Write and . When the ice sphere grows by volume , it consumes liquid volume . The difference is expelled from the fixed cavity. Thus mass conservation fixes the outward Darcy flux in the surrounding porous medium:
The Darcy law and imply
Matching at the cavity wall, whose internal pressure is uniform, gives
The solid and liquid pressures are equal when the Gibbs--Thomson relation is neglected; nevertheless the coexistence temperature changes with their common pressure because their specific volumes differ. Along coexistence, equality of chemical potentials gives
Hence the common-pressure melting-point slope is . To first order in the pressure change,
The multiplying this coefficient is absolute temperature, approximately for water; a temperature difference may equally be measured in kelvin or degrees Celsius. Substituting the numerical value from the Celsius scale into a thermodynamic denominator would be incorrect.
In the quasi-stationary thermal conduction approximation, neglect advective heat transport and use the stated effective conductivity outside the sphere. The radial Laplace equation gives the bounded solid temperature and the liquid/porous-region temperature:
This treats the exterior as a uniform conducting medium, as required by the printed reduction; distinct cavity and porous-medium conductivities would give an additional thermal resistance. There is no solid-side heat flux in the bounded quasi-stationary solution. The Stefan condition therefore becomes
Eliminate and to obtain
For , and , this is
The pressure follows either from the Darcy flux or the Stefan condition:
In particular : rising pressure progressively reduces the available undercooling. This is spherical freezing inside a porous cavity, whose fixed hydraulic outlet radius distinguishes it from freezing directly through a porous matrix.
For the idealized zero-radius start, integration gives
A finite seed replaces the right side by its difference from the initial value. The reduction ends when the sphere fills the cavity.
For , hydraulic drainage is easy and the pressure feedback is small throughout the cavity. The leading expressions are
This is ordinary conduction-controlled spherical solidification, with a completion time asymptotic to .
For , distinguish the initial crossover from the pressure-dominated regime. At , equivalently , the same square-root growth applies and . At , equivalently ,
The interface approaches , the pressure approaches the finite coexistence value , and growth becomes hydraulically limited. The leading completion time is . The cube-root approximation is not valid at the instant of nucleation, where the initial square-root regime must be retained.
Use the one-sided thermal conduction model encoded by the requested dispersion relation: neglect solid-side perturbation heat flux, take equal phase densities, and let the normal point from solid into liquid. Write the isotropic linear kinetic undercooling law using the solidification attachment mobility :
Here is solid-liquid surface energy, is the sum of principal curvatures, and is absolute temperature. Positive curvature convex into liquid lowers the equilibrium freezing temperature through the Gibbs--Thomson relation. The planar base state has .
Set and define
The paper's is the latent-to-sensible heat ratio, the reciprocal of the common Stefan number convention. Below, velocities, lengths and growth rates are dimensionless in these scales. In the travelling coordinate , the liquid heat equation gives , while the bounded solid steady field is constant. Matching a decaying liquid profile to the Stefan condition gives
The kinetic undercooling condition is . Thus
The speed is constant for , determined by and the attachment coefficient in the specified scales. Thermal diffusivity sets the exponential decay length , not the selected speed. Including solid-side perturbation conduction would change the stability equation below.
For linear stability analysis, corrugate the interface to and write the liquid perturbation as . The liquid heat equation requires
For this graph the linearized curvature is . Evaluate the temperature on the displaced interface: its perturbation is . The kinetic undercooling law therefore gives
Likewise the derivative evaluated at the displaced surface is , with . The Stefan condition at perturbation order reads
Elimination proves the one-sided kinetic solidification dispersion:
The destabilizing term comes from a protrusion encountering colder liquid; capillarity and kinetic relaxation oppose it.
At , and the base liquid has no thermal contrast generated by latent heat. The interface obeys : positive surface energy damps all nonzero modes, while is neutral at this order. Here the thermal perturbation amplitude vanishes, so the auxiliary decay exponent is immaterial to that pure kinetic relaxation. At , and the formal limit gives
For it has a negative real branch and no growing branch; at the interface branch is neutral. Strictly, is a singular endpoint of the travelling profile: no finite-width stationary exponential connects to the far-field value zero. These stability statements describe the limit of the travelling-front model.
For , assume at small wavenumber. Expand
Substituting into the dispersion relation cancels on both sides and gives
At the capillary stability threshold for a kinetic freezing front , continuing the same expansion gives : the nonzero long waves are damped even at threshold.
For large wavenumber, multiply the dispersion relation by and eliminate using the thermal equation. The exact algebraic form is
It prevents the uncontrolled replacement when itself is of order . In the usual small-capillarity range the leading results are
For the second result, set in the cubic; its quadratic-order balance gives . Thus positive capillarity stabilizes sufficiently short waves. If also and , the useful reduced approximation is
its finite terms should not be treated as a uniform expansion for arbitrary fixed .
For completeness, large dimensionless capillarity has different balances. At , and . For , , so . At , the real branch reaches : for its growth rate is , and for that endpoint is exact. For at this boundary, or for , the selected real- normal mode ceases to exist at sufficiently large wavenumber; the full diffusion problem includes a thermal continuous spectrum and cannot be assigned a real isolated interface growth rate by this ansatz there. Indeed, writing the bulk thermal perturbation as reduces its heat equation to , whose half-line diffusion modes have decay rates for . The thermal branch endpoint is . Loss of a damped isolated interface mode is not a morphological instability.
The approximate instability condition is already clear from the long-wave coefficient: , equivalently . In fact it is exact for growing modes of the present one-sided model. At , let , so . The right side of the dispersion relation becomes
For real , the residual is strictly increasing, since
Therefore a unique positive root exists precisely when . For , the unstable band is
There are no unstable oscillatory roots hidden by this real-root test. Indeed, if and , the thermal equation implies . For , the imaginary parts of the two equations would require , contradicting . Thus growing modes have real and real .
Figure 1.
Growth-rate curves for a one-sided kinetic freezing front
. Details.
The sketch shows zero capillarity approaching the positive plateau , weak capillarity giving a positive band followed by short-wave damping, and threshold/stronger capillarity giving damping at every nonzero wavenumber. The zero-wavenumber mode is a translation. As with fixed positive , both the unstable bandwidth and the positive growth rates shrink to zero; the small-wavenumber expansion is not uniform in that limit.
Use a one-sided top-hat plume model with Boussinesq approximation and neglect the solid/liquid density difference in the interfacial volume source. Define the positive ablation speed , volume flux per unit wall span , and kinematic momentum flux . Let ambient entrainment per height be , with entrainment coefficient , and take for the salinity contribution to density. Conservation of volume and vertical momentum, with negligible wall stress and negligible vertical momentum of entering fluid, gives
Only the ocean-facing edge entrains. Using two edges would change the entrainment coefficient in these formulas.
To derive the heat balance, choose liquid specific enthalpy and solid specific enthalpy . A horizontal slab receives ambient volume with enthalpy , and solid mass-equivalent volume with enthalpy . Thus
Subtract and divide by :
Similarly, the incoming salt flux is , so . Subtracting proves
Both anomalies are negative for fresh, cold melt entering the ocean. These balances account for the heat needed to melt the entering ice, rather than treating it as already-liquid water at .
Now use , the large latent-to-sensible heat ratio convention of the paper. Put . The stated small plume-deficit limits allow us to replace plume by their ambient values in the diffusive interfacial fluxes. The Stefan condition and interfacial salt balance are then
For the compositional Péclet number , solve the second equation and impose the liquidus:
Substitution in the heat balance gives the diffusive glacier-ablation interface law
Here is the liquidus slope, unrelated to the surface-energy parameter of the previous question. If , and , the physical root is
It is positive when , exactly the condition that the ocean is warmer than its own liquidus. Since and ambient properties are fixed, is constant with height in this approximation.
For the melting-driven saline wall plume, measure height from a virtual origin. The integrated anomaly balances are
In the specified small-deficit regime the meltwater volume is negligible compared with entrainment. Indeed, the solution below gives , so a small compositional plume deficit implies . Thus retain for the leading power laws, although remains essential in the salt and heat sources. Try , . The salt deficit is proportional to , and the momentum balance has powers , hence . The volume balance gives , and the momentum coefficient gives . Therefore
These are entrainment-dominated power laws, not an exact solution with the term retained in the volume equation. They fail close to the virtual origin, where the formal temperature and salinity deficits diverge. Their buoyancy source is distributed melting along the wall, unlike a line plume with a constant buoyancy flux from a localized source.
Figure 1.
Temperature and salinity from the ice interface through the wall layer and plume
. Details.
The profiles rise from across the laminar boundary layer to the almost-ambient plume values , then approach across the entraining edge. The sketch uses the linear-gradient approximation implicit in the prescribed diffusive fluxes; it is not an exact normal advection–diffusion profile at large .
For ,
The last formula retains both first-order terms and is appropriate near the no-ablation threshold. Salt diffusion keeps the interface saline, and freezing-point depression allows ice dissolution in saline water even when . Latent heat is still needed, but the thermodynamic permission to ablate comes from the depressed liquidus; small does not mean a negligible energy cost.
For , and . Rapid production of fresh melt dilutes the interface, so its temperature approaches the pure-ice melting point. In the usual thermally driven regime and ,
This is predominantly thermal melting. More generally the retained large- balance is . For example, gives , which can be large while the driving term is still saline freezing-point depression. Thus the melting/dissolution interpretation must also consider the ocean's temperature relative to , not the compositional Péclet number alone.
The Maykut-Untersteiner model solves a seasonally forced, one-dimensional sea ice thermodynamics problem with a snow layer above saline ice. Let increase downward from the upper surface, with snow–ice interface and ice bottom . Write for conductive heat flux, positive downward, and for downward shortwave radiation penetrating the material. Local energy conservation gives
For , the radiation term is : absorption heats the interior. Here is the derivative of specific enthalpy with temperature at prescribed ice salinity, and includes the latent heat of changing brine fraction. Using only pure-ice specific heat capacity would omit this storage. A usual approximation has and , with in degrees Celsius and positive, unit-dependent constants . Thus warmer saline ice has larger effective heat capacity and lower thermal conductivity. Layerwise constant gives the usual finite-layer heat equation; full differentiation retains its spatial variation. Snow uses its own density and thermal conductivity, and its stronger extinction can make shortwave penetration negligible beneath it.
Define the net atmospheric input to the upper surface by
where is albedo, is turbulent sensible heat loss and is turbulent latent heat loss. Their signs can reverse. The outgoing longwave term uses the Stefan–Boltzmann law. Subtract the penetrating shortwave , because it heats the interior rather than the infinitesimal surface. If is surface ablation speed and the density of the material currently exposed, the upper boundary obeys
Below the melting point, and the flux balance determines . Once it reaches , the positive excess produces surface ablation; snow melts first, and only afterwards does that ablation remove ice. At the snow–ice interface, absent interfacial phase change,
At the base, and the Stefan condition is
Here is signed bottom growth speed, and is ocean heat flux toward the ice. An upward conductive loss freezes ice; an excess melts it. For a prescribed upward turbulent ocean heat flux, the model needs no separate ocean temperature solution. A water-side closure could write at the boundary in this downward coordinate. Snowfall is an independent mass input: with snowfall mass flux , in a constant-density approximation. The ice thickness obeys . Compaction or refreezing, if added, requires corresponding mass and energy terms rather than counting snowfall directly as ice growth. These boundary conditions and interior equations determine temperature, surface melt and basal growth together.
Under periodically repeated annual forcing, annual sea-ice thermodynamic equilibrium is a periodic annual state, not constant thickness:
Winter accretion then balances net annual ablation. “Equilibrium thickness” normally denotes a mean or a specified point in this annual cycle. Different forcing can instead eliminate a perennial-ice solution.
Increasing ocean heat flux reduces bottom growth directly in the Stefan condition, lowering equilibrium thickness and eventually removing perennial ice. The stabilizing winter response is visible in the approximate conductive flux
when ice thins, conductive loss and winter regrowth increase. More snow lowers this flux and inhibits winter growth. However, snow also raises albedo and delays summer exposure of dark ice. The competing snow insulation and summer ice protection effects mean an annual snow sensitivity cannot be deduced from winter insulation alone. Under the original forcing, the Maykut-Untersteiner model gives an almost flat annual-thickness response below about annual snow depth, followed by strong thickening as snow persists into summer. This particular transition is not a universal threshold for other forcing or snowfall timing. Increasing summer albedo reduces absorbed solar energy, reduces surface and internal melting, and increases equilibrium thickness; sufficiently low albedo removes perennial ice. The original thermodynamic sensitivity calculations establish these three responses.
Figure 1.
Three schematic equilibrium-thickness sensitivities: ocean heat flux, annual snow depth and summer albedo
. Details.
The three curves are original qualitative sketches, not a new numerical integration or digitization. The snow marker refers to that historical forcing; the unnumbered loss boundaries and ordinate indicate trends rather than calibrated universal thresholds.
For the summer retreat discussed around the time of this examination, the proposed mechanisms act as follows.
These processes overlap: circulation causes export, export changes thickness and open-water fraction, and those changes alter solar absorption. Without specified regional budgets there is no defensible unique percentage partition. For enhanced Beaufort summer basal melt, upper-ocean solar heating and western-Arctic heat pathways are more directly relevant than invoking unmodified heat from a deep, isolated Atlantic layer. ice-mass-balance observations of extreme Beaufort melt identify increased solar absorption in open water as an important source.
Take as an explicit ice-density approximation and use the supplied . The latent heat for basal ablation is
June–September contains about days, so
Using would give . This is the net flux used for melting: the gross ocean heat flux can also supply conductive losses and changes in cold content. It greatly exceeds an annual central-pack background of a few , but is compatible with a summer upper ocean absorbing solar radiation at tens to hundreds of . For scale, an added open-water fraction , a shortwave input and an ice–water albedo contrast produce additional area-mean absorption before losses. This is an illustrative budget, not a measurement. Wind mixing and circulation can deliver stored solar or advected heat to the underside.
The ice-albedo feedback closes the warming loop: retreat exposes darker water; extra solar absorption warms the upper ocean; basal and lateral melt increase retreat. The stored heat also delays autumn freeze-up, exposing water to atmospheric heat transfer for longer. Its later release warms the atmosphere, but must not be counted as a second source in addition to the solar energy that originally entered the ocean. In winter, greater heat loss from open water and rapid growth of thin ice partly oppose the summer positive feedback.
Let be the water thermal conductivity, the latent heat of fusion per unit ice mass, and the ice density. Define as the normal ice-retreat speed that enlarges the cavity. With the water thermal boundary layer at on its warm side and at the melting interface, the heat supply per unit interface area is approximately
The ice is specified to be uniformly at , so no leading sensible-heat flux into colder ice must be subtracted. The Stefan condition is therefore , giving
Equivalently expresses the heat flux in terms of water thermal diffusivity. The imposed temperatures and constant boundary-layer thickness make this melt rate uniform and constant over the wetted interface. Melting adds latent energy demand to the flow; for an isolated finite pulse, maintaining indefinitely would require heat replenishment. The constant-temperature model is consequently an imposed closure, not a prediction of a permanently hot finite water volume.
Use a planar saline Stefan problem with upward coordinate , the initial contact at , and phase boundaries and enclosing pure ice, where . Fresh liquid occupies and brine occupies . We assume negligible bulk flow, equal constant mass density , specific heat capacity and thermal diffusivity in all regions, and zero salt content and salt transport in the ice. Equal densities remove phase-change volume flow; suppressing convection isolates the molecular-transport mechanism. Different material properties would change the numerical coefficients. Set for the common thermal conductivity and . Denote the brine salt diffusion coefficient by .
Use a linear ice liquidus, , with and the salt mass fraction. Assume the initial brine is a stable liquid, , and all concentrations considered are below the eutectic composition. Thus . These assumptions exclude independent nucleation in a supercooled brine or an eutectic system event, neither of which is specified by the initial data alone. Start with a negligible seed of ice and use local phase equilibrium without interfacial kinetics or curvature. Temperature differences may be in Celsius, since only differences enter this calculation.
Write
The paper calls a Stefan number; it is the latent-to-sensible heat ratio, reciprocal to another common Stefan number convention. At the lower phase boundary, define and let
The liquidus relation is .
A similarity solution gives an explicit calculation of the two positions. Put
and use , . The temperatures and salinities are
These error function and complementary error function profiles satisfy the heat equation and the salt diffusion equation, their far-field conditions, and the interfacial temperature conditions. The fresh-water temperature is constant because the interface and the far field are both at .
Salt conservation at the moving lower phase boundary requires
For upward motion this is dilution by melting salt-free ice, rather than salt rejection by freezing brine. Substitution gives the dilution function for a melting saline Stefan front:
For , , so the interfacial brine is fresher than the remote liquid.
The Stefan condition at the upper boundary is , since the fresh liquid has no temperature gradient. At the lower boundary it is
These signs follow from the jump in enthalpy: the upper front freezes liquid while a positive melts solid. With , they reduce to
Together with , these equations determine , and hence both positions, without discarding the salt-diffusion correction.
For the stated large latent-to-sensible heat ratio, the layer is thin relative to the thermal diffusion length. Expanding the thermal equations for gives
Consequently a useful leading calculation is
where the positive is obtained from
The left side decreases with while the right side increases, and their values at zero and infinity guarantee a unique positive root for large . Thus this leading calculation includes the translation of the lower boundary as well as the increasing thickness.
If the scale separation also obeys , the familiar simpler result is
with
This last simplification needs the logarithmic refinement . The algebraic ordering alone should not be used to discard an arbitrarily large logarithmic correction; the preceding coupled equations remain the appropriate calculation when that refinement is unavailable. This distinction is captured by large latent heat in a freezing and melting ice layer.
Figure 1.
Fresh-water freezing and basal ice melting with the temperature and salinity profiles on their distinct diffusion scales
. Details.
The illustration uses , and . Solving the full equations gives , and . It shows the ice layer between freshwater and cold brine, with both fronts advancing upward and a strongly diluted lower liquid boundary.
Figure 2.
Temperature-salinity trajectory from cold bulk brine to the ice liquidus and through salt-free ice to fresh water
. Details.
The phase diagram shows the spatial path from remote brine to the lower interface: temperature first changes over at almost unchanged salinity, then salinity changes over its much smaller diffusion scale at nearly constant temperature. The liquid path ends on the liquidus at ; the solid has and its temperature rises from to . The eutectic position is schematic, with in the illustration, and is not used in the calculation. A point initially in the fresh layer freezes when reaches it, cools in the ice, and later melts when reaches it. The inset indicates this temporal path in the opposite direction through the solid branch and into the liquid.
The mechanism is simultaneous upper freezing and lower melting, with net growth of the ice thickness. Cold brine accepts most of the latent heat released by upper freezing. Salt reaching the lower contact lowers its equilibrium melting temperature, and melting freshens that liquid until its liquidus is close to . The heat delivered through the ice supplies the much smaller melting demand there. The remote brine remains liquid even though it is below the pure-water melting temperature, because it lies above its own saline liquidus. Thus “cold” does not by itself decide which phase is stable. These conclusions apply while the layers remain effectively deep and the stated no-convection, pure-ice and phase-equilibrium assumptions hold.
Let increase into the liquid, with the planar solidification front at . Denote the common thermal conductivity by . A bounded travelling temperature profile satisfies . In the solid, boundedness as forces ; in the liquid,
The Stefan condition then gives
Thus the travelling solidification front in a pure supercooled melt releases just enough latent heat to warm the initially supercooled liquid to . There is no separate imposed heat flux at infinity in this bounded travelling-wave problem.
For the interface perturbation write . Use the Gibbs--Thomson relation for curvature-induced melting-temperature depression
Here is the solid-liquid surface energy, in this expression is absolute temperature in kelvin, and is the sum of principal curvatures, positive for solid convex into liquid. For this graph, . If mean curvature is defined as half this sum, ; this fixes the capillary factor unambiguously.
Under the small-wavelength thermal approximation for a solidification front, take harmonic perturbation temperatures that decay away from the interface:
This approximates their temperature equation by Laplace's equation, neglecting perturbation time dependence and the moving-frame advection. Expanding the interfacial temperature at the displaced surface gives
The second expression includes displacement through the negative base liquid gradient. Linearizing the Stefan condition also requires evaluation of the base gradient at the displaced surface:
Using gives the requested reduced dispersion relation:
or
The destabilizing term describes a protrusion entering colder liquid. The cubic term expresses stabilization by the curvature-induced temperature decrease.
There is an important accuracy qualification. The harmonic approximation gives the leading short-wave thermal exponents, but the retained constant term is not a uniformly controlled next-order correction to the full moving-boundary problem. If perturbation diffusion is retained, its exponents are
Substitution into exactly the same linearized boundary balances gives the full thermal stability of a travelling solidification front:
For example, with capillarity removed, solves this relation exactly, whereas the harmonic reduction gives . The difference is smaller than the leading term when , but demonstrates why the reduced formula should not be asserted as an exact dispersion law or a precise onset calculation. To neglect perturbation time dependence one also needs ; extremely large capillary damping is outside that approximation.
To analyse the displayed cubic, define
Then . It is negative at zero and at sufficiently large . Its positive stationary point is the unique maximum:
Thus the capillary threshold of a reduced solidification dispersion is
with equality giving a neutral maximum and strict inequality giving a band of unstable positive wavenumbers. At equality, however, , not . The number is therefore the threshold of the stated reduced cubic, not a controlled threshold of the full thermal problem under the stated short-wave ordering. Far above this threshold its fastest-growing scale does satisfy , making the short-wave mechanism meaningful.
The analogy for a snowflake is dendritic growth of a snowflake. A protrusion has better access to the driving supersaturation or undercooling and grows faster than a sheltered region; this amplifies tips and promotes branching into crystal dendrites. Interfacial capillarity suppresses arbitrarily fine tips. In an actual snowflake, the main growth is deposition from water vapour, so the diffusion field and its driving variable differ from this pure-melt thermal example. The hexagonal ice crystal anisotropy supplies six equivalent preferred arm directions; an isotropic planar stability calculation alone cannot predict six arms. Nonlinear tip selection, vapour transport and side branching are needed for the later detailed morphology. The analysis explains the competition between diffusion-driven protrusion growth and capillary smoothing, with this physically necessary qualification.
For a stationary, uniformly permeable skeleton, Darcy law gives . Constant-density conservation of mass gives , hence the pressure is harmonic:
With uniform gravitational acceleration, the same argument applies to pressure after subtracting its hydrostatic part. The spherical calculation below neglects body-force variation and uses the excess pressure relative to the far field.
Set and . When a shell freezes, its pore mass decreases at rate ; the difference must leave as liquid. Since Darcy velocity is volume discharge per total area, not pore-fluid speed, the interfacial and radial balances give
The positive sign means outward expulsion by the expansion on freezing. Integrating Darcy law with gives
There is no liquid Darcy velocity in the ice-filled region.
To state a closed Stefan problem, let be the effective thermal conductivities of the frozen and unfrozen composites and their volumetric heat capacities. If the matrix mass density is , the common specific heat gives and . These material coefficients are not numerically specified. With , the thermal equations are
The exterior equation retains advected sensible heat. A more detailed mechanical-energy model adds the Darcy dissipation source ; its smallness at leading order is checked below. At the origin require , and at infinity require , . At the phase boundary impose temperature continuity, phase equilibrium and the Stefan condition:
These equations, the radial liquid-mass balance and Darcy law, together with an initial radius and compatible initial temperature fields, specify the moving-boundary model. No curvature correction is imposed. A vanishing initial seed corresponds to the leading growth law below with .
Write and , the latent-to-sensible heat ratio. A conductive interfacial balance gives . On length scale , the ratio of thermal diffusion time to growth time is consequently bounded by
It is small for with fixed porosity and comparable constituent densities and thermal properties. Very small porosity requires the sharper condition ; the bare heat-capacity ratio alone should not be used uniformly as . The advective-to-conductive ratio is
Even if mechanical heating is retained, its size relative to latent-heat release is . For fixed water properties this is also small as , consistently with the linearized Clausius-Clapeyron relation. Thus unsteadiness, thermal advection and mechanical heating are higher-order effects. The local leading temperature fields satisfy Laplace's equation. The approximation describes radii of order ; the distant transient diffusion tail supplies the far-field matching and need not be globally steady.
Regularity at zero and the interface/far-field values give
The Stefan condition becomes . Introduce the dimensionless pressure-feedback factor
Combining this heat balance with pressure-dependent phase equilibrium yields the growth and interface values:
This is pressure-limited spherical freezing in a porous medium. The interface values are constant during this leading solution, although changes at a fixed exterior radius.
As permeability of a porous medium decreases, increases: the interface pressure rises toward the finite value , while the interface temperature falls toward . Hydraulic resistance suppresses freezing through pressure-induced freezing-point depression. In the limit , ; a zero-seed radius grows as and tends to zero at fixed time. A finite seed instead hardly changes. At exactly zero permeability an incompressible rigid model cannot expel the expansion volume, so sustained growth stops; deformation or compressibility would require a different model.
Let measure distance inward from the surface. While , curvature is negligible and this is a planar two-phase Stefan problem. Use a common reference mass density , specific heat capacity , thermal conductivity and thermal diffusivity ; retain the mass density differences only in the subsequent buoyancy estimates. Define , , and . The paper's parameter is the latent-to-sensible heat ratio, reciprocal to the more usual Stefan number.
For superheated two-phase Stefan similarity, solving with , and gives the Neumann solution of the Stefan problem. With ,
The solid expression holds for and the liquid expression for . The interface gradients inserted in the Stefan condition determine the positive constant :
The right-hand bracket decreases from infinity and crosses zero, while the equivalent left-hand side increases, proving uniqueness. The liquid-side flux subtracts from the roof cooling: it is heat brought to the interface by the superheated interior.
For large , . Keeping the superheat term while using and yields . Hence the small-interface-parameter growth with liquid superheat approximation is
The solid temperature is approximately linear across its thin crust, while the liquid thermal boundary layer has thickness of order . For fixed superheat and , ; for , . This retains the strong suppression of growth by a very hot interior.
To estimate overturn, take local gravitational acceleration at the roof. The liquid's mass density contrast is , while the solid contrast is . A liquid thermal layer of thickness has Rayleigh number . As , it reaches its critical value after a time scaling as
In viscous overturn of a dense crust, an unstably stratified viscous crust has a Rayleigh-Taylor instability growth time of order . Setting this equal to its age, with , gives
These are formation-to-overturn times. A specified critical liquid Rayleigh number multiplies by ; logarithmic amplification and geometrical constants also affect the crust estimate. They are omitted for the requested order-of-magnitude scaling.
The given numbers yield , and . Thus
Liquid thermal overturn is enormously faster than crustal overturn throughout the stated range. Even a critical-Rayleigh prefactor of order does not change that ordering. Since is not asymptotically large, low-superheat coefficients from the permitted approximation are only approximate. At the upper end , so the linear thermal-density approximation also ceases to be quantitatively credible; that endpoint is a formal scaling estimate under the supplied constant-property model. At a common age the instantaneous viscous instability-time ratio instead scales as ; it should not be confused with the above formation-time ratio.
For a boundary-layer renewal model, the liquid layer reaches . Its cycle-averaged thermal flux is consequently
If a critical Rayleigh number is retained, insert a factor . Averaging the diffusive flux over a cycle only changes an order-one coefficient. The crust reaches
so its average solid-volume flux per roof area is the crust-removal flux
The corresponding mass flux is and latent-heat flux is . This independent-cycle estimate is a scale for a crust that reaches overturn thickness and is then renewed. Because the liquid renews much more rapidly, in a hot interior its average heat flux can limit actual crust growth: the consistent interfacial budget is . A stalled crust would not realize repeated solid cycles. In a superheated interior, detached solid may also remelt; permanent core deposition is most directly justified in the late regime requested next.
At late times , liquid thermal buoyancy vanishes and . Thus
Assuming thin renewed crust, efficient sinking and constant asteroid radius, conservation of mass gives under the permitted equal-density approximation. Therefore the asteroidal core growth by crustal sinking law is
For a self-gravitating approximately uniform sphere, , so and a zero-seed core scales as . This law applies while the thin-crust renewal model remains valid and liquid remains available; it cannot continue beyond complete solidification. The specific numerical lifetime cannot be inferred without the absolute solid viscosity and conductivity.
Let . The salt equation in the saline Stefan problem gives . Since the complementary error function is positive on the real axis and , the signs of and agree. Thus freezing is equivalent to , or . Using the leading thermal balance,
at leading order away from a vanishing temperature difference. In fact the exact onset is also : at the salt balance forces , and the Stefan condition then forces . The solution with has a stationary interface and balancing conductive heat fluxes, despite nontrivial diffusion of the initial temperature discontinuity. For completeness, the exact freezing criterion follows without relying on that local crossing. By the salt-rejection function for a saline Stefan front, decreases continuously from to as positive increases. If , let be where . On , the solid-side thermal term decreases, the liquid-side term increases, and the latent-heat term increases: the factors and decrease and increase respectively. These monotonicities follow from the positive integral representation of . The thermal residual starts at and is negative at , so a positive root exists uniquely precisely when . Beyond both thermal contributions to freezing are negative, so no further root is possible. If , the same sign argument excludes every positive root.
Use the usual saline Stefan problem approximation: no bulk flow, salt-free ice with negligible salt transport, constant properties, equal phase densities, and the same thermal conductivity and thermal diffusivity in both phases. Write for specific heat capacity, for latent heat per unit mass, and . These thermal symmetries are needed for the arithmetic-mean interface temperature requested in the paper; unequal phase conductivities would give a weighted balance instead.
Set , , and . The heat equation and salt diffusion equation reduce to . Their similarity solutions, in terms of the complementary error function, are
These have the required interface values and far-field limits. At each fixed they recover the initial data as . The liquidus condition is .
Salt rejection and the Stefan condition give, with gradients evaluated on the appropriate sides of the interface,
For example, salt rejection is obtained by differentiating the total salt on a moving liquid interval: the moving lower endpoint removes , which must be supplied by diffusive transport away from the salt-free solid. Substitution, including the salt-rejection function for a saline Stefan front, gives the complete algebraic system for the diffusion-controlled iceberg growth and ablation:
The sign of distinguishes freezing from melting; neither sign should be excluded in the general similarity solution.
For , , and fixed and far-field temperatures, the thermal equation has leading right-hand side , while its left-hand side is . Hence
This is a leading-order balance, not an exact cancellation of latent heat. The resulting and the first algebraic equation determine the leading . A physical finite- branch requires ; if the mean temperature is positive, this salt-diffusion scaling cannot describe the leading solution. Likewise, a latent-to-sensible heat ratio diverging as changes the leading thermal balance.
Define and . Put and . Then , which will determine the freezing and constitutional supercooling conditions below.
Introduce specific heat capacity , latent heat per unit mass , and . Write the prescribed convective heat flux as , where
There is a dimensional convention to specify: with measured in and dimensionless , this printed expression makes a heat transfer coefficient only if is kinematic viscosity. If denotes dynamic viscosity, the numerator needs instead. The question says only “viscosity”; use the consistent kinematic interpretation, or equivalently the corrected dynamic formula. The following balances apply to either convention once has units .
For a thin lava lake crust with a linear temperature profile, Fourier's law gives the outward conductive flux . The Stefan condition balances it against upward thermal convection and freezing, while the well-mixed liquid loses the convective flux and gains radiogenic heating. To leading order in the radiogenically heated lava-lake crust model is
The fixed surface temperature already incorporates radiative cooling, so no extra radiative loss is added to the interior balance. The linear conductive profile is interpreted as a quasi-steady approximation, so sensible-heat storage within the crust is not evolved. Thinness alone does not establish this approximation: rapid thermal adjustment in the crust is also needed, for example a small Stefan number during the initial conduction-driven growth. Replacing the liquid depth by and retaining the moving liquid-volume enthalpy would introduce thin-crust corrections: the requested constant-temperature branch refers to the leading model above. A transient thermal profile in a thick or newly nucleating crust would require the full Stefan problem, rather than this linear-profile closure.
Using the thermal diffusion time , define
The three independent dimensionless parameters are the convective-conductive coefficient , the heating parameter , and the Stefan number . For positive the evolution equations become
where prime denotes . Temperature has the exact solution
Consequently the unique constant-temperature initial condition is
At this temperature, the convective flux equals the column's radiogenic heat production. Starting with no crust, the constant-temperature lava-crust growth law is obtained by separating :
The crust grows towards , or , where conduction carries all the radiogenic input. The logarithm makes reaching this equilibrium take infinite time. For an initial thickness , subtract on the same side of the equilibrium; the corresponding antiderivative uses on either branch. The thin-crust description through equilibrium requires .
For general initial temperature, the full early and intermediate history is specified by the exact temperature above and one scalar ordinary differential equation. A particularly convenient integral formulation for an initially bare surface is
This removes the infinite initial derivative of . The right-hand side points into at zero, and is decreasing in when ; two nonnegative solutions therefore cannot separate, which gives uniqueness. Its solution, together with the temperature formula, determines the entire model evolution and can be computed without a phase-boundary search. The early expansion follows by substitution:
The dimensional leading crust thickness is . Thus hotter liquid reduces the first correction to conductive crust growth, whereas colder liquid permits more rapid thickening.
If , the temperature decreases and the instantaneous stationary lava-crust thickness increases towards . Starting from zero, the crust always remains below this rising curve: at a first contact but , so it cannot cross from below. Hence hot-start crust grows monotonically. It also stays thinner than the constant-temperature solution: the early expansion puts it below, and at a proposed first crossing their derivative difference is , preventing crossing from below. If , the temperature increases and the instantaneous stationary lava-crust thickness decreases. The crust stays thicker than the constant-temperature solution by scalar comparison, but it may cross the decreasing , reach a maximum and subsequently melt back towards . Such overshoot is possible, not inevitable; the two relevant relaxation rates are and . The numerical plot uses , , , so crust adjustment is faster than temperature relaxation and the cool-start example does overshoot:
Figure 1.
Lava temperature and crust thickness
. Details.
The curves use and initially . They solve the complete reduced time-dependent equations, rather than replacing the moving stationary thickness by the actual crust. At late times, set , ; linearization gives . For ,
At equal rates the forced term is . In particular, slow warming with approaches equilibrium from a thicker crust, explaining the plotted remelting. These long-time expressions describe the linearized response; nonlinear corrections can have their own faster exponential rates. All predictions are restricted to , nonnegative liquid superheat, and the assumed vigorous-convection flux law. If crust growth violates those conditions, the reduced model must be replaced rather than extrapolated to total freezing.
Use a quasistatic surface energy balance with negligible heat storage in the surface or ice, a linear ice temperature profile, and a fixed freezing temperature at the ice-ocean interface. These are the assumptions behind the single-category sea-ice thermodynamic model used below. Write , and
Here and are heat transfer coefficients, is thermal conductivity, is thermal diffusivity, and is the inverse Stefan number. Here is latent heat per unit mass. The thermal denotes conductivity; the previous questions use for permeability.
While there is open water, the upward ocean heat supply balances the loss to air: . Thus
Freezing begins when this surface reaches on the cooling part of the annual cycle, which requires and gives
For the surface never cools strictly below freezing and no positive ice thickness develops in this model. The limit gives .
With ice present and a cold surface, thermal conduction and Newton's law of cooling give . The surface temperature is
During surface melting the temperature is capped at ; the ice is not permitted to follow the above formula to a temperature higher than its melting point. The upward conductive heat flux during the cold phase is
The Stefan condition at the ocean interface gives . Under the permitted approximation of negligible ocean heat during growth,
Starting from , integration yields the implicit growth law
The leading maximum occurs when the air returns to freezing from below:
The equality for is within the ocean-heat-neglected growth model, with the freezing time set by the open-water balance. If , conductive resistance through the ice dominates the atmospheric boundary resistance at maximum thickness. Consequently
This reproduces the displayed large-conductance limit. A sufficient condition for the quasistatic temperature assumption is ; large ensures this in the thick-ice scaling.
The approximation concerning ocean heat needs care. Its ratio to atmospheric heat removal during the cold phase is
It is uniformly small away from the beginnings and ends of winter provided
For the thick-ice limit this requires both and . This also makes the integrated ocean heat small relative to the latent heat of the maximum ice column. It is not possible to neglect pointwise throughout the closed growth interval: at the actual freezing onset it balances the atmospheric removal, and at the true maximum the growth rate is zero because the two fluxes again balance. The ocean-heat correction to seasonal ice growth therefore gives narrow endpoint corrections. In the full model the maximum is slightly earlier than , with
Thus in the stated approximation, rather than an exact maximum time for finite ocean heat.
For , while ice survives, both the warm air and ocean melt it. The surface is at , and the total Stefan condition is
Integrating from the leading maximum gives
until its first zero. The physical thickness is then zero for the rest of this warm interval and the open-water temperature applies. Therefore at the end of the first year,
Positive ice at that time is equivalent, in the specified approximation, to
This establishes the algebraic criterion printed in the paper.
There is, however, an actual qualification to the paper's word “perennial.” This inequality tests peak-temperature sea-ice survival, since is the next atmospheric temperature maximum. Surface melting continues until at least , so positive thickness at the maximum does not guarantee survival throughout the summer. In the same approximation, survival through that full warm half-cycle would require the stronger inequality
In fact, starting ice-free under the specified zero-mean sinusoidal forcing, even the zero-ocean-heat upper bound on winter growth cannot meet it. In that limit and
since . The expression on the right is already the atmospheric melt over the entire subsequent warm half-cycle. Positive ocean heat can only reduce the winter ice and increase summer melt. Thus the printed condition is a first-year peak-temperature survival test, not a sufficient criterion for literal year-round ice in this model. For example, with and very small positive , it gives , while first-year melt is approximately but full warm-season melt is approximately . Ice is present at the year's endpoint and disappears later that same summer. No reinterpretation of the printed inequality as guaranteed perennial cover is justified without an additional seasonal assumption.
Let
The Neumann solution of the Stefan problem in the ice and substrate is
and
Continuity of heat flux at the contact gives, with ,
and therefore
At the ice–water interface, the water is isothermal at . The Stefan condition gives
Eliminating yields the implicit equation
which determines and hence .
If , then , , and
The highly conducting substrate acts as a reservoir fixed near its initial cold temperature, giving the usual one-phase Stefan problem.
If , then , , and . Consequently
Here heat removal through the poorly conducting substrate is rate limiting, and only a small temperature drop is needed across the much more conducting ice.