Haar projection estimator in Gaussian white noise Created 2026-10-06 Updated 2026-10-07
In the Gaussian white noise model, estimate a Haar scaling function coefficient by . The resulting Haar projection estimator is an unbiased estimator with independent coefficient errors of variance . On each cell it is the observed path increment divided by the cell length. This gives a finite-dimensional estimator without imposing smoothness on the drift.
For independent unbiased estimators of a common mean with known positive variances , the linear unbiased estimator with smallest variance has weights and variance . Unbiasedness requires . Minimizing by a Lagrange multiplier gives the weights, and the strictly positive diagonal Hessian matrix proves a unique global minimum. This conclusion requires no normality assumption.
Nested Monte Carlo 2026-10-06
Nested Monte Carlo approximates an outer expected value whose integrand contains another expected value. A nonlinear transformation, such as a logarithm, of an inner sample average usually introduces finite-sample bias. Increasing both sample sizes requires suitable integrability controls to establish consistency; an unbiased estimator of the inner quantity does not make its logarithm unbiased.
For independent and identically distributed random variables , the maximum-likelihood estimators are
The first is unbiased, while .
Ordinary least squares estimators Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-29
In simple linear regression with a nonconstant predictor,
For the zero-truncated Poisson distribution, is the unique integrable nonrandomized unbiased estimator of . Indeed unbiasedness gives , and power series coefficients force the parity values. Its variance is ; clipping it to gives mean squared error , strictly smaller for .