, its conditional-expectation pricing process is constant as well. Thus the entire optimal wealth process isIndeed, for any other nonnegative admissible terminal wealth , the elementary inequality givesThis directly verifies optimality. Expected candidate log wealth is finite because and its time integral is finite on every fixed horizon. Applying the Itô formula to givesThe observed self-financing portfolio with risky dollar fraction has diffusion coefficient . Matching the coefficients proves the log-optimal investment with Gaussian drift learning ruleThe remaining dollars are held in the bank account; the fraction may be negative or exceed one because the question imposes neither short-sale nor borrowing restrictions.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2007 iii Paper 41 2 iii Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
In a complete market, terminal-wealth optimization can first be solved over terminal payoffs and then implemented by replication. Let initial wealth be , and take an increasing differentiable strictly concave utility function on satisfying the Inada conditions. The state-price budget constraint for a terminal wealth is . Monotonicity spends the whole budget at the optimum.
Let be the inverse marginal utility. Choose to satisfy . In a finite tree with positive state probabilities, this left side is continuous and strictly decreasing from infinity to zero, so exists uniquely. The complete-market terminal utility optimizer isTo prove optimality, concavity gives . Taking expectations and using the budget proves . Strict concavity gives uniqueness of the optimal terminal wealth. The finite-market setting avoids additional infinite-state existence and integrability issues.
Replicate using the backward recursion of part (i). Its wealth process is , and the two-successor difference quotient gives its stock holdings. This self-financing strategy starts with by the budget equality and remains positive at every node, since it is the discounted conditional expectation of a strictly positive terminal wealth.
For logarithmic utility, , , the multiplier is and . For CRRA utility with risk aversion , , the normalized payoff isConstraints such as prohibiting short sales change the attainable terminal-payoff set and require a constrained optimization; the unconstrained complete-market formula uses the stated assumptions.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2007 iii Paper 41 2 i Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Consider a binomial market with dates , bank account for , and stock price or , where . Both moves have positive physical probability, and the information at date is the history of the first moves. Absence of arbitrage requires and is implied by . If , borrowing cash to buy stock has nonnegative payoff with a strict gain in one state; if , the reverse trade does. In the interior range, the risk-neutral probability of an up move isIt makes , so is a martingale. This proves absence of arbitrage by pricing discounted gains under the equivalent measure.
At a node with stock price , let the desired next-period portfolio values be . Solve the two replication equations and . The replicating portfolio in a binomial market hasIts current value isRebalance at the next node using exactly the value supplied by the previous holdings, so the strategy is self-financing. Backward induction from any terminal contingent claim gives its hedge and the unique priceThus the finite binomial market is a complete market. The construction works for path-dependent claims on the full history tree, even when their values do not recombine merely as functions of the current stock price. For , independence under gives the explicit time-zero priceThe stock hedge is a difference quotient of successor values, the discrete analogue of the delta hedge.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2007 iii Paper 41 2 iv Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
For the Cox-Ross-Rubinstein diffusion approximation, fix calendar maturity , take , and choose , , and the one-step bank factor . For sufficiently fine mesh, . The risk-neutral probability expands asEach stock log-increment is . Its mean under is and its variance is . Independent increments, their vanishing maximum size, and the Donsker invariance principle for this triangular array give the path limitExponentiation gives the geometric Brownian motion of the Black-Scholes model, and the bank account tends to .
The physical model is matched by taking . Its corresponding limit has log drift , so . The likelihood ratios from part (ii) have the matching continuous-time limit. With , a Taylor expansion of their two possible log-multipliers giveswhere is or . Thus the limiting Radon-Nikodym derivative is the Girsanov theorem density , turning the physical stock drift into .
The binomial risk-neutral pricing formula converges to for bounded continuous terminal payoffs by convergence in distribution. For ordinary call and put payoffs, uniform stock second-moment bounds give the required uniform integrability and hence convergence despite unboundedness. Bounded payoffs with discontinuities only at events of zero limiting probability are handled by the same weak-convergence criterion. Corresponding continuous path functionals can be treated at the process level. Arbitrary discontinuous path claims do not follow from weak convergence without further conditions. In the smooth limiting model, the discrete hedging difference quotient becomes the delta hedge , and its value satisfies the Black-Scholes equation.