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The signed instantaneous contribution of apsidal precession to azimuthal motion during isotropic stellar mass loss is $\dot{\varpi }/\dot{\theta }=-(\dot{\mu }/\mu n)(1-e^2{)}^{3/2}\sin f/[e(1+e\cos f{)}^2]$. Its maximum absolute magnitude is small when $n|\mu /\dot{\mu }|\gg F(e)$, where $F(e)\sim 1/e$ near a circular orbit and $F(e)\to 3\sqrt{3}/4$ as $e\to 1$. The low-orbital eccentricity coordinate singularity can be avoided by evolving the eccentricity vector.

A circular distant barycentric Kepler orbit around a circular star–planet binary need not have constant star-centred osculating orbital elements. Let $\mu$ be the planet's fraction of the binary mass, $\alpha =a_{\mathrm{pl}}/a\ll 1$, and $\epsilon =\mu /\sqrt{\alpha }\ll 1$. Subtracting the stellar reflex velocity produces radial and tangential perturbations $(-v_0\epsilon \sin \Delta ,v_0\epsilon \cos \Delta )$, where $\Delta$ is the planet's longitude minus the particle's longitude. The vis-viva equation gives the displayed semi-major axis variation. The eccentricity vector components follow from $e_r=r{v}_{\theta }^2/(G{M}_{\star })-1$ and $e_{\theta }=-r{v}_r{v}_{\theta }/(G{M}_{\star })$. The errors are $O(\mu +{\epsilon }^2)$; the spatial translation itself is only $O(\mu \alpha )$. These are changes of instantaneous orbital description, even when the assumed barycentric trajectory is fixed.

In a cold pressureless stream of asymptotic speed $v$, conservation of specific angular momentum and the eccentricity vector makes a streamline at impact parameter $d$ cross the downstream axis at $b=d^2{v}^2/(2GM)$. Its axial velocity there remains $v$, while opposing transverse velocities collide in a shock.

Uniform planar kick angle $\theta$ gives $c=\cos \theta$ with probability density $1/(\pi \sqrt{1-c^2})$. This maps onto a one-dimensional curve in orbital eccentricity–semi-major axis space. The two radial-kick signs share that curve but have opposite tangential components of the eccentricity vector. The resulting density is enhanced near tangential-kick endpoints.

For isotropic stellar mass loss the eccentricity vector obeys $\dot{\mathbf{e}}=-(\dot{\mu }/\mu )(\mathbf{e}+\hat{\mathbf{r}})$. With true anomaly $f$ and $e>0$, this gives $\dot{e}=-(\dot{\mu }/\mu )(e+\cos f)$ and $\dot{\varpi }=-(\dot{\mu }/\mu )\sin f/e$. The osculating pericentre satisfies $\dot{q}/q=-(\dot{\mu }/\mu )(1-\cos f)/(1+e)$, hence cannot decrease during mass loss and is instantaneously stationary at pericentre. The vector form is nonsingular at a circular orbit.

Put $\mathcal{G}=G(M_{\star }+M_{\mathrm{pl}})$, $h=\sqrt{\mathcal{G}a(1-e^2)}$, $\theta =\omega +f$ and $L=n_{\mathrm{pl}}t$. Here $h$ is the specific angular momentum, $f$ is the true anomaly and $\omega$ is the planar longitude of periapsis. Differentiating the Kepler orbit equation with $\dot{f}=h/r^2$ givesResolve the velocity along the radial and tangential unit vectors, $\hat{\mathbf{r}}=(\cos \theta ,\sin \theta )$ and $\hat{\mathbf{\theta }}=(-\sin \theta ,\cos \theta )$. The identities $\sin f\cos \theta -\cos f\sin \theta =-\sin \omega$ and $\sin f\sin \theta +\cos f\cos \theta =\cos \omega$ yieldThis is the Kepler velocity hodograph: the velocity runs around a circle whose centre is displaced by the orbital eccentricity.

The centre of mass condition gives the star's barycentric position ${\mathbf{r}}_{\star }=-\mu a_{\mathrm{pl}}(\cos L,\sin L)$. Translating to the star without rotating the axes gives ${\mathbf{r}}^{\prime }=\mathbf{r}-{\mathbf{r}}_{\star }$ and ${\mathbf{v}}^{\prime }=\mathbf{v}-{\dot{\mathbf{r}}}_{\star }$. From Kepler's third law, $n_{\mathrm{pl}}^2{a}_{\mathrm{pl}}^3=\mathcal{G}$, soConsequentlyThe small displacement and the larger reflex velocity have different orders: $|{\mathbf{r}}^{\prime }-\mathbf{r}|/a=\mu \alpha$, but the reflex speed divided by the circular speed is $\mu {\alpha }^{-1/2}$. These are the source of the astrocentric osculating-element oscillations.

For the coordinate ratio, the exact result isFor fixed $e<1$, $r/a\ge 1-e$, so this is $O(\mu \alpha )$ on any angular region with $|\cos \theta |$ bounded away from zero. The printed coordinate claim is not uniform over a full orbit: at $x=0$ its ratio is undefined. The nonsingular statement is $|{\mathbf{r}}^{\prime }-\mathbf{r}|/r\le \mu \alpha /(1-e)$, assuming the pericentre distance remains much larger than the binary separation.

Squaring the two components of the velocity givesAt $\mu =0$, $\kappa =0$ and $\mathcal{G}=G{M}_{\star }$. Sincethis reduces to the vis-viva equation, $v^{\prime 2}=G{M}_{\star }(2/r-1/a)$.

Now let the barycentric Kepler orbit be circular, write $\Delta =L-\theta$ and $\epsilon =\mu {\alpha }^{-1/2}\ll 1$, and put $v_0=\sqrt{\mathcal{G}/a}$. The osculating orbital elements about the star use the gravitational parameter $G{M}_{\star }=(1-\mu )\mathcal{G}$. To the required order, $r^{\prime }=a[1+O(\mu \alpha )]$ and $v^{\prime 2}=v_0^2[1+2\epsilon \cos \Delta +O({\epsilon }^2)]$. The specific orbital energy therefore impliesHere $\mu =o(\epsilon )$ and ${\epsilon }^2=o(\epsilon )$ under the stated hierarchy. Even at a phase where the leading cosine vanishes, the absolute error bound remains valid.

Finally, use the eccentricity vector ${\mathbf{e}}^{\prime }=({\mathbf{v}}^{\prime }\times {\mathbf{h}}^{\prime })/(G{M}_{\star })-{\hat{\mathbf{r}}}^{\prime }$. In radial and tangential components it isThe translation changes the radial basis only by $O(\mu \alpha )$, whereas $v_r^{\prime }=-v_0\epsilon \sin \Delta +O(v_0\mu \alpha )$ and $v_{\theta }^{\prime }=v_0(1+\epsilon \cos \Delta )+O(v_0\mu \alpha )$. ThusFor the original circular Kepler orbit, $\omega$ and $f$ are separately arbitrary; their sum $\theta$ is well defined. Using the eccentricity vector avoids introducing an undefined pericentre for that circular Kepler orbit.

Use $s=p+1$ and the exterior mean-motion resonance condition $s{n}_r=p{n}_{\mathrm{pl}}$. Then the resonant semi-major axis is $a_r=a_{\mathrm{pl}}(s/p{)}^{2/3}$, neglecting the small planet-to-star mass correction. For the geometric construction, take $a_{\mathrm{pl}}=n_{\mathrm{pl}}=1$, $p=4$, $e=0.2$, $\varpi =\pi /4$ and start the particle at pericentre. Solve Kepler's equation $M=E-e\sin E$ with $M=(4/5)t$. Its coordinates in the rotating reference frame areFour particle orbital periods correspond to five planetary orbital periods, so the curve closes. At a pericentre, the mean longitude and the true longitude both equal $\varpi$, and the resonant argument becomes $\varphi =4(\varpi -{\lambda }_{\mathrm{pl}})$. Thus the four pericentre directions are $\varphi /4$ modulo $\pi /2$. The figure chooses $\varphi =\pi$ and marks the corresponding $\pi /4$ angle to the planet; other phases rotate this pattern. Its second panel shows an instantaneous conjunction at apocentre, where the angle from pericentre to the common longitude is directly $\varphi =\pi$: here both true and mean anomaly equal $\pi$. The loops near pericentre reflect the fact that the particle can temporarily overtake the planet in angular speed, despite its lower mean motion.

For the evolution equations, $\lambda$ must be the mean longitude. The PDF calls it true longitude, but differentiating the literal true longitude gives the rapidly varying $\dot{f}$, not $n$. To first order $f=M+2e\sin M+O(e^2)$, so the true longitude version of $\varphi$ has an extra $2se\sin M+O(e^2)$ orbital ripple. The stated Lagrange planetary equations and slow complex eccentricity equation are interpreted consistently as orbit-averaged equations in mean longitude. The pericentre geometry of an exterior resonance above is unchanged by this distinction.

Let $F_r,F_{\theta }$ be perturbing forces, and let $m$ be the particle's mass. The angular momentum about the star satisfiesThe central gravitational force and the radial perturbation have zero torque. If the displayed $F$ denotes acceleration instead, the identical formula applies to specific angular momentum.

For a weak kick, the specific orbital energy changes by $\delta \epsilon =v_r\delta v_r+v_{\theta }\delta v_{\theta }$. A planet leading the particle pulls it forwards, while a trailing planet pulls it backwards. For a nearly circular exterior Kepler orbit, a forward tangential kick raises angular momentum and semi-major axis, lowers mean motion, and makes the next conjunction occur sooner in the synodic cycle. Its longitude retreats relative to the unperturbed conjunction sequence. A backward kick produces the opposite shift. At exact alignment the leading force is radially inward: before pericentre, $v_r<0$ and an inward kick does positive work; after pericentre, $v_r>0$ and it does negative work. These likewise raise or lower semi-major axis. At an apsis, a purely radial infinitesimal kick has no first-order energy change but changes the eccentricity vector, so angular momentum alone does not determine every timing change.

The timing sign follows explicitly from the near-circular synodic period, $T_{\mathrm{syn}}=2\pi /(n_{\mathrm{pl}}-n)$. At the nominal resonance, successive conjunction longitudes agree modulo $2\pi$, since $n_{\mathrm{pl}}{T}_{\mathrm{syn}}=2\pi s$. A persistent small change givesThis is the accumulated mean timing shift; an actual impulsive encounter can also change the instantaneous orbital phase and longitude of periapsis.

Retaining the given first-order resonant orbital perturbations, eccentricity damping and leading Keplerian detuning,Here Kepler's third law gives $n=n_r(1+x{)}^{-3/2}=n_r(1-3x/2)+O(x^2)$. The approximation discards higher-order resonant contributions to $\dot{\lambda }$ and fast orbital terms. Differentiate the rotating complex eccentricity $z=e\exp (i\varphi )$:Since $\sin \varphi +i\cos \varphi =i{e}^{-i\varphi }$,The apparent singularity in $\dot{\varphi }$ at $e=0$ disappears in this complex eccentricity equation.

Take $A>0$, and the conventional positive resonant coefficient $C>0$. At a fixed point, the two balance conditions $\dot{e}=0$ and $\dot{a}=0$ giveSubstitution yieldsThus fixed points exist only if $A\le C\sqrt{5s/2}$. With strict inequality, put $S=\sqrt{(5/2)s{C}^2-A^2}$ and ${\psi }_f=\arctan (A/S)\in (0,\pi /2)$. Thenrespectively. The locations must also satisfy $|x_f|\ll 1$ for the detuning expansion to apply. At equality the phases merge at $3\pi /2$ and $x_f=0$. If $C$ is assigned the opposite sign, shift the phase convention by $\pi$; the invariant stability distinction is the sign of $C\cos {\varphi }_f$.

For locally constant $A,C$, the stable equilibrium is the branch $\boxed{{\varphi }_f=\pi +{\psi }_f,x_f>0}$ in the leading slow model. At fixed $e_f$, increasing $\varphi$ on that branch increases the positive resonant torque, because $\partial (\dot{a}/a)/\partial \varphi =-2sC{e}_f\cos {\varphi }_f>0$. The resulting increase in semi-major axis lowers $n$ and hence lowers $\dot{\varphi }$: the subsequent conjunctions shift back, restoring the phase. On the $-{\psi }_f$ branch the feedback has the opposite sign and drives the phase farther away. Eccentricity damping removes the oscillatory disturbance on the restoring branch.

One can verify that this feedback stabilizes the coupled variables rather than just the phase. Treat $A,C$ as locally constant, and write $z=u+iv$. Then $\dot{u}=-Au+Bxv$, $\dot{v}=-C-Av-Bxu$ and $\dot{x}\simeq -2sCv-4A/5$. At a fixed point $Bxv=Au$. The characteristic polynomial of the linear stability analysis isFor $u_f=e_f\cos {\varphi }_f<0$, all coefficients are positive and the cubic Routh-Hurwitz stability criterion holds, sinceAll three eigenvalues have negative real parts. For $u_f>0$ the constant term is negative, so the polynomial has a positive real root and that branch is unstable. The merged case has a zero eigenvalue. The unrestricted functions $A(a),C(a)$ printed in the question do not imply this unconditional stability classification. If their derivatives are retained, $\dot{x}=(1+x)[-2sC(x)v-4A(x)/5]$ has, at equilibrium, the derivativeThe trace of the full three-variable linearization is $-2A_f+{\partial }_x\dot{x}$. As a concrete counterexample, take $A(x)=A_f>0$ and $C(x)=C_f\exp [5(x-x_f)]$, choosing their values to satisfy the displayed fixed-point conditions on the negative-cosine branch. Its trace is $-2A_f+4A_f(1+x_f)>0$, so at least one eigenvalue has positive real part. Both coefficients are smooth. Thus the restoring conjunction feedback identifies the stable branch of the usual locally constant model, but additional assumptions on coefficient variation are necessary to assert stability for every allowed function.

The central equation must be read as $\ddot{\mathbf{r}}=-\mu \mathbf{r}/r^3$; its printed left-hand expression lacks $=0$. Initially $\mu$ is constant. Dotting this equation with the velocity givesTaking its cross product with $\mathbf{r}$ gives $d(\mathbf{r}\times \mathbf{v})/dt=0$. In the fixed orbital plane the magnitude is $h=r^2\dot{\theta }$. These are conservation of specific orbital energy and specific angular momentum.

Let $f=\theta -\varpi$. Differentiating the polar equation of the Kepler orbit, with its elements initially constant, givesSubstitution into the specific orbital energy yields

For isotropic stellar mass loss with no recoil or drag, the force is still central, so $\mathbf{h}$ remains exactly constant, although $C$ does not. NowThe same algebraic relation between $C,h,e$ holds for the instantaneous osculating orbital elements. Differentiating it and using $h^2/(\mu r)=1+e\cos f$ givesand, for $e>0$,A particularly useful nonsingular description uses the eccentricity vectorThe vector equation remains meaningful at a circular orbit, where a longitude of pericentre is undefined. Its components along and perpendicular to $\mathbf{e}$ give the scalar formula above and

The osculating pericentre is $q=h^2/[\mu (1+e)]$. ThereforeFor mass loss, $\dot{\mu }<0$, this is nonnegative: pericentre does not decrease. It is positive except at pericentre itself, where $\cos f=1$ and $\dot{q}=0$. Thus a strictly opposite sign at every instant is not literally true; a pericentre passage with nonzero mass-loss rate is a counterexample to the strict wording. The intended monotonicity follows exactly, without requiring slow mass loss.

For adiabatic orbital expansion under isotropic mass loss, average over the unperturbed Kepler orbit and hold $\dot{\mu }/\mu$ constant to leading order during that orbit. If $E$ is the eccentric anomaly and $n=\sqrt{\mu /a^3}$, thenIt follows immediately thatAveraging with uniform true anomaly instead of uniform time would give the wrong result. Since $\mu a(1-e^2)=h^2$, conserved $h$ and constant secular orbital eccentricity giveThe pericentre and apocentre expand in the same secular proportion. These are leading adiabatic invariants, rather than exact invariants for arbitrary time-dependent $\mu$.

For the instantaneous precession fraction write $\theta =f+\varpi$ and $\dot{\theta }=h/r^2$. The adiabatic apsidal condition is controlled byIt is a signed fraction: apsidal advance contributes positively on the outward leg during mass loss, and negatively on the inward leg. Let ${\tau }_{\mu }=|\mu /\dot{\mu }|$. Ordinary orbit averaging requires ${\tau }_{\mu }\gg P$, together with negligible variation of the mass-loss law over one orbit. If the pericentre direction is also to vary negligibly relative to the instantaneous azimuthal motion, the maximum absolute fraction must be small. A precise condition for $0<e<1$ isThe maximizing cosine is $c=(1-\sqrt{1+8e^2})/(2e)$: differentiating the last factor gives $c+2e-e{c}^2=0$. Thus one can evaluate $F(e)$ explicitly by putting $\sqrt{1-c^2}/(1+ec{)}^2$ into the formula. Its useful limits areFor orbital eccentricity of order unity, mass loss much slower than an orbital period suffices; near a circular orbit, keeping the pericentre direction slowly varying additionally requires $n{\tau }_{\mu }e\gg 1$. The latter divergence is a singularity of the pericentre coordinate, not a divergence of the eccentricity vector dynamics. Indeed, at frozen $\dot{\mu }/\mu$, integrating the scalar evolution to first order gives $\delta e=-(\dot{\mu }/\mu )(1-e^2)\sin E/n$ up to an integration constant. Its absolute amplitude stays small for slow mass loss even when the scalar longitude of pericentre becomes unsuitable.

At each fixed semimajor axis, let $B=b_{3/2}^2(\alpha )/b_{3/2}^1(\alpha )$ and $Z_f=B{e}_{\mathrm{pl}}$. The planet's longitude of pericentre is the zero of longitude. The secular perturbation equation becomes $\dot{z}=iA(z-Z_f)$. Integrating it with the initial condition $z(0)=0$ givesThe forced eccentricity vector is the constant real $Z_f$; the free eccentricity vector is $-Z_f{e}^{iAt}$. Consequently the complex eccentricity follows a circle in the Argand plane centered at $Z_f$, with radius $Z_f$, starting at the origin and moving counterclockwise. Its initial velocity is downward, $\dot{z}(0)=-iA{Z}_f$. The secular period is $2\pi /A$, andThe longitude of pericentre is undefined at the origin, but the complex eccentricity passes smoothly through it. At $At=\pi$, $z=2Z_f$ and the orbit is maximally eccentric and aligned with the planet.

Using the small-$\alpha$ Laplace coefficient expansion givesAlso $n=n_{\mathrm{pl}}{\alpha }^{-3/2}$ to leading order in the planet-to-star mass ratio. The secular forcing by a distant outer planet is thereforeA relative $O({\alpha }^2)$ correction to $A$ can accumulate a phase error at very long times; the leading-frequency formula is not a uniform-in-time expansion.

If $a_2=a_1(1+\delta )$ with $\delta =\delta a/a_1\ll 1$, then $Z_{f,2}/Z_{f,1}=1+\delta +O({\delta }^2)$ and $A_2/A_1=1+3\delta /2+O({\delta }^2)$. The outer planetesimal therefore has a slightly larger forced eccentricity circle and a shorter secular period. Its accumulated secular phase lead is $\Delta (At)\simeq 3A_{1}t\delta /2$. Initially both circles start at the origin, but their eccentricity vectors progressively lose alignment. Linearizing the exponential in $\delta$ additionally requires $|A_{1}t\delta |\ll 1$.

The orbit crossing is caused by this accumulating differential secular phase, even though individual orbital eccentricities remain small. To first order in orbital eccentricity, the radius of an orbit at fixed inertial longitude $\theta$ isFor an infinitesimally neighboring orbit,This derivative is evaluated within the first-order orbital-shape model; derivatives of the neglected quadratic terms give relative $O(Z_f)$ corrections near crossing. The least separation over longitude is consequently $\delta a[1-|z+a{\partial }_{a}z|]$. The differential secular orbit-crossing criterion is $|z+a{\partial }_{a}z|=1$. Since $Z_f\propto a$ and $A\propto a^{3/2}$,The first term stays bounded by $4Z_f\ll 1$, whereas the second grows in proportion to time. To leading order in $Z_f$, crossing begins when $(3/2)Z_{f}At=1$. ThusMore precisely, in this first-order orbital-shape approximation the exact first crossing lies within a fractional $O(Z_f)$ window of this value, since the magnitude differs from $(3/2)Z_{f}At$ by at most $4Z_f$. Higher-order Laplace coefficients give additional corrections. The local derivation takes the neighboring-orbit limit before the long-time limit; for a finite separation it requires $\delta a/a_1\ll Z_f$ near crossing. A broad continuous disk contains such neighboring orbits. The crossings first appear in directions selected by the phase of $z+a{\partial }_{a}z$, not simultaneously at every longitude.

For the collision energy estimate adopt the phase-averaged mean orbital eccentricity $\overline{e}=4Z_f/\pi \simeq 5\alpha e_{\mathrm{pl}}/\pi$. The specified velocity estimate givesUsing the projectile kinetic energy per target mass convention for specific impact energy, equal-size and equal-density bodies have equal masses and $Q=\frac{1}{2}{v}_{\mathrm{col}}^2$. A catastrophic planetesimal collision requires $Q\gtrsim Q_D^{\ast }$, soThe numerical coefficient is only illustrative because the collision speed was specified only to order of magnitude. If the disruption threshold is instead defined using the centre of mass kinetic energy per combined mass, equal masses give $Q_R=v_{\mathrm{col}}^2/8$ and the coefficient becomes $8{\pi }^2/25$ for a threshold expressed in that convention. The robust result is a lower bound of order $Q_D^{\ast }{a}_{\mathrm{pl}}/(G{M}_{\star }{e}_{\mathrm{pl}}^2)$.

Within the inner-disk approximation, catastrophic collisions require sufficiently large $a_1/a_{\mathrm{pl}}$, not arbitrarily small radii. Although the Keplerian speed rises inward, the secularly induced orbital eccentricity falls faster: $v_{\mathrm{col}}^2\propto \alpha$. The lower bound must be much smaller than one to leave a domain compatible with $\alpha \ll 1$. A small planet orbital eccentricity, a large disruption threshold, or a distant planet can eliminate that domain. The planet mass controls the time to crossing but cancels from the eventual forced eccentricity amplitude and this collision-energy criterion. The threshold alone does not ensure that crossing has occurred within the disk's available lifetime.

Take $\mathbf{r}={\mathbf{x}}_1-{\mathbf{x}}_2$, $r=|\mathbf{r}|$ and $M=M_1+M_2$. Newton's law of universal gravitation gives ${\ddot{\mathbf{x}}}_1=-G{M}_2\mathbf{r}/r^3$ and ${\ddot{\mathbf{x}}}_2=G{M}_1\mathbf{r}/r^3$. Subtracting yields the relative two-body equationThe reduced mass is $\mu =M_1{M}_2/M$. The orbital energy and angular momentum in the center of mass frame areDifferentiation givesThus both are conserved. The eccentricity vector isFor $\mathbf{h}=\mathbf{J}/\mu$, one has $\ddot{\mathbf{r}}\times \mathbf{h}/(GM)=\dot{\mathbf{r}}/r-\mathbf{r}(\mathbf{r}\cdot \dot{\mathbf{r}})/r^3=d(\mathbf{r}/r)/dt$, so $\dot{\mathbf{e}}=0$. In particular the orbital eccentricity is constant, withFor a bound Kepler orbit, $E=-GM\mu /(2a)$ and $J^2=GM{\mu }^{2}a(1-e^2)$.

For the far-field multipole expansion, set the center of mass to zero. Then ${\mathbf{x}}_1=(M_2/M)\mathbf{r}$ and ${\mathbf{x}}_2=-(M_1/M)\mathbf{r}$. At $x=|\mathbf{x}|\gg r$, expand each point-mass Newtonian gravitational potential:Repeated indices are summed. The dipole vanishes since ${\sum }_A{M}_A{\mathbf{x}}_A=0$, and ${\sum }_A{M}_A{x}_{Ai}{x}_{Aj}=\mu r_i{r}_j$. The second-order gravitational quadrupole potential of a point-mass binary is thereforeBoth tensors specified in the question are trace-free. Direct contraction givesso to the requested orderFor equal masses the cubic multipole also vanishes, but it need not vanish for unequal masses.

To evaluate the quadrupole formula, use $k=GM$, $\mathbf{v}=\dot{\mathbf{r}}$, $\mathbf{n}=\mathbf{r}/r$, $u=\dot{r}=\mathbf{n}\cdot \mathbf{v}$, and $\mathbf{w}=\mathbf{v}-u\mathbf{n}$. The acceleration and its derivative areThe third derivative of $r_i{r}_j$ is ${\dot{b}}_i{r}_j+r_i{\dot{b}}_j+3b_i{v}_j+3v_i{b}_j$. Its trace is $d^3(r^2)/d{t}^3=-2ku/r^2$. Substituting in $q_{ij}=\mu (3r_i{r}_j-r^2{\delta }_{ij})/2$ givesBecause $\mathbf{n}\cdot \mathbf{w}=0$, the cross tensor contraction is zero. The squared norms of the two bracketed pieces are $6u^2$ and $72w^2$, respectively. Thusand the instantaneous energy loss isThe parenthesis is $w^2+u^2/12\ge 0$, as required for positive radiated power. This is the instantaneous quadrupole luminosity of a Kepler binary with loss sign for the orbital energy.

A slowly evolving initially circular binary is expected to follow a quasi-circular inspiral at leading radiation order. One needs angular-momentum loss as well as energy loss for this conclusion: the rotating quadrupole has frequency $2\Omega$ and azimuthal harmonic number two, so its fluxes satisfy the gravitational-wave energy and angular-momentum balance $\dot{E}=\Omega \dot{J}$. Along the circular family,The flux relation is precisely the tangent condition for remaining on that family; equivalently it keeps $e^2=1+2E{J}^2/(G^2{M}^2{\mu }^3)$ equal to zero at leading secular order. The shrinking orbit is not an exact fixed-radius circle: its small radial drift is neglected at this adiabatic order.

For a circular orbit of instantaneous separation $a$, $u=0$ and $v^2=GM/a$. ThereforeDifferentiating $E=-GM\mu /(2a)$ at fixed masses now givesWriting $C=64G^3{M}^2\mu /(5c^5)$, the circular gravitational-wave inspiral obeys $a^4=a_0^4-4Ct$. The formal point-mass coalescence time is $a_0^4/(4C)$, and $\dot{P}/P=(3/2)\dot{a}/a$ gives a decreasing orbital period and increasing gravitational-wave frequency.

Gravitational radiation tightens a detached close binary and becomes more effective at small separation. It can bring a stellar donor into Roche-lobe overflow or drive compact objects toward merger. Finite radii, tides and mass transfer can then alter the evolution; the fixed-mass inspiral law is not the entire evolution law once these matter. Near merger the weak-field, slow-motion quadrupole formula also ceases to be sufficient.

Specific orbital energy, orbital eccentricity and the distribution. Let $\mu =G{M}_{\star }$, $v_K=\sqrt{\mu /a}$ and $c=\cos \theta$. Choose positive $\sin \theta$ to mean an outward radial kick. At release the tangential and radial velocities are $v_t=v_K(1+\gamma c)$ and $v_r=\gamma v_K\sin \theta$. The specific orbital energy and specific angular momentum areUsing ${\epsilon }^{\prime }=-\mu /(2a^{\prime })$ and $e^{\prime 2}=1+2{\epsilon }^{\prime }{h}^{\prime 2}/{\mu }^2$ therefore givesThe denominator must be positive for an elliptic Kepler orbit. A vanishing denominator describes a parabolic Kepler orbit; negative $a^{\prime }$ is the signed semi-major axis of a hyperbolic Kepler orbit.

Differentiating the squared orbital eccentricity givesIn the small-kick regime $0<\gamma <1$, $1+\gamma c>0$. Thus the minimum is at $c=-\gamma /3$, withThe entire expression, including the ${\gamma }^4/27$ term, lies under the square root in the PDF. This minimum is not a universal statement for arbitrary kick size. For example $\gamma =2$, $c=-1$ reverses the circular velocity and gives a retrograde circular orbit with $e^{\prime }=0$; the displayed stationary value is then not the global minimum.

For $0<\gamma <\sqrt{2}-1$, every kick direction gives a bound prograde Kepler orbit. The two endpoint maxima, one at each end of the accessible curve, areThe positive endpoint is the global maximum. There is one interior minimum, at the location just found. Uniform $\theta$ gives the kick-orbit distributionBoth signs of the radial kick occupy the same $e^{\prime }$–$a^{\prime }/a$ curve; they have opposite apsidal orientations. The distribution is concentrated near its endpoints, with integrable square-root singularities. For larger kicks retain the parametric curve and its bound portion $c<(1-{\gamma }^2)/(2\gamma )$; an unbound branch begins at $e^{\prime }=1$, $a^{\prime }/a\to \pm \infty$. In particular, a sketch of a wholly elliptic population presupposes the bound-kick restriction above.